Goalysis
2026-05-01

Football Analysis – 2026-05-01

Daily football match analysis for 2026-05-01 with signal scores and risk flags.

Introduction

Football match analysis for 2026-05-01 using Goalysis signals. Signal fit scores (0–100) indicate alignment between form, H2H patterns, and the selected analysis type. Higher scores suggest more consistent signals.

Top Matches Today (4)

FC Bayern München vs 1. FC Heidenheim 1846
Strong Signal
BL1·2026-05-02·High Alignment: 83/100Tomorrow
Recent form
FC Bayern München form (last 5): 4W-0D-1L. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 form (last 5): 2W-2D-1L.
Home goals (last 5): 4, 4, 4, 4, 5 · Away goals (last 5): 2, 1, 3, 2, 3
Head-to-head
In recent head-to-head meetings between FC Bayern München and 1. FC Heidenheim 1846, 5 of the last 5 meetings finished with 3+ goals, while 3 of the last 5 meetings included goals from both teams.
Goal trends
FC Bayern München have gone over 2.5 goals in 5 of their last 5 matches, and both teams scored in 4 of those games. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 show 4/5 over 2.5 matches with BTTS landing 4/5.
Why
FC Bayern München show stronger recent form than 1. FC Heidenheim 1846. FC Bayern München generate stronger attacking returns. FC Bayern München's defensive record is less reliable. Both teams frequently exceed the goal threshold. Data points converge clearly across all measured sources. This creates strong alignment across the available data.
Signal breakdown
Form signal → FC Bayern München stronger
H2H signal → aligned with high-scoring outcomes
Goal trends → support the signal
Form, head-to-head, and goal trends converge on a consistent reading.
Key insight
Form and head-to-head data both support FC Bayern München
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs VfB Stuttgart
Mixed Signal
BL1·2026-05-02·Moderate Alignment: 57/100Tomorrow
Recent form
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim form (last 5): 2W-1D-2L. VfB Stuttgart form (last 5): 2W-1D-2L.
Home goals (last 5): 2, 2, 2, 1, 0 · Away goals (last 5): 1, 2, 4, 0, 5
Head-to-head
In recent head-to-head meetings between TSG 1899 Hoffenheim and VfB Stuttgart, 2 of the last 5 meetings finished with 3+ goals, while 3 of the last 5 meetings included goals from both teams.
Goal trends
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim have gone over 2.5 goals in 5 of their last 5 matches, and both teams scored in 4 of those games. VfB Stuttgart show 3/5 over 2.5 matches with BTTS landing 3/5.
Why
VfB Stuttgart generate stronger attacking returns. Signals show partial agreement with some inconsistencies. This limits the reliability of any single interpretation.
Signal breakdown
Form signal → balanced between teams
H2H signal → aligned with both-teams-scoring outcomes
Goal trends → support the signal
Form, head-to-head, and goal trends converge on a consistent reading.
Key insight
All indicators remain neutral, offering no distinct interpretive advantage
Valencia CF vs Club Atlético de Madrid
Mixed Signal
PD·2026-05-02·Moderate Alignment: 57/100Tomorrow
Recent form
Valencia CF form (last 5): 2W-1D-2L. Club Atlético de Madrid form (last 5): 1W-1D-3L.
Home goals (last 5): 2, 1, 0, 2, 2 · Away goals (last 5): 1, 3, 2, 1, 1
Head-to-head
In recent head-to-head meetings between Valencia CF and Club Atlético de Madrid, 4 of the last 5 meetings finished with 3+ goals, while 1 of the last 5 meetings included goals from both teams.
Goal trends
Valencia CF have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 5 matches, and both teams scored in 3 of those games. Club Atlético de Madrid show 4/5 over 2.5 matches with BTTS landing 5/5.
Why
Valencia CF hold a clear form advantage over Club Atlético de Madrid. Club Atlético de Madrid concede at a higher rate. Signals partially align but with notable inconsistencies. This means the signal should be treated with moderate confidence.
Signal breakdown
Form signal → Valencia CF stronger
H2H signal → aligned with over-threshold outcomes
Goal trends → support the signal
Signals align consistently, resulting in high alignment.
Key insight
Valencia CF's form advantage is reinforced by historical matchup patterns
Bristol City FC vs Stoke City FC
Mixed Signal
ELC·2026-05-02·Moderate Alignment: 50/100Tomorrow
Recent form
Bristol City FC form (last 5): 1W-2D-2L. Stoke City FC form (last 5): 0W-1D-4L.
Home goals (last 5): 1, 2, 2, 0, 1 · Away goals (last 5): 1, 1, 0, 1, 0
Head-to-head
In recent head-to-head meetings between Bristol City FC and Stoke City FC, 4 of the last 5 meetings finished with 3+ goals, while 3 of the last 5 meetings included goals from both teams.
Goal trends
Bristol City FC have gone over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 5 matches, and both teams scored in 3 of those games. Stoke City FC show 2/5 over 2.5 matches with BTTS landing 3/5.
Why
Bristol City FC hold a clear form advantage over Stoke City FC. Bristol City FC's offensive output is more reliable. Stoke City FC concede at a higher rate. Patterns align in some areas but remain uneven. This means the signal should be treated with moderate confidence.
Signal breakdown
Form signal → Bristol City FC stronger
H2H signal → aligned with high-scoring outcomes
Goal trends → are inconclusive
Alignment is present but not uniform across all sources.
Key insight
Bristol City FC's form advantage is reinforced by historical matchup patterns

Moderate Signal Matches (3)

Girona FC vs RCD Mallorca
Mixed Signal
PD·2026-05-01·Moderate Alignment: 47/100
Form: Girona FC: 1W-1D-3L | RCD Mallorca: 2W-1D-2L
H2H: 2 of last 4 matches over 2.5 goals, 2 of 4 BTTS
Goals: Girona FC: 2/5 over 2.5 | RCD Mallorca: 4/5 over 2.5
RCD Mallorca show stronger recent form than Girona FC. RCD Mallorca generate stronger attacking returns. Data shows mixed alignment across indicators. This limits the reliability of any single interpretation.
RCD Mallorca's form advantage coincides with elevated goal rates
SV Werder Bremen vs FC Augsburg
Mixed Signal
BL1·2026-05-02·Moderate Alignment: 43/100Tomorrow
Form: SV Werder Bremen: 2W-1D-2L | FC Augsburg: 1W-3D-1L
H2H: 2 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals, 1 of 5 BTTS
Goals: SV Werder Bremen: 3/5 over 2.5 | FC Augsburg: 3/5 over 2.5
FC Augsburg allow more goals per match on average. Data shows mixed alignment across indicators. This creates only moderate alignment.
Strong form from SV Werder Bremen pairs with above-average goal production
FC Nantes vs Olympique de Marseille
Mixed Signal
FL1·2026-05-02·Moderate Alignment: 40/100Tomorrow
Form: FC Nantes: 0W-3D-2L | Olympique de Marseille: 1W-1D-3L
H2H: 1 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals, 2 of 5 BTTS
Goals: FC Nantes: 2/5 over 2.5 | Olympique de Marseille: 3/5 over 2.5
Olympique de Marseille's offensive output is more reliable. Signals partially align but with notable inconsistencies. This means the signal should be treated with moderate confidence.
Olympique de Marseille's consistency and high goal frequency reinforce each other
Low Signal Matches (13)Expand to view

These matches show low reliability signals. Treat with caution.

Derby County FC vs Sheffield United FC
Weak Signal
ELC·2026-05-02·Low Alignment: 37/100Tomorrow
Form: Derby County FC: 3W-0D-2L | Sheffield United FC: 2W-0D-3L
H2H: 1 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals, 1 of 5 BTTS
Goals: Derby County FC: 3/5 over 2.5 | Sheffield United FC: 3/5 over 2.5
Derby County FC outperform Sheffield United FC in recent results. The available data does not produce a coherent pattern. This weakens confidence in the observed direction.
Weak form from Derby County FC pairs with above-average goal production
Udinese Calcio vs Torino FC
Weak Signal
SA·2026-05-02·Low Alignment: 37/100Tomorrow
Form: Udinese Calcio: 2W-2D-1L | Torino FC: 2W-2D-1L
H2H: 2 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals, 3 of 5 BTTS
Goals: Udinese Calcio: 2/5 over 2.5 | Torino FC: 3/5 over 2.5
Indicators diverge, giving low overall alignment. This means the signal carries limited interpretive weight.
All indicators remain neutral, offering no distinct interpretive advantage
FC Utrecht vs NAC Breda
Weak Signal
DED·2026-05-02·Low Alignment: 36/100Tomorrow
Form: FC Utrecht: 3W-0D-2L | NAC Breda: 0W-2D-3L
H2H: 1 of last 3 matches over 2.5 goals, 2 of 3 BTTS
Goals: FC Utrecht: 3/5 over 2.5 | NAC Breda: 2/5 over 2.5
FC Utrecht outperform NAC Breda in recent results. FC Utrecht produce more attacking output per match. The available data does not produce a coherent pattern. This weakens confidence in the observed direction.
Weak form from FC Utrecht pairs with above-average goal production
Villarreal CF vs Levante UD
Weak Signal
PD·2026-05-02·Low Alignment: 33/100Tomorrow
Form: Villarreal CF: 3W-1D-1L | Levante UD: 3W-1D-1L
H2H: 2 of last 4 matches over 2.5 goals, 1 of 4 BTTS
Goals: Villarreal CF: 3/5 over 2.5 | Levante UD: 1/5 over 2.5
Indicators diverge, giving low overall alignment. This means the signal carries limited interpretive weight.
All indicators remain neutral, offering no distinct interpretive advantage
Brentford FC vs West Ham United FC
Weak Signal
PL·2026-05-02·Low Alignment: 33/100Tomorrow
Form: Brentford FC: 0W-4D-1L | West Ham United FC: 2W-2D-1L
H2H: 1 of last 4 matches over 2.5 goals, 2 of 4 BTTS
Goals: Brentford FC: 3/5 over 2.5 | West Ham United FC: 2/5 over 2.5
West Ham United FC outperform Brentford FC in recent results. The available data does not produce a coherent pattern. This weakens confidence in the observed direction.
Weak form from West Ham United FC pairs with above-average goal production
Leeds United FC vs Burnley FC
Weak Signal
PL·2026-05-01·Low Alignment: 30/100
Form: Leeds United FC: 2W-3D-0L | Burnley FC: 0W-1D-4L
H2H: 1 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals, 2 of 5 BTTS
Goals: Leeds United FC: 3/5 over 2.5 | Burnley FC: 2/5 over 2.5
Leeds United FC outperform Burnley FC in recent results. Leeds United FC produce more attacking output per match. Burnley FC allow more goals per match on average. The available data does not produce a coherent pattern. This weakens confidence in the observed direction.
Weak form from Leeds United FC pairs with above-average goal production
Newcastle United FC vs Brighton & Hove Albion FC
Weak Signal
PL·2026-05-02·Low Alignment: 27/100Tomorrow
Form: Newcastle United FC: 0W-0D-5L | Brighton & Hove Albion FC: 4W-1D-0L
H2H: 1 of last 4 matches over 2.5 goals, 3 of 4 BTTS
Goals: Newcastle United FC: 4/5 over 2.5 | Brighton & Hove Albion FC: 3/5 over 2.5
Brighton & Hove Albion FC hold a clear form advantage over Newcastle United FC. Brighton & Hove Albion FC's offensive output is more unreliable. Newcastle United FC concede at a higher rate. The low score reflects conflicting signals across data sources. This reduces reliability of the signal. Recent form favors Brighton & Hove Albion FC while head-to-head history suggests btts outcomes; current goal rates are high but head-to-head meetings do not reflect this
Brighton & Hove Albion FC's consistency and high goal frequency reinforce each other
AC Pisa 1909 vs US Lecce
Weak Signal
SA·2026-05-01·Low Alignment: 26/100
Form: AC Pisa 1909: 0W-0D-5L | US Lecce: 0W-2D-3L
H2H: 0 of last 1 matches over 2.5 goals, 0 of 1 BTTS
Goals: AC Pisa 1909: 3/5 over 2.5 | US Lecce: 1/5 over 2.5
AC Pisa 1909 concede at a higher rate. Signals do not align consistently, resulting in low alignment. This reduces reliability of the signal.
US Lecce stands out on form alone, but no other indicator confirms the edge
Moreirense FC vs CF Estrela da Amadora
Weak Signal
PPL·2026-05-02·Low Alignment: 23/100Tomorrow
Form: Moreirense FC: 1W-1D-3L | CF Estrela da Amadora: 1W-0D-4L
H2H: 2 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals, 3 of 5 BTTS
Goals: Moreirense FC: 1/5 over 2.5 | CF Estrela da Amadora: 2/5 over 2.5
Indicators diverge, giving low overall alignment. This means the signal carries limited interpretive weight.
Moreirense FC's form advantage is the clearest signal but lacks corroboration from other sources
Blackburn Rovers FC vs Leicester City FC
Weak Signal
ELC·2026-05-02·Low Alignment: 21/100Tomorrow
Form: Blackburn Rovers FC: 1W-3D-1L | Leicester City FC: 0W-3D-2L
H2H: 1 of last 3 matches over 2.5 goals, 1 of 3 BTTS
Goals: Blackburn Rovers FC: 2/5 over 2.5 | Leicester City FC: 1/5 over 2.5
Blackburn Rovers FC show weaker recent form than Leicester City FC. Indicators diverge, giving low overall alignment. This means the signal carries limited interpretive weight.
Blackburn Rovers FC's form advantage is the clearest signal but lacks corroboration from other sources
CD Nacional vs AVS
Weak Signal
PPL·2026-05-02·Low Alignment: 21/100Tomorrow
Form: CD Nacional: 3W-0D-2L | AVS: 0W-4D-1L
H2H: 2 of last 3 matches over 2.5 goals, 3 of 3 BTTS
Goals: CD Nacional: 0/5 over 2.5 | AVS: 2/5 over 2.5
CD Nacional outperform AVS in recent results. AVS allow more goals per match on average. The available data does not produce a coherent pattern. This weakens confidence in the observed direction.
Only CD Nacional's recent results provide a directional signal, with limited supporting evidence
CD Independiente Medellín vs Cusco FC
Weak Signal
CLI·2026-05-01·Low Alignment: 18/100
Form: CD Independiente Medellín: 1W-3D-1L | Cusco FC: 0W-0D-2L
Goals: CD Independiente Medellín: 2/5 over 2.5 | Cusco FC: 1/2 over 2.5
CD Independiente Medellín show weaker recent form than Cusco FC. Cusco FC's defensive record is less unreliable. Indicators diverge, giving low overall alignment. This means the signal carries limited interpretive weight.
CD Independiente Medellín's form advantage is the clearest signal but lacks corroboration from other sources
SC Corinthians Paulista vs CA Peñarol
Weak Signal
CLI·2026-05-01·Low Alignment: 0/100
Form: SC Corinthians Paulista: 3W-2D-0L | CA Peñarol: 0W-1D-1L
H2H: 0 of last 1 matches over 2.5 goals, 0 of 1 BTTS
Goals: SC Corinthians Paulista: 0/5 over 2.5 | CA Peñarol: 1/2 over 2.5
SC Corinthians Paulista outperform CA Peñarol in recent results. CA Peñarol allow more goals per match on average. The available data does not produce a coherent pattern. This weakens confidence in the observed direction.
Only SC Corinthians Paulista's recent results provide a directional signal, with limited supporting evidence

How to interpret these signals

Signal fit scores (0–100) indicate alignment between form, H2H patterns, and the selected analysis type. Higher scores suggest more consistent signals.