Goalysis
2026-05-09

Football Analysis – 2026-05-09

Daily football match analysis for 2026-05-09 with signal scores and risk flags.

Introduction

Football match analysis for 2026-05-09 using Goalysis signals. Signal fit scores (0–100) indicate alignment between form, H2H patterns, and the selected analysis type. Higher scores suggest more consistent signals.

Top Matches Today (4)

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs SV Werder Bremen
Strong Signal
BL1·2026-05-09·High Alignment: 87/100
Recent form
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim form (last 5): 2W-2D-1L. SV Werder Bremen form (last 5): 1W-1D-3L.
Home goals (last 5): 3, 2, 2, 2, 1 · Away goals (last 5): 1, 1, 3, 1, 1
Head-to-head
In recent head-to-head meetings between TSG 1899 Hoffenheim and SV Werder Bremen, 4 of the last 5 meetings finished with 3+ goals, while 4 of the last 5 meetings included goals from both teams.
Goal trends
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim have gone over 2.5 goals in 5 of their last 5 matches, and both teams scored in 5 of those games. SV Werder Bremen show 4/5 over 2.5 matches with BTTS landing 5/5.
Why
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim hold a clear form advantage over SV Werder Bremen. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim's offensive output is more reliable. Both sides regularly produce matches above the goal threshold. Multiple independent indicators reinforce the same reading. This produces a reliable and consistent reading.
Signal breakdown
Form signal → TSG 1899 Hoffenheim stronger
H2H signal → aligned with high-scoring outcomes
Goal trends → support the signal
Signals align consistently, resulting in high alignment.
Key insight
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim's form advantage is reinforced by historical matchup patterns
Liverpool FC vs Chelsea FC
Strong Signal
PL·2026-05-09·High Alignment: 79/100
Recent form
Liverpool FC form (last 5): 3W-0D-2L. Chelsea FC form (last 5): 0W-0D-5L.
Home goals (last 5): 2, 3, 2, 0, 2 · Away goals (last 5): 1, 0, 0, 0, 0
Head-to-head
In recent head-to-head meetings between Liverpool FC and Chelsea FC, 4 of the last 4 meetings finished with 3+ goals, while 4 of the last 4 meetings included goals from both teams.
Goal trends
Liverpool FC have gone over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 5 matches, and both teams scored in 3 of those games. Chelsea FC show 4/5 over 2.5 matches with BTTS landing 1/5.
Why
Liverpool FC outperform Chelsea FC in recent results. Liverpool FC produce more attacking output per match. Chelsea FC allow more goals per match on average. The available signals align consistently, supporting a high alignment score. This confirms high confidence in the observed pattern.
Signal breakdown
Form signal → Liverpool FC stronger
H2H signal → aligned with high-scoring outcomes
Goal trends → support the signal
Multiple independent sources confirm the same direction.
Key insight
Liverpool FC's recent results and head-to-head history converge on the same reading
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs Wolverhampton Wanderers FC
Mixed Signal
PL·2026-05-09·Moderate Alignment: 62/100
Recent form
Brighton & Hove Albion FC form (last 5): 3W-1D-1L. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC form (last 5): 0W-2D-3L.
Home goals (last 5): 1, 3, 2, 2, 2 · Away goals (last 5): 1, 0, 0, 0, 2
Head-to-head
In recent head-to-head meetings between Brighton & Hove Albion FC and Wolverhampton Wanderers FC, 1 of the last 3 meetings finished with 3+ goals, while 2 of the last 3 meetings included goals from both teams.
Goal trends
Brighton & Hove Albion FC have gone over 2.5 goals in 4 of their last 5 matches, and both teams scored in 3 of those games. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC show 3/5 over 2.5 matches with BTTS landing 2/5.
Why
Brighton & Hove Albion FC hold a clear form advantage over Wolverhampton Wanderers FC. Brighton & Hove Albion FC's offensive output is more reliable. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC concede at a higher rate. Signals show partial agreement with some inconsistencies. This means the signal should be treated with moderate confidence.
Signal breakdown
Form signal → Brighton & Hove Albion FC stronger
H2H signal → mixed, no moderate pattern
Goal trends → support the signal
Alignment is present but not uniform across all sources.
Key insight
Brighton & Hove Albion FC's consistency and high goal frequency reinforce each other
VfB Stuttgart vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Mixed Signal
BL1·2026-05-09·Moderate Alignment: 61/100
Recent form
VfB Stuttgart form (last 5): 1W-2D-2L. Bayer 04 Leverkusen form (last 5): 4W-0D-1L.
Home goals (last 5): 3, 1, 2, 4, 0 · Away goals (last 5): 4, 2, 1, 1, 6
Head-to-head
In recent head-to-head meetings between VfB Stuttgart and Bayer 04 Leverkusen, 3 of the last 4 meetings finished with 3+ goals, while 3 of the last 4 meetings included goals from both teams.
Goal trends
VfB Stuttgart have gone over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 5 matches, and both teams scored in 3 of those games. Bayer 04 Leverkusen show 4/5 over 2.5 matches with BTTS landing 4/5.
Why
Bayer 04 Leverkusen hold a clear form advantage over VfB Stuttgart. Bayer 04 Leverkusen's offensive output is more reliable. VfB Stuttgart concede at a higher rate. Signals partially align but with notable inconsistencies. This means the signal should be treated with moderate confidence.
Signal breakdown
Form signal → Bayer 04 Leverkusen stronger
H2H signal → aligned with high-scoring outcomes
Goal trends → support the signal
Signals align consistently, resulting in high alignment.
Key insight
Bayer 04 Leverkusen's form advantage is reinforced by historical matchup patterns

Moderate Signal Matches (3)

Middlesbrough FC vs Southampton FC
Mixed Signal
ELC·2026-05-09·Moderate Alignment: 61/100
Form: Middlesbrough FC: 2W-2D-1L | Southampton FC: 3W-2D-0L
H2H: 2 of last 4 matches over 2.5 goals, 3 of 4 BTTS
Goals: Middlesbrough FC: 3/5 over 2.5 | Southampton FC: 5/5 over 2.5
Southampton FC hold a clear form advantage over Middlesbrough FC. Signals show partial agreement with some inconsistencies. This means the signal should be treated with moderate confidence.
Southampton FC's consistency and high goal frequency reinforce each other
Elche CF vs Deportivo Alavés
Mixed Signal
PD·2026-05-09·Moderate Alignment: 57/100
Form: Elche CF: 3W-0D-2L | Deportivo Alavés: 1W-2D-2L
H2H: 2 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals, 2 of 5 BTTS
Goals: Elche CF: 3/5 over 2.5 | Deportivo Alavés: 5/5 over 2.5
Elche CF hold a clear form advantage over Deportivo Alavés. Deportivo Alavés's offensive output is more reliable. Deportivo Alavés concede at a higher rate. Signals show partial agreement with some inconsistencies. This means the signal should be treated with moderate confidence.
Elche CF's consistency and high goal frequency reinforce each other
SS Lazio vs FC Internazionale Milano
Mixed Signal
SA·2026-05-09·Moderate Alignment: 47/100
Form: SS Lazio: 2W-2D-1L | FC Internazionale Milano: 4W-1D-0L
H2H: 2 of last 4 matches over 2.5 goals, 2 of 4 BTTS
Goals: SS Lazio: 2/5 over 2.5 | FC Internazionale Milano: 4/5 over 2.5
FC Internazionale Milano hold a clear form advantage over SS Lazio. FC Internazionale Milano's offensive output is more reliable. Data shows mixed alignment across indicators. This means the signal should be treated with moderate confidence.
FC Internazionale Milano's consistency and high goal frequency reinforce each other
Low Signal Matches (8)Expand to view

These matches show low reliability signals. Treat with caution.

Coritiba FBC vs SC Internacional
Weak Signal
BSA·2026-05-09·Low Alignment: 37/100
Form: Coritiba FBC: 1W-2D-2L | SC Internacional: 2W-2D-1L
H2H: 3 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals, 3 of 5 BTTS
Goals: Coritiba FBC: 2/5 over 2.5 | SC Internacional: 2/5 over 2.5
SC Internacional outperform Coritiba FBC in recent results. Coritiba FBC allow more goals per match on average. The available data does not produce a coherent pattern. This weakens confidence in the observed direction.
SC Internacional's recent results and head-to-head history converge on the same reading
Sunderland AFC vs Manchester United FC
Weak Signal
PL·2026-05-09·Low Alignment: 34/100
Form: Sunderland AFC: 2W-1D-2L | Manchester United FC: 3W-1D-1L
H2H: 0 of last 1 matches over 2.5 goals, 0 of 1 BTTS
Goals: Sunderland AFC: 3/5 over 2.5 | Manchester United FC: 4/5 over 2.5
Manchester United FC show weaker recent form than Sunderland AFC. Sunderland AFC's defensive record is less unreliable. The low score reflects conflicting signals across data sources. This means the signal carries limited interpretive weight. Current goal rates are high but head-to-head meetings do not reflect this
Manchester United FC's form advantage coincides with elevated goal rates
Cagliari Calcio vs Udinese Calcio
Weak Signal
SA·2026-05-09·Low Alignment: 33/100
Form: Cagliari Calcio: 2W-1D-2L | Udinese Calcio: 2W-2D-1L
H2H: 1 of last 4 matches over 2.5 goals, 3 of 4 BTTS
Goals: Cagliari Calcio: 3/5 over 2.5 | Udinese Calcio: 2/5 over 2.5
Udinese Calcio's offensive output is more unreliable. Cagliari Calcio concede at a higher rate. Signals do not align consistently, resulting in low alignment. This reduces reliability of the signal.
Udinese Calcio's consistency and high goal frequency reinforce each other
FC Augsburg vs Borussia Mönchengladbach
Weak Signal
BL1·2026-05-09·Low Alignment: 30/100
Form: FC Augsburg: 2W-3D-0L | Borussia Mönchengladbach: 1W-3D-1L
H2H: 5 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals, 3 of 5 BTTS
Goals: FC Augsburg: 3/5 over 2.5 | Borussia Mönchengladbach: 1/5 over 2.5
FC Augsburg outperform Borussia Mönchengladbach in recent results. FC Augsburg produce more attacking output per match. The low score reflects conflicting signals across data sources. This weakens confidence in the observed direction. Recent form favors FC Augsburg while head-to-head history suggests high-scoring outcomes
FC Augsburg's recent results and head-to-head history diverge on the same reading
Sevilla FC vs RCD Espanyol de Barcelona
Weak Signal
PD·2026-05-09·Low Alignment: 30/100
Form: Sevilla FC: 2W-0D-3L | RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: 0W-2D-3L
H2H: 3 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals, 4 of 5 BTTS
Goals: Sevilla FC: 2/5 over 2.5 | RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: 1/5 over 2.5
Sevilla FC show weaker recent form than RCD Espanyol de Barcelona. Sevilla FC generate weaker attacking returns. Indicators diverge, giving low overall alignment. This means the signal carries limited interpretive weight.
Form and head-to-head data both support Sevilla FC
US Lecce vs Juventus FC
Weak Signal
SA·2026-05-09·Low Alignment: 27/100
Form: US Lecce: 1W-2D-2L | Juventus FC: 3W-2D-0L
H2H: 2 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals, 3 of 5 BTTS
Goals: US Lecce: 2/5 over 2.5 | Juventus FC: 0/5 over 2.5
Juventus FC outperform US Lecce in recent results. Juventus FC produce more attacking output per match. US Lecce allow more goals per match on average. The available data does not produce a coherent pattern. This weakens confidence in the observed direction.
Only Juventus FC's recent results provide a directional signal, with limited supporting evidence
Fluminense FC vs EC Vitória
Weak Signal
BSA·2026-05-09·Low Alignment: 26/100
Form: Fluminense FC: 2W-1D-2L | EC Vitória: 2W-2D-1L
H2H: 1 of last 4 matches over 2.5 goals, 2 of 4 BTTS
Goals: Fluminense FC: 2/5 over 2.5 | EC Vitória: 2/5 over 2.5
Fluminense FC's defensive record is less unreliable. Indicators diverge, giving low overall alignment. This means the signal carries limited interpretive weight.
EC Vitória's form advantage is the clearest signal but lacks corroboration from other sources
Club Atlético de Madrid vs RC Celta de Vigo
Weak Signal
PD·2026-05-09·Low Alignment: 17/100
Form: Club Atlético de Madrid: 2W-1D-2L | RC Celta de Vigo: 2W-0D-3L
H2H: 1 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals, 2 of 5 BTTS
Goals: Club Atlético de Madrid: 2/5 over 2.5 | RC Celta de Vigo: 4/5 over 2.5
The low score reflects conflicting signals across data sources. This means the signal carries limited interpretive weight. Current goal rates are high but head-to-head meetings do not reflect this
Club Atlético de Madrid's form advantage coincides with elevated goal rates

How to interpret these signals

Signal fit scores (0–100) indicate alignment between form, H2H patterns, and the selected analysis type. Higher scores suggest more consistent signals.