Goalysis
2026-04-18

Football Analysis – 2026-04-18

Daily football match analysis for 2026-04-18 with signal scores and risk flags.

Introduction

Football match analysis for 2026-04-18 using Goalysis signals. Signal fit scores (0–100) indicate alignment between form, H2H patterns, and the selected analysis type. Higher scores suggest more consistent signals.

Top Matches Today (4)

FC Bayern München vs VfB Stuttgart
Strong Signal
BL1·2026-04-19·High Alignment: 76/100Tomorrow
Recent form
FC Bayern München form (last 5): 5W-0D-0L. VfB Stuttgart form (last 5): 3W-1D-1L.
Home goals (last 5): 4, 5, 2, 3, 4 · Away goals (last 5): 4, 0, 5, 1, 2
Head-to-head
In recent head-to-head meetings between FC Bayern München and VfB Stuttgart, 4 of the last 4 meetings finished with 3+ goals, while 2 of the last 4 meetings included goals from both teams.
Goal trends
FC Bayern München have gone over 2.5 goals in 5 of their last 5 matches, and both teams scored in 3 of those games. VfB Stuttgart show 3/5 over 2.5 matches with BTTS landing 2/5.
Why
FC Bayern München show stronger recent form than VfB Stuttgart. FC Bayern München produce more attacking output per match. the available signals align consistently, supporting a high alignment score
Signal breakdown
Form signal → FC Bayern München stronger
H2H signal → aligned with over-threshold outcomes
Goal trends → support the signal
Signals align consistently, resulting in high alignment.
Key insight
FC Bayern München's form advantage is reinforced by historical matchup patterns
FC Porto vs CD Tondela
Mixed Signal
PPL·2026-04-19·Moderate Alignment: 61/100Tomorrow
Recent form
FC Porto form (last 5): 3W-2D-0L. CD Tondela form (last 5): 0W-3D-2L.
Home goals (last 5): 3, 2, 2, 3, 2 · Away goals (last 5): 2, 0, 0, 0, 2
Head-to-head
In recent head-to-head meetings between FC Porto and CD Tondela, 2 of the last 4 meetings finished with 3+ goals, while 1 of the last 4 meetings included goals from both teams.
Goal trends
FC Porto have gone over 2.5 goals in 5 of their last 5 matches, and both teams scored in 4 of those games. CD Tondela show 3/5 over 2.5 matches with BTTS landing 2/5.
Why
FC Porto show stronger recent form than CD Tondela. FC Porto produce more attacking output per match. CD Tondela concede at a higher rate. signals partially align but with notable inconsistencies
Signal breakdown
Form signal → FC Porto stronger
H2H signal → mixed, no clear pattern
Goal trends → support the signal
Signals partially align, with some inconsistency.
Key insight
FC Porto's form advantage coincides with elevated goal rates
US Cremonese vs Torino FC
Mixed Signal
SA·2026-04-19·Moderate Alignment: 59/100Tomorrow
Recent form
US Cremonese form (last 5): 1W-0D-4L. Torino FC form (last 5): 3W-0D-2L.
Home goals (last 5): 0, 1, 2, 1, 1 · Away goals (last 5): 2, 1, 2, 4, 1
Head-to-head
In recent head-to-head meetings between US Cremonese and Torino FC, 2 of the last 3 meetings finished with 3+ goals, while 2 of the last 3 meetings included goals from both teams.
Goal trends
US Cremonese have gone over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 5 matches, and both teams scored in 3 of those games. Torino FC show 4/5 over 2.5 matches with BTTS landing 4/5.
Why
Torino FC show stronger recent form than US Cremonese. Torino FC produce more attacking output per match. signals partially align but with notable inconsistencies
Signal breakdown
Form signal → Torino FC stronger
H2H signal → mixed, no clear pattern
Goal trends → support the signal
Signals partially align, with some inconsistency.
Key insight
Torino FC's form advantage coincides with elevated goal rates
SC Freiburg vs 1. FC Heidenheim 1846
Mixed Signal
BL1·2026-04-19·Moderate Alignment: 57/100Tomorrow
Recent form
SC Freiburg form (last 5): 2W-1D-2L. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 form (last 5): 1W-2D-2L.
Home goals (last 5): 1, 2, 2, 0, 3 · Away goals (last 5): 3, 2, 3, 0, 2
Head-to-head
In recent head-to-head meetings between SC Freiburg and 1. FC Heidenheim 1846, 3 of the last 5 meetings finished with 3+ goals, while 3 of the last 5 meetings included goals from both teams.
Goal trends
SC Freiburg have gone over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 5 matches, and both teams scored in 3 of those games. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 show 4/5 over 2.5 matches with BTTS landing 4/5.
Why
1. FC Heidenheim 1846 concede at a higher rate. signals partially align but with notable inconsistencies
Signal breakdown
Form signal → SC Freiburg stronger
H2H signal → aligned with high-scoring outcomes
Goal trends → support the signal
Signals align consistently, resulting in high alignment.
Key insight
SC Freiburg's form advantage is reinforced by historical matchup patterns

Moderate Signal Matches (5)

AS Monaco FC vs AJ Auxerre
Mixed Signal
FL1·2026-04-19·Moderate Alignment: 47/100Tomorrow
Form: AS Monaco FC: 4W-0D-1L | AJ Auxerre: 1W-3D-1L
H2H: 5 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals, 4 of 5 BTTS
Goals: AS Monaco FC: 4/5 over 2.5 | AJ Auxerre: 1/5 over 2.5
AS Monaco FC show stronger recent form than AJ Auxerre. AS Monaco FC produce more attacking output per match. AS Monaco FC concede at a higher rate. signals partially align but with notable inconsistencies. recent form favors AS Monaco FC while head-to-head history suggests high-scoring outcomes
AS Monaco FC's form advantage is not reinforced by historical matchup patterns
Everton FC vs Liverpool FC
Mixed Signal
PL·2026-04-19·Moderate Alignment: 47/100Tomorrow
Form: Everton FC: 3W-1D-1L | Liverpool FC: 2W-0D-3L
H2H: 2 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals, 2 of 5 BTTS
Goals: Everton FC: 3/5 over 2.5 | Liverpool FC: 2/5 over 2.5
Everton FC show stronger recent form than Liverpool FC. Everton FC produce more attacking output per match. signals partially align but with notable inconsistencies
Everton FC's form advantage coincides with elevated goal rates
FC Metz vs Paris FC
Mixed Signal
FL1·2026-04-19·Moderate Alignment: 45/100Tomorrow
Form: FC Metz: 0W-2D-3L | Paris FC: 2W-3D-0L
H2H: 1 of last 1 matches over 2.5 goals, 1 of 1 BTTS
Goals: FC Metz: 3/5 over 2.5 | Paris FC: 2/5 over 2.5
Paris FC show stronger recent form than FC Metz. Paris FC produce more attacking output per match. FC Metz concede at a higher rate. signals partially align but with notable inconsistencies
Paris FC's form advantage coincides with elevated goal rates
FC Arouca vs CF Estrela da Amadora
Mixed Signal
PPL·2026-04-19·Moderate Alignment: 43/100Tomorrow
Form: FC Arouca: 2W-0D-3L | CF Estrela da Amadora: 1W-1D-3L
H2H: 3 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals, 3 of 5 BTTS
Goals: FC Arouca: 2/5 over 2.5 | CF Estrela da Amadora: 3/5 over 2.5
signals partially align but with notable inconsistencies
FC Arouca's form advantage is reinforced by historical matchup patterns
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs 1. FSV Mainz 05
Mixed Signal
BL1·2026-04-19·Moderate Alignment: 43/100Tomorrow
Form: Borussia Mönchengladbach: 1W-2D-2L | 1. FSV Mainz 05: 3W-1D-1L
H2H: 2 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals, 4 of 5 BTTS
Goals: Borussia Mönchengladbach: 3/5 over 2.5 | 1. FSV Mainz 05: 3/5 over 2.5
1. FSV Mainz 05 show stronger recent form than Borussia Mönchengladbach. Borussia Mönchengladbach concede at a higher rate. signals partially align but with notable inconsistencies
1. FSV Mainz 05's form advantage coincides with elevated goal rates
Low Signal Matches (10)Expand to view

These matches show low reliability signals. Treat with caution.

CR Vasco da Gama vs São Paulo FC
Weak Signal
BSA·2026-04-18·Low Alignment: 37/100
Form: CR Vasco da Gama: 2W-2D-1L | São Paulo FC: 1W-1D-3L
H2H: 3 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals, 2 of 5 BTTS
Goals: CR Vasco da Gama: 3/5 over 2.5 | São Paulo FC: 1/5 over 2.5
CR Vasco da Gama show weaker recent form than São Paulo FC. CR Vasco da Gama produce more attacking output per match. signals do not align inconsistently, resulting in low alignment
CR Vasco da Gama's form advantage is reinforced by historical matchup patterns
Nottingham Forest FC vs Burnley FC
Weak Signal
PL·2026-04-19·Low Alignment: 36/100Tomorrow
Form: Nottingham Forest FC: 1W-3D-1L | Burnley FC: 0W-1D-4L
H2H: 1 of last 3 matches over 2.5 goals, 3 of 3 BTTS
Goals: Nottingham Forest FC: 3/5 over 2.5 | Burnley FC: 2/5 over 2.5
Nottingham Forest FC show weaker recent form than Burnley FC. Nottingham Forest FC produce more attacking output per match. Burnley FC concede at a higher rate. signals do not align inconsistently, resulting in low alignment
Nottingham Forest FC's form advantage coincides with elevated goal rates
Sporting Clube de Portugal vs Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Weak Signal
PPL·2026-04-19·Low Alignment: 32/100Tomorrow
Form: Sporting Clube de Portugal: 3W-1D-1L | Sport Lisboa e Benfica: 3W-2D-0L
H2H: 0 of last 2 matches over 2.5 goals, 2 of 2 BTTS
Goals: Sporting Clube de Portugal: 2/5 over 2.5 | Sport Lisboa e Benfica: 3/5 over 2.5
signals do not align inconsistently, resulting in low alignment
Sport Lisboa e Benfica's form advantage coincides with elevated goal rates
Chapecoense AF vs Botafogo FR
Weak Signal
BSA·2026-04-18·Low Alignment: 30/100
Form: Chapecoense AF: 0W-2D-3L | Botafogo FR: 3W-1D-1L
Goals: Chapecoense AF: 1/5 over 2.5 | Botafogo FR: 5/5 over 2.5
Botafogo FR show weaker recent form than Chapecoense AF. Botafogo FR produce more attacking output per match. the low score reflects conflicting signals across data sources. form and historical data point in different directions
Botafogo FR's form advantage coincides with elevated goal rates
Hellas Verona FC vs AC Milan
Weak Signal
SA·2026-04-19·Low Alignment: 30/100Tomorrow
Form: Hellas Verona FC: 1W-0D-4L | AC Milan: 2W-0D-3L
H2H: 2 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals, 1 of 5 BTTS
Goals: Hellas Verona FC: 2/5 over 2.5 | AC Milan: 2/5 over 2.5
AC Milan show weaker recent form than Hellas Verona FC. signals do not align inconsistently, resulting in low alignment
AC Milan's form advantage is the clearest signal but lacks corroboration from other sources
Aston Villa FC vs Sunderland AFC
Weak Signal
PL·2026-04-19·Low Alignment: 27/100Tomorrow
Form: Aston Villa FC: 1W-1D-3L | Sunderland AFC: 3W-1D-1L
H2H: 0 of last 1 matches over 2.5 goals, 1 of 1 BTTS
Goals: Aston Villa FC: 2/5 over 2.5 | Sunderland AFC: 1/5 over 2.5
Sunderland AFC show weaker recent form than Aston Villa FC. Aston Villa FC concede at a higher rate. signals do not align inconsistently, resulting in low alignment
Sunderland AFC's form advantage is the clearest signal but lacks corroboration from other sources
AC Pisa 1909 vs Genoa CFC
Weak Signal
SA·2026-04-19·Low Alignment: 25/100Tomorrow
Form: AC Pisa 1909: 1W-0D-4L | Genoa CFC: 3W-0D-2L
H2H: 0 of last 1 matches over 2.5 goals, 1 of 1 BTTS
Goals: AC Pisa 1909: 4/5 over 2.5 | Genoa CFC: 2/5 over 2.5
Genoa CFC show weaker recent form than AC Pisa 1909. Genoa CFC produce more attacking output per match. AC Pisa 1909 concede at a higher rate. the low score reflects conflicting signals across data sources. current goal rates are high but head-to-head meetings do not reflect this
Genoa CFC's form advantage coincides with elevated goal rates
Ipswich Town FC vs Middlesbrough FC
Weak Signal
ELC·2026-04-19·Low Alignment: 21/100Tomorrow
Form: Ipswich Town FC: 3W-1D-1L | Middlesbrough FC: 0W-3D-2L
H2H: 1 of last 3 matches over 2.5 goals, 2 of 3 BTTS
Goals: Ipswich Town FC: 1/5 over 2.5 | Middlesbrough FC: 2/5 over 2.5
Ipswich Town FC show weaker recent form than Middlesbrough FC. Ipswich Town FC produce more attacking output per match. signals do not align inconsistently, resulting in low alignment
Ipswich Town FC's form advantage is the clearest signal but lacks corroboration from other sources
EC Vitória vs SC Corinthians Paulista
Weak Signal
BSA·2026-04-18·Low Alignment: 19/100
Form: EC Vitória: 2W-1D-2L | SC Corinthians Paulista: 2W-1D-2L
H2H: 2 of last 4 matches over 2.5 goals, 2 of 4 BTTS
Goals: EC Vitória: 1/5 over 2.5 | SC Corinthians Paulista: 1/5 over 2.5
neither team inconsistently reaches the goal threshold. signals do not align inconsistently, resulting in low alignment
no single signal dominates; the available data does not produce a clear interpretive direction
FC Nantes vs Stade Brestois 29
Weak Signal
FL1·2026-04-19·Low Alignment: 17/100Tomorrow
Form: FC Nantes: 0W-2D-3L | Stade Brestois 29: 2W-0D-3L
H2H: 1 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals, 1 of 5 BTTS
Goals: FC Nantes: 1/5 over 2.5 | Stade Brestois 29: 2/5 over 2.5
Stade Brestois 29 show weaker recent form than FC Nantes. Stade Brestois 29 produce more attacking output per match. Stade Brestois 29 concede at a higher rate. signals do not align inconsistently, resulting in low alignment
Stade Brestois 29's form advantage is the clearest signal but lacks corroboration from other sources

How to interpret these signals

Signal fit scores (0–100) indicate alignment between form, H2H patterns, and the selected analysis type. Higher scores suggest more consistent signals.