Goalysis
2026-05-12

Football Analysis – 2026-05-12

Daily football match analysis for 2026-05-12 with signal scores and risk flags.

Introduction

Football match analysis for 2026-05-12 using Goalysis signals. Signal fit scores (0–100) indicate alignment between form, H2H patterns, and the selected analysis type. Higher scores suggest more consistent signals.

Top Matches Today (4)

Manchester City FC vs Crystal Palace FC
Strong SignalSelection
PL·2026-05-13·High Alignment: 76/100Tomorrow
Recent form
Manchester City FC form (last 5): 4W-1D-0L. Crystal Palace FC form (last 5): 1W-2D-2L.
Home goals (last 5): 3, 3, 1, 2, 3 · Away goals (last 5): 2, 0, 1, 0, 2
Head-to-head
In recent head-to-head meetings between Manchester City FC and Crystal Palace FC, 4 of the last 4 meetings finished with 3+ goals, while 3 of the last 4 meetings included goals from both teams.
Goal trends
Manchester City FC have gone over 2.5 goals in 4 of their last 5 matches, and both teams scored in 2 of those games. Crystal Palace FC show 4/5 over 2.5 matches with BTTS landing 3/5.
Why
Manchester City FC hold a clear form advantage over Crystal Palace FC. Manchester City FC's offensive output is more reliable. Crystal Palace FC concede at a higher rate. Both sides regularly produce matches above the goal threshold. Multiple independent indicators reinforce the same reading. This produces a reliable and consistent reading.
Signal breakdown
Form signal → Manchester City FC stronger
H2H signal → aligned with high-scoring outcomes
Goal trends → support the signal
Signals align consistently, resulting in high alignment.
Key insight
Manchester City FC's form advantage is reinforced by historical matchup patterns
Stade Brestois 29 vs RC Strasbourg Alsace
Mixed SignalSelection
FL1·2026-05-13·Moderate Alignment: 57/100Tomorrow
Recent form
Stade Brestois 29 form (last 5): 0W-2D-3L. RC Strasbourg Alsace form (last 5): 2W-1D-2L.
Home goals (last 5): 0, 0, 3, 1, 3 · Away goals (last 5): 1, 1, 3, 0, 3
Head-to-head
In recent head-to-head meetings between Stade Brestois 29 and RC Strasbourg Alsace, 3 of the last 5 meetings finished with 3+ goals, while 3 of the last 5 meetings included goals from both teams.
Goal trends
Stade Brestois 29 have gone over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 5 matches, and both teams scored in 3 of those games. RC Strasbourg Alsace show 4/5 over 2.5 matches with BTTS landing 4/5.
Why
RC Strasbourg Alsace show stronger recent form than Stade Brestois 29. Stade Brestois 29's defensive record is less reliable. Patterns align in some areas but remain uneven. This limits the reliability of any single interpretation.
Signal breakdown
Form signal → RC Strasbourg Alsace stronger
H2H signal → aligned with high-scoring outcomes
Goal trends → support the signal
Form, head-to-head, and goal trends converge on a consistent reading.
Key insight
Form and head-to-head data both support RC Strasbourg Alsace
Southampton FC vs Middlesbrough FC
Mixed SignalSelection
ELC·2026-05-12·Moderate Alignment: 50/100
Recent form
Southampton FC form (last 5): 2W-3D-0L. Middlesbrough FC form (last 5): 2W-3D-0L.
Home goals (last 5): 0, 3, 2, 2, 2 · Away goals (last 5): 0, 2, 5, 1, 2
Head-to-head
In recent head-to-head meetings between Southampton FC and Middlesbrough FC, 2 of the last 5 meetings finished with 3+ goals, while 3 of the last 5 meetings included goals from both teams.
Goal trends
Southampton FC have gone over 2.5 goals in 4 of their last 5 matches, and both teams scored in 4 of those games. Middlesbrough FC show 3/5 over 2.5 matches with BTTS landing 3/5.
Why
Data shows mixed alignment across indicators. This creates only moderate alignment.
Signal breakdown
Form signal → balanced between teams
H2H signal → aligned with both-teams-scoring outcomes
Goal trends → support the signal
Multiple independent sources confirm the same direction.
Key insight
No single signal dominates; the available data does not produce a clear interpretive direction
Real Betis Balompié vs Elche CF
Mixed SignalSelection
PD·2026-05-12·Moderate Alignment: 47/100
Recent form
Real Betis Balompié form (last 5): 2W-3D-0L. Elche CF form (last 5): 3W-1D-1L.
Home goals (last 5): 2, 3, 1, 3, 1 · Away goals (last 5): 1, 1, 2, 3, 1
Head-to-head
In recent head-to-head meetings between Real Betis Balompié and Elche CF, 2 of the last 4 meetings finished with 3+ goals, while 2 of the last 4 meetings included goals from both teams.
Goal trends
Real Betis Balompié have gone over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 5 matches, and both teams scored in 4 of those games. Elche CF show 3/5 over 2.5 matches with BTTS landing 4/5.
Why
Data shows mixed alignment across indicators. This means the signal should be treated with moderate confidence.
Signal breakdown
Form signal → Elche CF stronger
H2H signal → mixed, no moderate pattern
Goal trends → support the signal
Alignment is present but not uniform across all sources.
Key insight
Elche CF's consistency and high goal frequency reinforce each other

Moderate Signal Matches (1)

Racing Club de Lens vs Paris Saint-Germain FC
Mixed SignalSelection
FL1·2026-05-13·Moderate Alignment: 43/100Tomorrow
Form: Racing Club de Lens: 2W-2D-1L | Paris Saint-Germain FC: 3W-2D-0L
H2H: 2 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals, 2 of 5 BTTS
Goals: Racing Club de Lens: 3/5 over 2.5 | Paris Saint-Germain FC: 3/5 over 2.5
Paris Saint-Germain FC outperform Racing Club de Lens in recent results. Paris Saint-Germain FC produce more attacking output per match. Signals show partial agreement with some inconsistencies. This creates only moderate alignment.
Strong form from Paris Saint-Germain FC pairs with above-average goal production
Low Signal Matches (2)Expand to view

These matches show low reliability signals. Treat with caution.

RC Celta de Vigo vs Levante UD
Weak SignalSelection
PD·2026-05-12·Low Alignment: 30/100
Form: RC Celta de Vigo: 2W-0D-3L | Levante UD: 3W-1D-1L
H2H: 1 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals, 3 of 5 BTTS
Goals: RC Celta de Vigo: 3/5 over 2.5 | Levante UD: 2/5 over 2.5
Levante UD outperform RC Celta de Vigo in recent results. The available data does not produce a coherent pattern. This weakens confidence in the observed direction.
Weak form from Levante UD pairs with above-average goal production
CA Osasuna vs Club Atlético de Madrid
Weak SignalSelection
PD·2026-05-12·Low Alignment: 23/100
Form: CA Osasuna: 1W-1D-3L | Club Atlético de Madrid: 2W-1D-2L
H2H: 1 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals, 1 of 5 BTTS
Goals: CA Osasuna: 3/5 over 2.5 | Club Atlético de Madrid: 1/5 over 2.5
Club Atlético de Madrid show weaker recent form than CA Osasuna. CA Osasuna's defensive record is less unreliable. Indicators diverge, giving low overall alignment. This means the signal carries limited interpretive weight.
Club Atlético de Madrid's form advantage is the clearest signal but lacks corroboration from other sources

How to interpret these signals

Signal fit scores (0–100) indicate alignment between form, H2H patterns, and the selected analysis type. Higher scores suggest more consistent signals.