Goalysis
2026-05-17

Football Analysis – 2026-05-17

Daily football match analysis for 2026-05-17 with signal scores and risk flags.

Introduction

Football match analysis for 2026-05-17 using Goalysis signals. Signal fit scores (0–100) indicate alignment between form, H2H patterns, and the selected analysis type. Higher scores suggest more consistent signals.

Top Matches Today (4)

FC Nantes vs Toulouse FC
Strong SignalGeneral Analysis
FL1·2026-05-17·High Alignment: 73/100
Recent form
FC Nantes form (last 5): 1W-1D-3L. Toulouse FC form (last 5): 2W-1D-2L.
Home goals (last 5): 0, 3, 1, 0, 1 · Away goals (last 5): 2, 2, 2, 2, 0
Head-to-head
In recent head-to-head meetings between FC Nantes and Toulouse FC, 3 of the last 5 meetings finished with 3+ goals, while 3 of the last 5 meetings included goals from both teams.
Goal trends
FC Nantes have gone over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 5 matches, and both teams scored in 2 of those games. Toulouse FC show 5/5 over 2.5 matches with BTTS landing 4/5.
Why
Toulouse FC show stronger recent form than FC Nantes. Toulouse FC generate stronger attacking returns. Toulouse FC's defensive record is less reliable. Data points converge clearly across all measured sources. This creates strong alignment across the available data.
Signal breakdown
Form signal → Toulouse FC stronger
H2H signal → aligned with high-scoring outcomes
Goal trends → support the signal
Form, head-to-head, and goal trends converge on a consistent reading.
Key insight
Form and head-to-head data both support Toulouse FC
Paris FC vs Paris Saint-Germain FC
Mixed SignalGeneral Analysis
FL1·2026-05-17·Moderate Alignment: 54/100
Recent form
Paris FC form (last 5): 3W-0D-2L. Paris Saint-Germain FC form (last 5): 3W-2D-0L.
Home goals (last 5): 1, 4, 0, 3, 4 · Away goals (last 5): 2, 1, 1, 2, 5
Head-to-head
In recent head-to-head meetings between Paris FC and Paris Saint-Germain FC, 1 of the last 1 meetings finished with 3+ goals, while 1 of the last 1 meetings included goals from both teams.
Goal trends
Paris FC have gone over 2.5 goals in 4 of their last 5 matches, and both teams scored in 3 of those games. Paris Saint-Germain FC show 2/5 over 2.5 matches with BTTS landing 3/5.
Why
Patterns align in some areas but remain uneven. This means the signal should be treated with moderate confidence.
Signal breakdown
Form signal → Paris Saint-Germain FC stronger
H2H signal → mixed, no moderate pattern
Goal trends → support the signal
Alignment is present but not uniform across all sources.
Key insight
Paris Saint-Germain FC's consistency and high goal frequency reinforce each other
RB Bragantino vs EC Vitória
Mixed SignalGeneral Analysis
BSA·2026-05-17·Moderate Alignment: 47/100
Recent form
RB Bragantino form (last 5): 2W-0D-3L. EC Vitória form (last 5): 2W-2D-1L.
Home goals (last 5): 0, 2, 0, 4, 1 · Away goals (last 5): 2, 4, 1, 0, 2
Head-to-head
In recent head-to-head meetings between RB Bragantino and EC Vitória, 2 of the last 4 meetings finished with 3+ goals, while 1 of the last 4 meetings included goals from both teams.
Goal trends
RB Bragantino have gone over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 5 matches, and both teams scored in 3 of those games. EC Vitória show 3/5 over 2.5 matches with BTTS landing 3/5.
Why
Data shows mixed alignment across indicators. This means the signal should be treated with moderate confidence.
Signal breakdown
Form signal → EC Vitória stronger
H2H signal → mixed, no moderate pattern
Goal trends → support the signal
Alignment is present but not uniform across all sources.
Key insight
EC Vitória's consistency and high goal frequency reinforce each other
Cagliari Calcio vs Torino FC
Mixed SignalGeneral Analysis
SA·2026-05-17·Moderate Alignment: 43/100
Recent form
Cagliari Calcio form (last 5): 2W-1D-2L. Torino FC form (last 5): 2W-2D-1L.
Home goals (last 5): 0, 0, 3, 0, 1 · Away goals (last 5): 2, 0, 2, 0, 2
Head-to-head
In recent head-to-head meetings between Cagliari Calcio and Torino FC, 3 of the last 5 meetings finished with 3+ goals, while 3 of the last 5 meetings included goals from both teams.
Goal trends
Cagliari Calcio have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 5 matches, and both teams scored in 1 of those games. Torino FC show 3/5 over 2.5 matches with BTTS landing 3/5.
Why
Patterns align in some areas but remain uneven. This creates only moderate alignment.
Signal breakdown
Form signal → Torino FC stronger
H2H signal → aligned with high-scoring outcomes
Goal trends → are inconclusive
Multiple independent sources confirm the same direction.
Key insight
Torino FC's recent results and head-to-head history converge on the same reading

Moderate Signal Matches (1)

Botafogo FR vs SC Corinthians Paulista
Mixed SignalGeneral Analysis
BSA·2026-05-17·Moderate Alignment: 43/100
Form: Botafogo FR: 1W-3D-1L | SC Corinthians Paulista: 3W-1D-1L
H2H: 2 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals, 3 of 5 BTTS
Goals: Botafogo FR: 4/5 over 2.5 | SC Corinthians Paulista: 2/5 over 2.5
SC Corinthians Paulista show stronger recent form than Botafogo FR. Botafogo FR's defensive record is less reliable. Patterns align in some areas but remain uneven. This limits the reliability of any single interpretation.
SC Corinthians Paulista's form advantage coincides with elevated goal rates
Low Signal Matches (5)Expand to view

These matches show low reliability signals. Treat with caution.

FC Barcelona vs Real Betis Balompié
Weak SignalGeneral Analysis
PD·2026-05-17·Low Alignment: 37/100
Form: FC Barcelona: 4W-0D-1L | Real Betis Balompié: 3W-2D-0L
H2H: 3 of last 4 matches over 2.5 goals, 4 of 4 BTTS
Goals: FC Barcelona: 1/5 over 2.5 | Real Betis Balompié: 4/5 over 2.5
Real Betis Balompié generate weaker attacking returns. Real Betis Balompié's defensive record is less unreliable. The low score reflects conflicting signals across data sources. This means the signal carries limited interpretive weight. Recent form favors FC Barcelona while head-to-head history suggests high-scoring outcomes
Form and head-to-head data pull in opposite directions for FC Barcelona
US Sassuolo Calcio vs US Lecce
Weak SignalGeneral Analysis
SA·2026-05-17·Low Alignment: 36/100
Form: US Sassuolo Calcio: 2W-1D-2L | US Lecce: 1W-2D-2L
H2H: 1 of last 4 matches over 2.5 goals, 1 of 4 BTTS
Goals: US Sassuolo Calcio: 3/5 over 2.5 | US Lecce: 1/5 over 2.5
US Sassuolo Calcio produce more attacking output per match. The available data does not produce a coherent pattern. This weakens confidence in the observed direction.
Only US Sassuolo Calcio's recent results provide a directional signal, with limited supporting evidence
Udinese Calcio vs US Cremonese
Weak SignalGeneral Analysis
SA·2026-05-17·Low Alignment: 36/100
Form: Udinese Calcio: 3W-1D-1L | US Cremonese: 1W-1D-3L
H2H: 1 of last 3 matches over 2.5 goals, 1 of 3 BTTS
Goals: Udinese Calcio: 2/5 over 2.5 | US Cremonese: 3/5 over 2.5
Udinese Calcio show weaker recent form than US Cremonese. Udinese Calcio generate weaker attacking returns. US Cremonese's defensive record is less unreliable. Indicators diverge, giving low overall alignment. This means the signal carries limited interpretive weight.
Udinese Calcio's form advantage coincides with elevated goal rates
FC Lorient vs Le Havre AC
Weak SignalGeneral Analysis
FL1·2026-05-17·Low Alignment: 36/100
Form: FC Lorient: 2W-1D-2L | Le Havre AC: 0W-4D-1L
H2H: 2 of last 3 matches over 2.5 goals, 2 of 3 BTTS
Goals: FC Lorient: 3/5 over 2.5 | Le Havre AC: 1/5 over 2.5
FC Lorient outperform Le Havre AC in recent results. FC Lorient produce more attacking output per match. The available data does not produce a coherent pattern. This weakens confidence in the observed direction.
Only FC Lorient's recent results provide a directional signal, with limited supporting evidence
EC Bahia vs Grêmio FBPA
Weak SignalGeneral Analysis
BSA·2026-05-17·Low Alignment: 13/100
Form: EC Bahia: 1W-2D-2L | Grêmio FBPA: 1W-2D-2L
H2H: 1 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals, 0 of 5 BTTS
Goals: EC Bahia: 4/5 over 2.5 | Grêmio FBPA: 0/5 over 2.5
EC Bahia produce more attacking output per match. EC Bahia allow more goals per match on average. The low score reflects conflicting signals across data sources. This weakens confidence in the observed direction. Form and historical data point in different directions
Form and head-to-head signals contradict each other, weakening the reading

How to interpret these signals

Signal fit scores (0–100) indicate alignment between form, H2H patterns, and the selected analysis type. Higher scores suggest more consistent signals.