2026-05-21

Football Analysis – 2026-05-21

Daily football match analysis for 2026-05-21 with signal scores and risk flags.

Introduction

Football match analysis for 2026-05-21 using Goalysis signals. Signal fit scores (0–100) indicate alignment between form, H2H patterns, and the selected analysis type. Higher scores suggest more consistent signals.

Top Matches Today (4)

CR Flamengo vs Estudiantes de La Plata
Weak SignalGeneral Analysis
CLI·2026-05-21·Low Alignment: 38/100
Recent form
CR Flamengo form (last 5): 2W-3D-0L. Estudiantes de La Plata form (last 4): 1W-3D-0L.
Home goals (last 5): 1, 1, 2, 1, 4 · Away goals (last 5): 1, 1, 2, 1
Head-to-head
In recent head-to-head meetings between CR Flamengo and Estudiantes de La Plata, 2 of the last 4 meetings finished with 3+ goals, while 3 of the last 4 meetings included goals from both teams.
Goal trends
CR Flamengo have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 5 matches, and both teams scored in 3 of those games. Estudiantes de La Plata show 1/4 over 2.5 matches with BTTS landing 4/4.
Why
CR Flamengo generate weaker attacking returns. Indicators diverge, giving low overall alignment. This means the signal carries limited interpretive weight.
Signal breakdown
Form signal → CR Flamengo weaker
H2H signal → aligned with both-teams-scoring outcomes
Goal trends → are inconclusive
Signals do not align inconsistently, resulting in low alignment.
Key insight
CR Flamengo's form advantage is the clearest signal but lacks corroboration from other sources
ACF Fiorentina vs Atalanta BC
Weak SignalGeneral Analysis
SA·2026-05-22·Low Alignment: 26/100Tomorrow
Recent form
ACF Fiorentina form (last 5): 1W-3D-1L. Atalanta BC form (last 5): 1W-2D-2L.
Home goals (last 5): 2, 0, 0, 0, 1 · Away goals (last 5): 0, 3, 0, 2, 1
Head-to-head
In recent head-to-head meetings between ACF Fiorentina and Atalanta BC, 2 of the last 4 meetings finished with 3+ goals, while 2 of the last 4 meetings included goals from both teams.
Goal trends
ACF Fiorentina have gone over 2.5 goals in 1 of their last 5 matches, and both teams scored in 1 of those games. Atalanta BC show 2/5 over 2.5 matches with BTTS landing 3/5.
Why
Atalanta BC's offensive output is more unreliable. Signals do not align consistently, resulting in low alignment. This reduces reliability of the signal.
Signal breakdown
Form signal → ACF Fiorentina weaker
H2H signal → mixed, no unclear pattern
Goal trends → are inconclusive
No coherent pattern emerges from the available data.
Key insight
ACF Fiorentina stands out on form alone, but no other indicator confirms the edge
LDU de Quito vs CA Lanús
Weak SignalGeneral Analysis
CLI·2026-05-21·Low Alignment: 10/100
Recent form
LDU de Quito form (last 4): 2W-0D-2L. CA Lanús form (last 4): 2W-0D-2L.
Home goals (last 5): 0, 0, 2, 1 · Away goals (last 5): 0, 1, 1, 0
Head-to-head
In recent head-to-head meetings between LDU de Quito and CA Lanús, 0 of the last 2 meetings finished with 3+ goals, while 0 of the last 2 meetings included goals from both teams.
Goal trends
LDU de Quito have gone over 2.5 goals in 0 of their last 4 matches, and both teams scored in 0 of those games. CA Lanús show 1/4 over 2.5 matches with BTTS landing 0/4.
Why
Neither team inconsistently reaches the goal threshold. Indicators diverge, giving low overall alignment. This means the signal carries limited interpretive weight.
Signal breakdown
Form signal → balanced between teams
H2H signal → no historical data available
Goal trends → conflict with the signal
Signals do not align inconsistently, resulting in low alignment.
Key insight
All indicators remain neutral, offering no distinct interpretive advantage
SE Palmeiras vs Club Cerro Porteño
Weak SignalGeneral Analysis
CLI·2026-05-21·Low Alignment: 7/100
Recent form
SE Palmeiras form (last 5): 1W-4D-0L. Club Cerro Porteño form (last 4): 2W-1D-1L.
Home goals (last 5): 1, 1, 2, 1, 1 · Away goals (last 5): 1, 1, 1, 0
Head-to-head
In recent head-to-head meetings between SE Palmeiras and Club Cerro Porteño, 1 of the last 5 meetings finished with 3+ goals, while 1 of the last 5 meetings included goals from both teams.
Goal trends
SE Palmeiras have gone over 2.5 goals in 0 of their last 5 matches, and both teams scored in 4 of those games. Club Cerro Porteño show 0/4 over 2.5 matches with BTTS landing 1/4.
Why
Neither team inconsistently reaches the goal threshold. Indicators diverge, giving low overall alignment. This means the signal carries limited interpretive weight.
Signal breakdown
Form signal → Club Cerro Porteño weaker
H2H signal → mixed, no unclear pattern
Goal trends → conflict with the signal
Signals do not align inconsistently, resulting in low alignment.
Key insight
Club Cerro Porteño's form advantage is the clearest signal but lacks corroboration from other sources

How to interpret these signals

Signal fit scores (0–100) indicate alignment between form, H2H patterns, and the selected analysis type. Higher scores suggest more consistent signals.