2026-05-18

Football Analysis – 2026-05-18

Daily football match analysis for 2026-05-18 with signal scores and risk flags.

Introduction

Football match analysis for 2026-05-18 using Goalysis signals. Signal fit scores (0–100) indicate alignment between form, H2H patterns, and the selected analysis type. Higher scores suggest more consistent signals.

Top Matches Today (4)

AFC Bournemouth vs Manchester City FC

Mixed SignalGeneral Analysis

PL·2026-05-19·Moderate Alignment: 69/100Tomorrow

Recent form

AFC Bournemouth form (last 5): 4W-1D-0L. Manchester City FC form (last 5): 4W-1D-0L.

Home goals (last 5): 1, 3, 2, 2, 2 · Away goals (last 5): 3, 3, 3, 1, 2

Head-to-head

In recent head-to-head meetings between AFC Bournemouth and Manchester City FC, 3 of the last 4 meetings finished with 3+ goals, while 4 of the last 4 meetings included goals from both teams.

Goal trends

AFC Bournemouth have gone over 2.5 goals in 4 of their last 5 matches, and both teams scored in 3 of those games. Manchester City FC show 4/5 over 2.5 matches with BTTS landing 2/5.

Why

Both sides regularly produce matches above the goal threshold. Patterns align in some areas but remain uneven. This means the signal should be treated with moderate confidence.

Signal breakdown

Form signal → balanced between teams

H2H signal → aligned with high-scoring outcomes

Goal trends → support the signal

Alignment is present but not uniform across all sources.

Key insight

Past meetings and current form both indicate above-threshold goal output

CD Coquimbo Unido vs CD Tolima

Mixed SignalGeneral Analysis

CLI·2026-05-19·Moderate Alignment: 50/100Tomorrow

Recent form

CD Coquimbo Unido form (last 4): 2W-1D-1L. CD Tolima form (last 5): 3W-1D-1L.

Home goals (last 5): 2, 0, 2, 1 · Away goals (last 5): 3, 3, 1, 0, 2

Head-to-head

In recent head-to-head meetings between CD Coquimbo Unido and CD Tolima, 1 of the last 1 meetings finished with 3+ goals, while 0 of the last 1 meetings included goals from both teams.

Goal trends

CD Coquimbo Unido have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 4 matches, and both teams scored in 2 of those games. CD Tolima show 3/5 over 2.5 matches with BTTS landing 1/5.

Why

CD Tolima's offensive output is more reliable. CD Coquimbo Unido concede at a higher rate. Patterns align in some areas but remain uneven. This means the signal should be treated with moderate confidence.

Signal breakdown

Form signal → CD Tolima stronger

H2H signal → mixed, no moderate pattern

Goal trends → are inconclusive

Alignment is present but not uniform across all sources.

Key insight

CD Tolima's consistency and high goal frequency reinforce each other

CA Rosario Central vs Universidad Central de Venezuela FC

Weak SignalGeneral Analysis

CLI·2026-05-19·Low Alignment: 21/100Tomorrow

Recent form

CA Rosario Central form (last 4): 3W-1D-0L. Universidad Central de Venezuela FC form (last 4): 2W-0D-2L.

Home goals (last 5): 1, 3, 1, 0 · Away goals (last 5): 2, 0, 1, 3

Head-to-head

In recent head-to-head meetings between CA Rosario Central and Universidad Central de Venezuela FC, 1 of the last 1 meetings finished with 3+ goals, while 0 of the last 1 meetings included goals from both teams.

Goal trends

CA Rosario Central have gone over 2.5 goals in 1 of their last 4 matches, and both teams scored in 0 of those games. Universidad Central de Venezuela FC show 3/4 over 2.5 matches with BTTS landing 2/4.

Why

CA Rosario Central hold a clear form advantage over Universidad Central de Venezuela FC. Universidad Central de Venezuela FC concede at a higher rate. The low score reflects conflicting signals across data sources. This reduces reliability of the signal. Form and historical data point in different directions

Signal breakdown

Form signal → CA Rosario Central weaker

H2H signal → mixed, no unclear pattern

Goal trends → are inconclusive

No coherent pattern emerges from the available data.

Key insight

CA Rosario Central's consistency and high goal frequency reinforce each other

Fluminense FC vs Club Bolívar

Weak SignalGeneral Analysis

CLI·2026-05-19·Low Alignment: 20/100Tomorrow

Recent form

Fluminense FC form (last 5): 1W-2D-2L. Club Bolívar form (last 4): 1W-2D-1L.

Home goals (last 5): 2, 2, 1, 0, 0 · Away goals (last 5): 1, 2, 1, 0

Head-to-head

In recent head-to-head meetings between Fluminense FC and Club Bolívar, 0 of the last 1 meetings finished with 3+ goals, while 0 of the last 1 meetings included goals from both teams.

Goal trends

Fluminense FC have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 5 matches, and both teams scored in 3 of those games. Club Bolívar show 0/4 over 2.5 matches with BTTS landing 2/4.

Why

Fluminense FC's defensive record is less unreliable. Indicators diverge, giving low overall alignment. This means the signal carries limited interpretive weight.

Signal breakdown

Form signal → Club Bolívar weaker

H2H signal → no historical data available

Goal trends → conflict with the signal

Signals do not align inconsistently, resulting in low alignment.

Key insight

Club Bolívar's form advantage is the clearest signal but lacks corroboration from other sources

How to interpret these signals

Signal fit scores (0–100) indicate alignment between form, H2H patterns, and the selected analysis type. Higher scores suggest more consistent signals.