Goalysis
2026-07-04

Football Analysis – 2026-07-04

Daily football match analysis for 2026-07-04 with signal scores and risk flags.

Introduction

Football match analysis for 2026-07-04 using Goalysis signals. Signal fit scores (0–100) indicate alignment between form, H2H patterns, and the selected analysis type. Higher scores suggest more consistent signals.

Top Matches Today (3)

Canada vs Morocco
Weak SignalGeneral Analysis
WC·2026-07-04·Low Alignment: 31/100
Recent form
Canada form (last 4): 2W-1D-1L. Morocco form (last 4): 3W-1D-0L.
Home goals (last 5): 1, 1, 6, 1 · Away goals (last 5): 4, 4, 1, 1
Head-to-head
In recent head-to-head meetings between Canada and Morocco, 1 of the last 1 meetings finished with 3+ goals, while 1 of the last 1 meetings included goals from both teams.
Goal trends
Canada have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 4 matches, and both teams scored in 2 of those games. Morocco show 2/4 over 2.5 matches with BTTS landing 3/4.
Why
Morocco show weaker recent form than Canada. Morocco's defensive record is less unreliable. Indicators diverge, giving low overall alignment. This means the signal carries limited interpretive weight.
Signal breakdown
Form signal → Morocco weaker
H2H signal → mixed, no unclear pattern
Goal trends → are inconclusive
Signals do not align inconsistently, resulting in low alignment.
Key insight
Morocco's form advantage coincides with elevated goal rates
Paraguay vs France
Weak SignalGeneral Analysis
WC·2026-07-04·Low Alignment: 30/100
Recent form
Paraguay form (last 4): 2W-1D-1L. France form (last 4): 4W-0D-0L.
Home goals (last 5): 5, 0, 1, 1 · Away goals (last 5): 3, 4, 3, 3
Head-to-head
No recent finished head-to-head sample was available.
Goal trends
Paraguay have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 4 matches, and both teams scored in 2 of those games. France show 4/4 over 2.5 matches with BTTS landing 2/4.
Why
France outperform Paraguay in recent results. France produce more attacking output per match. Paraguay allow more goals per match on average. The low score reflects conflicting signals across data sources. This weakens confidence in the observed direction. Current goal rates are high but head-to-head meetings do not reflect this
Signal breakdown
Form signal → France weaker
H2H signal → no historical data available
Goal trends → support the signal
Indicators point in different directions, reducing interpretive value.
Key insight
Weak form from France pairs with above-average goal production
Colombia vs Ghana
Weak SignalGeneral Analysis
WC·2026-07-04·Low Alignment: 18/100
Recent form
Colombia form (last 3): 2W-1D-0L. Ghana form (last 3): 1W-1D-1L.
Home goals (last 5): 0, 1, 3 · Away goals (last 5): 1, 0, 1
Head-to-head
No recent finished head-to-head sample was available.
Goal trends
Colombia have gone over 2.5 goals in 1 of their last 3 matches, and both teams scored in 1 of those games. Ghana show 1/3 over 2.5 matches with BTTS landing 1/3.
Why
Colombia show weaker recent form than Ghana. Colombia generate weaker attacking returns. Indicators diverge, giving low overall alignment. This means the signal carries limited interpretive weight.
Signal breakdown
Form signal → Colombia weaker
H2H signal → no historical data available
Goal trends → are inconclusive
Signals do not align inconsistently, resulting in low alignment.
Key insight
Colombia's form advantage is the clearest signal but lacks corroboration from other sources

How to interpret these signals

Signal fit scores (0–100) indicate alignment between form, H2H patterns, and the selected analysis type. Higher scores suggest more consistent signals.