Goalysis
2026-08-09

Football Analysis – 2026-08-09

Daily football match analysis for 2026-08-09 with signal scores and risk flags.

Introduction

Football match analysis for 2026-08-09 using Goalysis signals. Signal fit scores (0–100) indicate alignment between form, H2H patterns, and the selected analysis type. Higher scores suggest more consistent signals.

Top Matches Today (4)

Sparta Rotterdam vs Feyenoord Rotterdam
Mixed SignalGeneral Analysis
DED·2026-08-09·Moderate Alignment: 60/100
Recent form
Sparta Rotterdam form (last 5): 0W-1D-4L. Feyenoord Rotterdam form (last 5): 3W-2D-0L.
Home goals (last 5): 2, 0, 2, 1, 0 · Away goals (last 5): 2, 1, 2, 3, 1
Head-to-head
In recent head-to-head meetings between Sparta Rotterdam and Feyenoord Rotterdam, 3 of the last 5 meetings finished with 3+ goals, while 2 of the last 5 meetings included goals from both teams.
Goal trends
Sparta Rotterdam have gone over 2.5 goals in 4 of their last 5 matches, and both teams scored in 3 of those games. Feyenoord Rotterdam show 2/5 over 2.5 matches with BTTS landing 4/5.
Why
Feyenoord Rotterdam outperform Sparta Rotterdam in recent results. Feyenoord Rotterdam produce more attacking output per match. Sparta Rotterdam allow more goals per match on average. Signals partially align but with notable inconsistencies. This creates only moderate alignment.
Signal breakdown
Form signal → Feyenoord Rotterdam stronger
H2H signal → aligned with over-threshold outcomes
Goal trends → support the signal
Signals partially align, with some inconsistency.
Key insight
Feyenoord Rotterdam's recent results and head-to-head history converge on the same reading
FC Groningen vs FC Utrecht
Mixed SignalGeneral Analysis
DED·2026-08-09·Moderate Alignment: 54/100
Recent form
FC Groningen form (last 5): 2W-1D-2L. FC Utrecht form (last 5): 4W-0D-1L.
Home goals (last 5): 2, 2, 2, 1, 0 · Away goals (last 5): 2, 2, 2, 0, 4
Head-to-head
In recent head-to-head meetings between FC Groningen and FC Utrecht, 2 of the last 4 meetings finished with 3+ goals, while 2 of the last 4 meetings included goals from both teams.
Goal trends
FC Groningen have gone over 2.5 goals in 4 of their last 5 matches, and both teams scored in 4 of those games. FC Utrecht show 3/5 over 2.5 matches with BTTS landing 2/5.
Why
FC Utrecht show stronger recent form than FC Groningen. FC Utrecht generate stronger attacking returns. Signals show partial agreement with some inconsistencies. This limits the reliability of any single interpretation.
Signal breakdown
Form signal → FC Utrecht stronger
H2H signal → mixed, no moderate pattern
Goal trends → support the signal
Some indicators agree while others diverge.
Key insight
FC Utrecht's form advantage coincides with elevated goal rates
Moreirense FC vs Sporting Clube de Braga
Mixed SignalGeneral Analysis
PPL·2026-08-09·Moderate Alignment: 47/100
Recent form
Moreirense FC form (last 5): 2W-1D-2L. Sporting Clube de Braga form (last 5): 1W-3D-1L.
Home goals (last 5): 0, 0, 3, 1, 1 · Away goals (last 5): 2, 2, 1, 1, 1
Head-to-head
In recent head-to-head meetings between Moreirense FC and Sporting Clube de Braga, 3 of the last 4 meetings finished with 3+ goals, while 3 of the last 4 meetings included goals from both teams.
Goal trends
Moreirense FC have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 5 matches, and both teams scored in 2 of those games. Sporting Clube de Braga show 3/5 over 2.5 matches with BTTS landing 4/5.
Why
Signals partially align but with notable inconsistencies. This limits the reliability of any single interpretation.
Signal breakdown
Form signal → Moreirense FC stronger
H2H signal → aligned with high-scoring outcomes
Goal trends → are inconclusive
Some indicators agree while others diverge.
Key insight
Form and head-to-head data both support Moreirense FC
Cruzeiro EC vs Mirassol FC
Mixed SignalGeneral Analysis
BSA·2026-08-09·Moderate Alignment: 46/100
Recent form
Cruzeiro EC form (last 5): 3W-1D-1L. Mirassol FC form (last 5): 2W-1D-2L.
Home goals (last 5): 1, 0, 2, 1, 4 · Away goals (last 5): 2, 1, 2, 0, 0
Head-to-head
In recent head-to-head meetings between Cruzeiro EC and Mirassol FC, 2 of the last 3 meetings finished with 3+ goals, while 3 of the last 3 meetings included goals from both teams.
Goal trends
Cruzeiro EC have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 5 matches, and both teams scored in 2 of those games. Mirassol FC show 2/5 over 2.5 matches with BTTS landing 3/5.
Why
Cruzeiro EC hold a clear form advantage over Mirassol FC. Cruzeiro EC's offensive output is more reliable. Data shows mixed alignment across indicators. This means the signal should be treated with moderate confidence.
Signal breakdown
Form signal → Cruzeiro EC stronger
H2H signal → aligned with both-teams-scoring outcomes
Goal trends → are inconclusive
Alignment is present but not uniform across all sources.
Key insight
Cruzeiro EC stands out on form alone, but no other indicator confirms the edge

Moderate Signal Matches (1)

PEC Zwolle vs AFC Ajax
Mixed SignalGeneral Analysis
DED·2026-08-09·Moderate Alignment: 40/100
Form: PEC Zwolle: 1W-1D-3L | AFC Ajax: 2W-2D-1L
H2H: 1 of last 4 matches over 2.5 goals, 1 of 4 BTTS
Goals: PEC Zwolle: 3/5 over 2.5 | AFC Ajax: 3/5 over 2.5
AFC Ajax hold a clear form advantage over PEC Zwolle. PEC Zwolle concede at a higher rate. Patterns align in some areas but remain uneven. This means the signal should be treated with moderate confidence.
AFC Ajax's consistency and high goal frequency reinforce each other
Low Signal Matches (4)Expand to view

These matches show low reliability signals. Treat with caution.

Gil Vicente FC vs Rio Ave FC
Weak SignalGeneral Analysis
PPL·2026-08-09·Low Alignment: 37/100
Form: Gil Vicente FC: 1W-1D-3L | Rio Ave FC: 0W-3D-2L
H2H: 2 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals, 3 of 5 BTTS
Goals: Gil Vicente FC: 3/5 over 2.5 | Rio Ave FC: 2/5 over 2.5
The available data does not produce a coherent pattern. This weakens confidence in the observed direction.
Weak form from Gil Vicente FC pairs with above-average goal production
FC Porto vs FC Alverca
Weak SignalGeneral Analysis
PPL·2026-08-09·Low Alignment: 33/100
Form: FC Porto: 4W-0D-1L | FC Alverca: 1W-1D-3L
H2H: 1 of last 2 matches over 2.5 goals, 0 of 2 BTTS
Goals: FC Porto: 2/5 over 2.5 | FC Alverca: 1/5 over 2.5
FC Porto show weaker recent form than FC Alverca. FC Porto generate weaker attacking returns. Indicators diverge, giving low overall alignment. This means the signal carries limited interpretive weight.
FC Porto's form advantage is the clearest signal but lacks corroboration from other sources
EC Bahia vs CR Vasco da Gama
Weak SignalGeneral Analysis
BSA·2026-08-09·Low Alignment: 30/100
Form: EC Bahia: 2W-3D-0L | CR Vasco da Gama: 0W-1D-4L
H2H: 3 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals, 3 of 5 BTTS
Goals: EC Bahia: 1/5 over 2.5 | CR Vasco da Gama: 2/5 over 2.5
EC Bahia show weaker recent form than CR Vasco da Gama. EC Bahia generate weaker attacking returns. CR Vasco da Gama's defensive record is less unreliable. Indicators diverge, giving low overall alignment. This means the signal carries limited interpretive weight.
Form and head-to-head data both support EC Bahia
Botafogo FR vs Fluminense FC
Weak SignalGeneral Analysis
BSA·2026-08-09·Low Alignment: 10/100
Form: Botafogo FR: 2W-2D-1L | Fluminense FC: 1W-4D-0L
H2H: 0 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals, 1 of 5 BTTS
Goals: Botafogo FR: 2/5 over 2.5 | Fluminense FC: 1/5 over 2.5
Signals do not align consistently, resulting in low alignment. This reduces reliability of the signal.
Botafogo FR stands out on form alone, but no other indicator confirms the edge

How to interpret these signals

Signal fit scores (0–100) indicate alignment between form, H2H patterns, and the selected analysis type. Higher scores suggest more consistent signals.