Goalysis
2026-04-25

Football Analysis – 2026-04-25

Daily football match analysis for 2026-04-25 with signal scores and risk flags.

Introduction

Football match analysis for 2026-04-25 using Goalysis signals. Signal fit scores (0–100) indicate alignment between form, H2H patterns, and the selected analysis type. Higher scores suggest more consistent signals.

Top Matches Today (4)

SC Heerenveen vs Fortuna Sittard
Strong Signal
DED·2026-04-25·High Alignment: 80/100
Recent form
SC Heerenveen form (last 5): 3W-1D-1L. Fortuna Sittard form (last 5): 1W-1D-3L.
Home goals (last 5): 0, 4, 2, 3, 2 · Away goals (last 5): 1, 0, 1, 2, 1
Head-to-head
In recent head-to-head meetings between SC Heerenveen and Fortuna Sittard, 4 of the last 5 meetings finished with 3+ goals, while 2 of the last 5 meetings included goals from both teams.
Goal trends
SC Heerenveen have gone over 2.5 goals in 5 of their last 5 matches, and both teams scored in 3 of those games. Fortuna Sittard show 3/5 over 2.5 matches with BTTS landing 4/5.
Why
SC Heerenveen outperform Fortuna Sittard in recent results. SC Heerenveen produce more attacking output per match. Fortuna Sittard allow more goals per match on average. The available signals align consistently, supporting a high alignment score. This confirms high confidence in the observed pattern.
Signal breakdown
Form signal → SC Heerenveen stronger
H2H signal → aligned with over-threshold outcomes
Goal trends → support the signal
Multiple independent sources confirm the same direction.
Key insight
SC Heerenveen's recent results and head-to-head history converge on the same reading
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs FC Bayern München
Mixed Signal
BL1·2026-04-25·Moderate Alignment: 69/100
Recent form
1. FSV Mainz 05 form (last 5): 3W-1D-1L. FC Bayern München form (last 5): 5W-0D-0L.
Home goals (last 5): 1, 0, 2, 2, 2 · Away goals (last 5): 4, 4, 5, 2, 3
Head-to-head
In recent head-to-head meetings between 1. FSV Mainz 05 and FC Bayern München, 4 of the last 4 meetings finished with 3+ goals, while 3 of the last 4 meetings included goals from both teams.
Goal trends
1. FSV Mainz 05 have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 5 matches, and both teams scored in 3 of those games. FC Bayern München show 5/5 over 2.5 matches with BTTS landing 4/5.
Why
FC Bayern München show stronger recent form than 1. FSV Mainz 05. FC Bayern München generate stronger attacking returns. FC Bayern München's defensive record is less reliable. Signals show partial agreement with some inconsistencies. This limits the reliability of any single interpretation.
Signal breakdown
Form signal → FC Bayern München stronger
H2H signal → aligned with high-scoring outcomes
Goal trends → support the signal
Form, head-to-head, and goal trends converge on a consistent reading.
Key insight
Form and head-to-head data both support FC Bayern München
Middlesbrough FC vs Watford FC
Mixed Signal
ELC·2026-04-25·Moderate Alignment: 60/100
Recent form
Middlesbrough FC form (last 5): 1W-2D-2L. Watford FC form (last 5): 0W-1D-4L.
Home goals (last 5): 1, 2, 0, 2, 1 · Away goals (last 5): 0, 0, 0, 1, 1
Head-to-head
In recent head-to-head meetings between Middlesbrough FC and Watford FC, 4 of the last 5 meetings finished with 3+ goals, while 3 of the last 5 meetings included goals from both teams.
Goal trends
Middlesbrough FC have gone over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 5 matches, and both teams scored in 3 of those games. Watford FC show 2/5 over 2.5 matches with BTTS landing 2/5.
Why
Middlesbrough FC hold a clear form advantage over Watford FC. Middlesbrough FC's offensive output is more reliable. Watford FC concede at a higher rate. Signals show partial agreement with some inconsistencies. This means the signal should be treated with moderate confidence.
Signal breakdown
Form signal → Middlesbrough FC stronger
H2H signal → aligned with high-scoring outcomes
Goal trends → are inconclusive
Alignment is present but not uniform across all sources.
Key insight
Middlesbrough FC's form advantage is reinforced by historical matchup patterns
FC Augsburg vs Eintracht Frankfurt
Mixed Signal
BL1·2026-04-25·Moderate Alignment: 57/100
Recent form
FC Augsburg form (last 5): 1W-2D-2L. Eintracht Frankfurt form (last 5): 2W-1D-2L.
Home goals (last 5): 2, 2, 1, 2, 0 · Away goals (last 5): 1, 2, 2, 1, 1
Head-to-head
In recent head-to-head meetings between FC Augsburg and Eintracht Frankfurt, 3 of the last 5 meetings finished with 3+ goals, while 3 of the last 5 meetings included goals from both teams.
Goal trends
FC Augsburg have gone over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 5 matches, and both teams scored in 4 of those games. Eintracht Frankfurt show 4/5 over 2.5 matches with BTTS landing 4/5.
Why
FC Augsburg allow more goals per match on average. Data shows mixed alignment across indicators. This creates only moderate alignment.
Signal breakdown
Form signal → Eintracht Frankfurt stronger
H2H signal → aligned with high-scoring outcomes
Goal trends → support the signal
Multiple independent sources confirm the same direction.
Key insight
Eintracht Frankfurt's recent results and head-to-head history converge on the same reading

Moderate Signal Matches (3)

1. FC Köln vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Mixed Signal
BL1·2026-04-25·Moderate Alignment: 47/100
Form: 1. FC Köln: 1W-4D-0L | Bayer 04 Leverkusen: 2W-1D-2L
H2H: 2 of last 4 matches over 2.5 goals, 1 of 4 BTTS
Goals: 1. FC Köln: 3/5 over 2.5 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen: 3/5 over 2.5
Patterns align in some areas but remain uneven. This means the signal should be treated with moderate confidence.
Form, head-to-head, and goal trends are too balanced to isolate a primary driver
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs Moreirense FC
Mixed Signal
PPL·2026-04-25·Moderate Alignment: 47/100
Form: Sport Lisboa e Benfica: 4W-1D-0L | Moreirense FC: 1W-1D-3L
H2H: 3 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals, 2 of 5 BTTS
Goals: Sport Lisboa e Benfica: 3/5 over 2.5 | Moreirense FC: 1/5 over 2.5
Sport Lisboa e Benfica show stronger recent form than Moreirense FC. Sport Lisboa e Benfica generate stronger attacking returns. Moreirense FC's defensive record is less reliable. Patterns align in some areas but remain uneven. This limits the reliability of any single interpretation.
Form and head-to-head data both support Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Olympique Lyonnais vs AJ Auxerre
Mixed Signal
FL1·2026-04-25·Moderate Alignment: 43/100
Form: Olympique Lyonnais: 2W-2D-1L | AJ Auxerre: 1W-3D-1L
H2H: 4 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals, 4 of 5 BTTS
Goals: Olympique Lyonnais: 2/5 over 2.5 | AJ Auxerre: 2/5 over 2.5
Signals show partial agreement with some inconsistencies. This limits the reliability of any single interpretation.
Form and head-to-head data both support Olympique Lyonnais
Low Signal Matches (13)Expand to view

These matches show low reliability signals. Treat with caution.

Angers SCO vs Paris Saint-Germain FC
Weak Signal
FL1·2026-04-25·Low Alignment: 37/100
Form: Angers SCO: 0W-2D-3L | Paris Saint-Germain FC: 4W-0D-1L
H2H: 2 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals, 2 of 5 BTTS
Goals: Angers SCO: 2/5 over 2.5 | Paris Saint-Germain FC: 3/5 over 2.5
Paris Saint-Germain FC outperform Angers SCO in recent results. Paris Saint-Germain FC produce more attacking output per match. Angers SCO allow more goals per match on average. The available data does not produce a coherent pattern. This weakens confidence in the observed direction.
Weak form from Paris Saint-Germain FC pairs with above-average goal production
West Bromwich Albion FC vs Ipswich Town FC
Weak Signal
ELC·2026-04-25·Low Alignment: 36/100
Form: West Bromwich Albion FC: 2W-3D-0L | Ipswich Town FC: 3W-1D-1L
H2H: 1 of last 3 matches over 2.5 goals, 1 of 3 BTTS
Goals: West Bromwich Albion FC: 2/5 over 2.5 | Ipswich Town FC: 3/5 over 2.5
Ipswich Town FC allow more goals per match on average. The available data does not produce a coherent pattern. This weakens confidence in the observed direction.
Weak form from Ipswich Town FC pairs with above-average goal production
Liverpool FC vs Crystal Palace FC
Weak Signal
PL·2026-04-25·Low Alignment: 36/100
Form: Liverpool FC: 2W-0D-3L | Crystal Palace FC: 2W-2D-1L
H2H: 1 of last 3 matches over 2.5 goals, 2 of 3 BTTS
Goals: Liverpool FC: 2/5 over 2.5 | Crystal Palace FC: 3/5 over 2.5
Liverpool FC concede at a higher rate. Signals do not align consistently, resulting in low alignment. This reduces reliability of the signal.
Crystal Palace FC's consistency and high goal frequency reinforce each other
Bologna FC 1909 vs AS Roma
Weak Signal
SA·2026-04-25·Low Alignment: 36/100
Form: Bologna FC 1909: 3W-0D-2L | AS Roma: 2W-1D-2L
H2H: 2 of last 3 matches over 2.5 goals, 2 of 3 BTTS
Goals: Bologna FC 1909: 1/5 over 2.5 | AS Roma: 3/5 over 2.5
AS Roma's offensive output is more unreliable. AS Roma concede at a higher rate. Signals do not align consistently, resulting in low alignment. This reduces reliability of the signal.
Bologna FC 1909 stands out on form alone, but no other indicator confirms the edge
Feyenoord Rotterdam vs FC Groningen
Weak Signal
DED·2026-04-25·Low Alignment: 33/100
Form: Feyenoord Rotterdam: 1W-4D-0L | FC Groningen: 3W-2D-0L
H2H: 2 of last 4 matches over 2.5 goals, 2 of 4 BTTS
Goals: Feyenoord Rotterdam: 2/5 over 2.5 | FC Groningen: 2/5 over 2.5
FC Groningen show weaker recent form than Feyenoord Rotterdam. Feyenoord Rotterdam's defensive record is less unreliable. Indicators diverge, giving low overall alignment. This means the signal carries limited interpretive weight.
FC Groningen's form advantage is the clearest signal but lacks corroboration from other sources
Charlton Athletic FC vs Hull City AFC
Weak Signal
ELC·2026-04-25·Low Alignment: 32/100
Form: Charlton Athletic FC: 0W-2D-3L | Hull City AFC: 0W-4D-1L
H2H: 0 of last 2 matches over 2.5 goals, 1 of 2 BTTS
Goals: Charlton Athletic FC: 3/5 over 2.5 | Hull City AFC: 2/5 over 2.5
Signals do not align consistently, resulting in low alignment. This reduces reliability of the signal.
Hull City AFC's consistency and high goal frequency reinforce each other
Getafe CF vs FC Barcelona
Weak Signal
PD·2026-04-25·Low Alignment: 30/100
Form: Getafe CF: 3W-0D-2L | FC Barcelona: 4W-0D-1L
H2H: 2 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals, 1 of 5 BTTS
Goals: Getafe CF: 1/5 over 2.5 | FC Barcelona: 3/5 over 2.5
FC Barcelona outperform Getafe CF in recent results. FC Barcelona produce more attacking output per match. The available data does not produce a coherent pattern. This weakens confidence in the observed direction.
Only FC Barcelona's recent results provide a directional signal, with limited supporting evidence
Valencia CF vs Girona FC
Weak Signal
PD·2026-04-25·Low Alignment: 30/100
Form: Valencia CF: 1W-1D-3L | Girona FC: 2W-1D-2L
H2H: 3 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals, 4 of 5 BTTS
Goals: Valencia CF: 1/5 over 2.5 | Girona FC: 2/5 over 2.5
Girona FC outperform Valencia CF in recent results. The available data does not produce a coherent pattern. This weakens confidence in the observed direction.
Girona FC's recent results and head-to-head history converge on the same reading
Fulham FC vs Aston Villa FC
Weak Signal
PL·2026-04-25·Low Alignment: 23/100
Form: Fulham FC: 1W-2D-2L | Aston Villa FC: 2W-1D-2L
H2H: 4 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals, 4 of 5 BTTS
Goals: Fulham FC: 1/5 over 2.5 | Aston Villa FC: 3/5 over 2.5
Aston Villa FC generate weaker attacking returns. Aston Villa FC's defensive record is less unreliable. The low score reflects conflicting signals across data sources. This means the signal carries limited interpretive weight. Recent form favors Aston Villa FC while head-to-head history suggests high-scoring outcomes
Form and head-to-head data pull in opposite directions for Aston Villa FC
Deportivo Alavés vs RCD Mallorca
Weak Signal
PD·2026-04-25·Low Alignment: 23/100
Form: Deportivo Alavés: 1W-3D-1L | RCD Mallorca: 3W-1D-1L
H2H: 0 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals, 2 of 5 BTTS
Goals: Deportivo Alavés: 4/5 over 2.5 | RCD Mallorca: 4/5 over 2.5
RCD Mallorca outperform Deportivo Alavés in recent results. Deportivo Alavés allow more goals per match on average. Goal-heavy fixtures are common for both teams. The low score reflects conflicting signals across data sources. This weakens confidence in the observed direction. Current goal rates are high but head-to-head meetings do not reflect this
Weak form from RCD Mallorca pairs with above-average goal production
West Ham United FC vs Everton FC
Weak Signal
PL·2026-04-25·Low Alignment: 23/100
Form: West Ham United FC: 2W-2D-1L | Everton FC: 2W-1D-2L
H2H: 1 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals, 3 of 5 BTTS
Goals: West Ham United FC: 1/5 over 2.5 | Everton FC: 3/5 over 2.5
Everton FC's defensive record is less unreliable. Indicators diverge, giving low overall alignment. This means the signal carries limited interpretive weight.
West Ham United FC's form advantage is the clearest signal but lacks corroboration from other sources
Parma Calcio 1913 vs AC Pisa 1909
Weak Signal
SA·2026-04-25·Low Alignment: 15/100
Form: Parma Calcio 1913: 1W-2D-2L | AC Pisa 1909: 1W-0D-4L
H2H: 0 of last 1 matches over 2.5 goals, 0 of 1 BTTS
Goals: Parma Calcio 1913: 1/5 over 2.5 | AC Pisa 1909: 4/5 over 2.5
AC Pisa 1909 allow more goals per match on average. The low score reflects conflicting signals across data sources. This weakens confidence in the observed direction. Form and historical data point in different directions
Weak form from Parma Calcio 1913 pairs with above-average goal production
CD Tondela vs CD Nacional
Weak Signal
PPL·2026-04-25·Low Alignment: 0/100
Form: CD Tondela: 0W-2D-3L | CD Nacional: 2W-0D-3L
H2H: 1 of last 1 matches over 2.5 goals, 1 of 1 BTTS
Goals: CD Tondela: 2/5 over 2.5 | CD Nacional: 0/5 over 2.5
CD Nacional show weaker recent form than CD Tondela. CD Tondela's defensive record is less unreliable. The low score reflects conflicting signals across data sources. This means the signal carries limited interpretive weight. Form and historical data point in different directions
The available sources disagree, making it difficult to establish a clear direction

How to interpret these signals

Signal fit scores (0–100) indicate alignment between form, H2H patterns, and the selected analysis type. Higher scores suggest more consistent signals.