Goalysis
2026-04-22

Football Analysis – 2026-04-22

Daily football match analysis for 2026-04-22 with signal scores and risk flags.

Introduction

Football match analysis for 2026-04-22 using Goalysis signals. Signal fit scores (0–100) indicate alignment between form, H2H patterns, and the selected analysis type. Higher scores suggest more consistent signals.

Top Matches Today (4)

FC Barcelona vs RC Celta de Vigo
Strong Signal
PD·2026-04-22·High Alignment: 70/100
Recent form
FC Barcelona form (last 5): 4W-0D-1L. RC Celta de Vigo form (last 5): 1W-1D-3L.
Home goals (last 5): 2, 4, 0, 2, 1 · Away goals (last 5): 0, 3, 3, 1, 1
Head-to-head
In recent head-to-head meetings between FC Barcelona and RC Celta de Vigo, 5 of the last 5 meetings finished with 3+ goals, while 5 of the last 5 meetings included goals from both teams.
Goal trends
FC Barcelona have gone over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 5 matches, and both teams scored in 3 of those games. RC Celta de Vigo show 4/5 over 2.5 matches with BTTS landing 4/5.
Why
FC Barcelona hold a clear form advantage over RC Celta de Vigo. RC Celta de Vigo concede at a higher rate. Multiple independent indicators reinforce the same reading. This produces a reliable and consistent reading.
Signal breakdown
Form signal → FC Barcelona stronger
H2H signal → aligned with high-scoring outcomes
Goal trends → support the signal
Signals align consistently, resulting in high alignment.
Key insight
FC Barcelona's form advantage is reinforced by historical matchup patterns
Burnley FC vs Manchester City FC
Mixed Signal
PL·2026-04-22·Moderate Alignment: 54/100
Recent form
Burnley FC form (last 5): 0W-1D-4L. Manchester City FC form (last 5): 2W-1D-2L.
Home goals (last 5): 1, 0, 1, 0, 0 · Away goals (last 5): 2, 3, 1, 1, 0
Head-to-head
In recent head-to-head meetings between Burnley FC and Manchester City FC, 3 of the last 4 meetings finished with 3+ goals, while 2 of the last 4 meetings included goals from both teams.
Goal trends
Burnley FC have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 5 matches, and both teams scored in 2 of those games. Manchester City FC show 4/5 over 2.5 matches with BTTS landing 3/5.
Why
Manchester City FC outperform Burnley FC in recent results. Manchester City FC produce more attacking output per match. Burnley FC allow more goals per match on average. Signals partially align but with notable inconsistencies. This creates only moderate alignment.
Signal breakdown
Form signal → Manchester City FC stronger
H2H signal → aligned with over-threshold outcomes
Goal trends → support the signal
Multiple independent sources confirm the same direction.
Key insight
Manchester City FC's recent results and head-to-head history converge on the same reading
AFC Bournemouth vs Leeds United FC
Mixed Signal
PL·2026-04-22·Moderate Alignment: 52/100
Recent form
AFC Bournemouth form (last 5): 2W-3D-0L. Leeds United FC form (last 5): 2W-2D-1L.
Home goals (last 5): 2, 2, 2, 0, 0 · Away goals (last 5): 3, 2, 0, 0, 0
Head-to-head
In recent head-to-head meetings between AFC Bournemouth and Leeds United FC, 3 of the last 3 meetings finished with 3+ goals, while 3 of the last 3 meetings included goals from both teams.
Goal trends
AFC Bournemouth have gone over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 5 matches, and both teams scored in 3 of those games. Leeds United FC show 2/5 over 2.5 matches with BTTS landing 1/5.
Why
Signals partially align but with notable inconsistencies. This means the signal should be treated with moderate confidence.
Signal breakdown
Form signal → AFC Bournemouth stronger
H2H signal → aligned with high-scoring outcomes
Goal trends → are inconclusive
Signals align consistently, resulting in high alignment.
Key insight
AFC Bournemouth's form advantage is reinforced by historical matchup patterns
Charlton Athletic FC vs Ipswich Town FC
Mixed Signal
ELC·2026-04-22·Moderate Alignment: 45/100
Recent form
Charlton Athletic FC form (last 5): 0W-2D-3L. Ipswich Town FC form (last 5): 2W-2D-1L.
Home goals (last 5): 1, 1, 1, 1, 0 · Away goals (last 5): 2, 0, 2, 2, 1
Head-to-head
In recent head-to-head meetings between Charlton Athletic FC and Ipswich Town FC, 1 of the last 1 meetings finished with 3+ goals, while 0 of the last 1 meetings included goals from both teams.
Goal trends
Charlton Athletic FC have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 5 matches, and both teams scored in 4 of those games. Ipswich Town FC show 2/5 over 2.5 matches with BTTS landing 3/5.
Why
Ipswich Town FC show stronger recent form than Charlton Athletic FC. Ipswich Town FC generate stronger attacking returns. Patterns align in some areas but remain uneven. This limits the reliability of any single interpretation.
Signal breakdown
Form signal → Ipswich Town FC stronger
H2H signal → mixed, no moderate pattern
Goal trends → are inconclusive
Signals do not align consistently, resulting in low alignment.
Key insight
Ipswich Town FC's form advantage is the clearest signal but lacks corroboration from other sources

Moderate Signal Matches (1)

Birmingham City FC vs Preston North End FC
Mixed Signal
ELC·2026-04-22·Moderate Alignment: 40/100
Form: Birmingham City FC: 1W-1D-3L | Preston North End FC: 2W-2D-1L
H2H: 2 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals, 2 of 5 BTTS
Goals: Birmingham City FC: 1/5 over 2.5 | Preston North End FC: 3/5 over 2.5
Preston North End FC outperform Birmingham City FC in recent results. Preston North End FC produce more attacking output per match. Signals show partial agreement with some inconsistencies. This creates only moderate alignment.
Only Preston North End FC's recent results provide a directional signal, with limited supporting evidence
Low Signal Matches (5)Expand to view

These matches show low reliability signals. Treat with caution.

Middlesbrough FC vs Sheffield Wednesday FC
Weak Signal
ELC·2026-04-22·Low Alignment: 30/100
Form: Middlesbrough FC: 0W-3D-2L | Sheffield Wednesday FC: 0W-3D-2L
H2H: 2 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals, 3 of 5 BTTS
Goals: Middlesbrough FC: 3/5 over 2.5 | Sheffield Wednesday FC: 1/5 over 2.5
Signals do not align consistently, resulting in low alignment. This reduces reliability of the signal.
Form, head-to-head, and goal trends are too balanced to isolate a primary driver
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs FC Nantes
Weak Signal
FL1·2026-04-22·Low Alignment: 23/100
Form: Paris Saint-Germain FC: 4W-0D-1L | FC Nantes: 0W-3D-2L
H2H: 1 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals, 3 of 5 BTTS
Goals: Paris Saint-Germain FC: 3/5 over 2.5 | FC Nantes: 1/5 over 2.5
Paris Saint-Germain FC hold a clear form advantage over FC Nantes. Paris Saint-Germain FC's offensive output is more unreliable. Signals do not align consistently, resulting in low alignment. This reduces reliability of the signal.
Paris Saint-Germain FC stands out on form alone, but no other indicator confirms the edge
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs Getafe CF
Weak Signal
PD·2026-04-22·Low Alignment: 23/100
Form: Real Sociedad de Fútbol: 2W-1D-2L | Getafe CF: 3W-0D-2L
H2H: 3 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals, 3 of 5 BTTS
Goals: Real Sociedad de Fútbol: 4/5 over 2.5 | Getafe CF: 1/5 over 2.5
Real Sociedad de Fútbol generate weaker attacking returns. Real Sociedad de Fútbol's defensive record is less unreliable. The low score reflects conflicting signals across data sources. This means the signal carries limited interpretive weight. Recent form favors Getafe CF while head-to-head history suggests high-scoring outcomes
Form and head-to-head data pull in opposite directions for Getafe CF
Elche CF vs Club Atlético de Madrid
Weak Signal
PD·2026-04-22·Low Alignment: 20/100
Form: Elche CF: 2W-0D-3L | Club Atlético de Madrid: 1W-0D-4L
H2H: 0 of last 4 matches over 2.5 goals, 1 of 4 BTTS
Goals: Elche CF: 3/5 over 2.5 | Club Atlético de Madrid: 4/5 over 2.5
Elche CF show weaker recent form than Club Atlético de Madrid. The low score reflects conflicting signals across data sources. This means the signal carries limited interpretive weight. Current goal rates are high but head-to-head meetings do not reflect this
Elche CF's form advantage coincides with elevated goal rates
Telstar 1963 vs Sparta Rotterdam
Weak Signal
DED·2026-04-22·Low Alignment: 15/100
Form: Telstar 1963: 2W-0D-3L | Sparta Rotterdam: 1W-2D-2L
H2H: 0 of last 1 matches over 2.5 goals, 0 of 1 BTTS
Goals: Telstar 1963: 4/5 over 2.5 | Sparta Rotterdam: 1/5 over 2.5
Telstar 1963 generate weaker attacking returns. Telstar 1963's defensive record is less unreliable. The low score reflects conflicting signals across data sources. This means the signal carries limited interpretive weight. Form and historical data point in different directions
Telstar 1963's form advantage coincides with elevated goal rates

How to interpret these signals

Signal fit scores (0–100) indicate alignment between form, H2H patterns, and the selected analysis type. Higher scores suggest more consistent signals.