Goalysis
2026-04-24

Football Analysis – 2026-04-24

Daily football match analysis for 2026-04-24 with signal scores and risk flags.

Introduction

Football match analysis for 2026-04-24 using Goalysis signals. Signal fit scores (0–100) indicate alignment between form, H2H patterns, and the selected analysis type. Higher scores suggest more consistent signals.

Top Matches Today (4)

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs FC Bayern München
Mixed Signal
BL1·2026-04-25·Moderate Alignment: 69/100Tomorrow
Recent form
1. FSV Mainz 05 form (last 5): 3W-1D-1L. FC Bayern München form (last 5): 5W-0D-0L.
Home goals (last 5): 1, 0, 2, 2, 2 · Away goals (last 5): 4, 4, 5, 2, 3
Head-to-head
In recent head-to-head meetings between 1. FSV Mainz 05 and FC Bayern München, 4 of the last 4 meetings finished with 3+ goals, while 3 of the last 4 meetings included goals from both teams.
Goal trends
1. FSV Mainz 05 have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 5 matches, and both teams scored in 3 of those games. FC Bayern München show 5/5 over 2.5 matches with BTTS landing 4/5.
Why
FC Bayern München show stronger recent form than 1. FSV Mainz 05. FC Bayern München generate stronger attacking returns. FC Bayern München's defensive record is less reliable. Signals show partial agreement with some inconsistencies. This limits the reliability of any single interpretation.
Signal breakdown
Form signal → FC Bayern München stronger
H2H signal → aligned with high-scoring outcomes
Goal trends → support the signal
Form, head-to-head, and goal trends converge on a consistent reading.
Key insight
Form and head-to-head data both support FC Bayern München
Middlesbrough FC vs Watford FC
Mixed Signal
ELC·2026-04-25·Moderate Alignment: 60/100Tomorrow
Recent form
Middlesbrough FC form (last 5): 1W-2D-2L. Watford FC form (last 5): 0W-1D-4L.
Home goals (last 5): 1, 2, 0, 2, 1 · Away goals (last 5): 0, 0, 0, 1, 1
Head-to-head
In recent head-to-head meetings between Middlesbrough FC and Watford FC, 4 of the last 5 meetings finished with 3+ goals, while 3 of the last 5 meetings included goals from both teams.
Goal trends
Middlesbrough FC have gone over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 5 matches, and both teams scored in 3 of those games. Watford FC show 2/5 over 2.5 matches with BTTS landing 2/5.
Why
Middlesbrough FC hold a clear form advantage over Watford FC. Middlesbrough FC's offensive output is more reliable. Watford FC concede at a higher rate. Signals show partial agreement with some inconsistencies. This means the signal should be treated with moderate confidence.
Signal breakdown
Form signal → Middlesbrough FC stronger
H2H signal → aligned with high-scoring outcomes
Goal trends → are inconclusive
Alignment is present but not uniform across all sources.
Key insight
Middlesbrough FC's form advantage is reinforced by historical matchup patterns
Stade Brestois 29 vs Racing Club de Lens
Mixed Signal
FL1·2026-04-24·Moderate Alignment: 57/100
Recent form
Stade Brestois 29 form (last 5): 1W-1D-3L. Racing Club de Lens form (last 5): 3W-0D-2L.
Home goals (last 5): 1, 3, 0, 0, 2 · Away goals (last 5): 3, 0, 5, 1, 3
Head-to-head
In recent head-to-head meetings between Stade Brestois 29 and Racing Club de Lens, 3 of the last 5 meetings finished with 3+ goals, while 3 of the last 5 meetings included goals from both teams.
Goal trends
Stade Brestois 29 have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 5 matches, and both teams scored in 2 of those games. Racing Club de Lens show 5/5 over 2.5 matches with BTTS landing 3/5.
Why
Racing Club de Lens show stronger recent form than Stade Brestois 29. Racing Club de Lens generate stronger attacking returns. Signals partially align but with notable inconsistencies. This limits the reliability of any single interpretation.
Signal breakdown
Form signal → Racing Club de Lens stronger
H2H signal → aligned with high-scoring outcomes
Goal trends → support the signal
Form, head-to-head, and goal trends converge on a consistent reading.
Key insight
Form and head-to-head data both support Racing Club de Lens
1. FC Köln vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Mixed Signal
BL1·2026-04-25·Moderate Alignment: 47/100Tomorrow
Recent form
1. FC Köln form (last 5): 1W-4D-0L. Bayer 04 Leverkusen form (last 5): 2W-1D-2L.
Home goals (last 5): 1, 3, 2, 3, 1 · Away goals (last 5): 1, 1, 6, 3, 0
Head-to-head
In recent head-to-head meetings between 1. FC Köln and Bayer 04 Leverkusen, 2 of the last 4 meetings finished with 3+ goals, while 1 of the last 4 meetings included goals from both teams.
Goal trends
1. FC Köln have gone over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 5 matches, and both teams scored in 5 of those games. Bayer 04 Leverkusen show 3/5 over 2.5 matches with BTTS landing 3/5.
Why
Patterns align in some areas but remain uneven. This means the signal should be treated with moderate confidence.
Signal breakdown
Form signal → balanced between teams
H2H signal → mixed, no moderate pattern
Goal trends → support the signal
Alignment is present but not uniform across all sources.
Key insight
Form, head-to-head, and goal trends are too balanced to isolate a primary driver

Moderate Signal Matches (3)

RB Leipzig vs 1. FC Union Berlin
Mixed Signal
BL1·2026-04-24·Moderate Alignment: 43/100
Form: RB Leipzig: 4W-0D-1L | 1. FC Union Berlin: 1W-1D-3L
H2H: 2 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals, 1 of 5 BTTS
Goals: RB Leipzig: 3/5 over 2.5 | 1. FC Union Berlin: 3/5 over 2.5
RB Leipzig show stronger recent form than 1. FC Union Berlin. RB Leipzig generate stronger attacking returns. 1. FC Union Berlin's defensive record is less reliable. Data shows mixed alignment across indicators. This limits the reliability of any single interpretation.
RB Leipzig's form advantage coincides with elevated goal rates
Real Betis Balompié vs Real Madrid CF
Mixed Signal
PD·2026-04-24·Moderate Alignment: 43/100
Form: Real Betis Balompié: 1W-3D-1L | Real Madrid CF: 1W-1D-3L
H2H: 2 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals, 3 of 5 BTTS
Goals: Real Betis Balompié: 2/5 over 2.5 | Real Madrid CF: 4/5 over 2.5
Real Madrid CF's defensive record is less reliable. Data shows mixed alignment across indicators. This limits the reliability of any single interpretation.
Real Betis Balompié's form advantage coincides with elevated goal rates
Olympique Lyonnais vs AJ Auxerre
Mixed Signal
FL1·2026-04-25·Moderate Alignment: 43/100Tomorrow
Form: Olympique Lyonnais: 2W-2D-1L | AJ Auxerre: 1W-3D-1L
H2H: 4 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals, 4 of 5 BTTS
Goals: Olympique Lyonnais: 2/5 over 2.5 | AJ Auxerre: 2/5 over 2.5
Signals show partial agreement with some inconsistencies. This limits the reliability of any single interpretation.
Form and head-to-head data both support Olympique Lyonnais
Low Signal Matches (13)Expand to view

These matches show low reliability signals. Treat with caution.

Leicester City FC vs Millwall FC
Weak Signal
ELC·2026-04-24·Low Alignment: 36/100
Form: Leicester City FC: 0W-3D-2L | Millwall FC: 3W-1D-1L
H2H: 1 of last 3 matches over 2.5 goals, 1 of 3 BTTS
Goals: Leicester City FC: 2/5 over 2.5 | Millwall FC: 3/5 over 2.5
Millwall FC show weaker recent form than Leicester City FC. Millwall FC generate weaker attacking returns. Leicester City FC's defensive record is less unreliable. Indicators diverge, giving low overall alignment. This means the signal carries limited interpretive weight.
Millwall FC's form advantage coincides with elevated goal rates
Liverpool FC vs Crystal Palace FC
Weak Signal
PL·2026-04-25·Low Alignment: 36/100Tomorrow
Form: Liverpool FC: 2W-0D-3L | Crystal Palace FC: 2W-2D-1L
H2H: 1 of last 3 matches over 2.5 goals, 2 of 3 BTTS
Goals: Liverpool FC: 2/5 over 2.5 | Crystal Palace FC: 3/5 over 2.5
Liverpool FC concede at a higher rate. Signals do not align consistently, resulting in low alignment. This reduces reliability of the signal.
Crystal Palace FC's consistency and high goal frequency reinforce each other
Bologna FC 1909 vs AS Roma
Weak Signal
SA·2026-04-25·Low Alignment: 36/100Tomorrow
Form: Bologna FC 1909: 3W-0D-2L | AS Roma: 2W-1D-2L
H2H: 2 of last 3 matches over 2.5 goals, 2 of 3 BTTS
Goals: Bologna FC 1909: 1/5 over 2.5 | AS Roma: 3/5 over 2.5
AS Roma's offensive output is more unreliable. AS Roma concede at a higher rate. Signals do not align consistently, resulting in low alignment. This reduces reliability of the signal.
Bologna FC 1909 stands out on form alone, but no other indicator confirms the edge
Sunderland AFC vs Nottingham Forest FC
Weak Signal
PL·2026-04-24·Low Alignment: 35/100
Form: Sunderland AFC: 3W-0D-2L | Nottingham Forest FC: 2W-3D-0L
H2H: 0 of last 1 matches over 2.5 goals, 0 of 1 BTTS
Goals: Sunderland AFC: 2/5 over 2.5 | Nottingham Forest FC: 3/5 over 2.5
Nottingham Forest FC produce more attacking output per match. The available data does not produce a coherent pattern. This weakens confidence in the observed direction.
No single signal dominates; the available data does not produce a clear interpretive direction
Feyenoord Rotterdam vs FC Groningen
Weak Signal
DED·2026-04-25·Low Alignment: 33/100Tomorrow
Form: Feyenoord Rotterdam: 1W-4D-0L | FC Groningen: 3W-2D-0L
H2H: 2 of last 4 matches over 2.5 goals, 2 of 4 BTTS
Goals: Feyenoord Rotterdam: 2/5 over 2.5 | FC Groningen: 2/5 over 2.5
FC Groningen show weaker recent form than Feyenoord Rotterdam. Feyenoord Rotterdam's defensive record is less unreliable. Indicators diverge, giving low overall alignment. This means the signal carries limited interpretive weight.
FC Groningen's form advantage is the clearest signal but lacks corroboration from other sources
Charlton Athletic FC vs Hull City AFC
Weak Signal
ELC·2026-04-25·Low Alignment: 32/100Tomorrow
Form: Charlton Athletic FC: 0W-2D-3L | Hull City AFC: 0W-4D-1L
H2H: 0 of last 2 matches over 2.5 goals, 1 of 2 BTTS
Goals: Charlton Athletic FC: 3/5 over 2.5 | Hull City AFC: 2/5 over 2.5
Signals do not align consistently, resulting in low alignment. This reduces reliability of the signal.
Hull City AFC's consistency and high goal frequency reinforce each other
Getafe CF vs FC Barcelona
Weak Signal
PD·2026-04-25·Low Alignment: 30/100Tomorrow
Form: Getafe CF: 3W-0D-2L | FC Barcelona: 4W-0D-1L
H2H: 2 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals, 1 of 5 BTTS
Goals: Getafe CF: 1/5 over 2.5 | FC Barcelona: 3/5 over 2.5
FC Barcelona outperform Getafe CF in recent results. FC Barcelona produce more attacking output per match. The available data does not produce a coherent pattern. This weakens confidence in the observed direction.
Only FC Barcelona's recent results provide a directional signal, with limited supporting evidence
SSC Napoli vs US Cremonese
Weak Signal
SA·2026-04-24·Low Alignment: 28/100
Form: SSC Napoli: 3W-1D-1L | US Cremonese: 1W-1D-3L
H2H: 2 of last 3 matches over 2.5 goals, 1 of 3 BTTS
Goals: SSC Napoli: 1/5 over 2.5 | US Cremonese: 2/5 over 2.5
SSC Napoli show weaker recent form than US Cremonese. US Cremonese's defensive record is less unreliable. Indicators diverge, giving low overall alignment. This means the signal carries limited interpretive weight.
SSC Napoli's form advantage is the clearest signal but lacks corroboration from other sources
FC Alverca vs FC Arouca
Weak Signal
PPL·2026-04-24·Low Alignment: 25/100
Form: FC Alverca: 2W-1D-2L | FC Arouca: 3W-0D-2L
H2H: 0 of last 1 matches over 2.5 goals, 0 of 1 BTTS
Goals: FC Alverca: 4/5 over 2.5 | FC Arouca: 2/5 over 2.5
FC Alverca allow more goals per match on average. The low score reflects conflicting signals across data sources. This weakens confidence in the observed direction. Current goal rates are high but head-to-head meetings do not reflect this
Weak form from FC Arouca pairs with above-average goal production
Fulham FC vs Aston Villa FC
Weak Signal
PL·2026-04-25·Low Alignment: 23/100Tomorrow
Form: Fulham FC: 1W-2D-2L | Aston Villa FC: 2W-1D-2L
H2H: 4 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals, 4 of 5 BTTS
Goals: Fulham FC: 1/5 over 2.5 | Aston Villa FC: 3/5 over 2.5
Aston Villa FC generate weaker attacking returns. Aston Villa FC's defensive record is less unreliable. The low score reflects conflicting signals across data sources. This means the signal carries limited interpretive weight. Recent form favors Aston Villa FC while head-to-head history suggests high-scoring outcomes
Form and head-to-head data pull in opposite directions for Aston Villa FC
Deportivo Alavés vs RCD Mallorca
Weak Signal
PD·2026-04-25·Low Alignment: 23/100Tomorrow
Form: Deportivo Alavés: 1W-3D-1L | RCD Mallorca: 3W-1D-1L
H2H: 0 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals, 2 of 5 BTTS
Goals: Deportivo Alavés: 4/5 over 2.5 | RCD Mallorca: 4/5 over 2.5
RCD Mallorca outperform Deportivo Alavés in recent results. Deportivo Alavés allow more goals per match on average. Goal-heavy fixtures are common for both teams. The low score reflects conflicting signals across data sources. This weakens confidence in the observed direction. Current goal rates are high but head-to-head meetings do not reflect this
Weak form from RCD Mallorca pairs with above-average goal production
Parma Calcio 1913 vs AC Pisa 1909
Weak Signal
SA·2026-04-25·Low Alignment: 15/100Tomorrow
Form: Parma Calcio 1913: 1W-2D-2L | AC Pisa 1909: 1W-0D-4L
H2H: 0 of last 1 matches over 2.5 goals, 0 of 1 BTTS
Goals: Parma Calcio 1913: 1/5 over 2.5 | AC Pisa 1909: 4/5 over 2.5
AC Pisa 1909 allow more goals per match on average. The low score reflects conflicting signals across data sources. This weakens confidence in the observed direction. Form and historical data point in different directions
Weak form from Parma Calcio 1913 pairs with above-average goal production
CD Tondela vs CD Nacional
Weak Signal
PPL·2026-04-25·Low Alignment: 0/100Tomorrow
Form: CD Tondela: 0W-2D-3L | CD Nacional: 2W-0D-3L
H2H: 1 of last 1 matches over 2.5 goals, 1 of 1 BTTS
Goals: CD Tondela: 2/5 over 2.5 | CD Nacional: 0/5 over 2.5
CD Nacional show weaker recent form than CD Tondela. CD Tondela's defensive record is less unreliable. The low score reflects conflicting signals across data sources. This means the signal carries limited interpretive weight. Form and historical data point in different directions
The available sources disagree, making it difficult to establish a clear direction

How to interpret these signals

Signal fit scores (0–100) indicate alignment between form, H2H patterns, and the selected analysis type. Higher scores suggest more consistent signals.