Goalysis
2026-08-15

Football Analysis – 2026-08-15

Daily football match analysis for 2026-08-15 with signal scores and risk flags.

Introduction

Football match analysis for 2026-08-15 using Goalysis signals. Signal fit scores (0–100) indicate alignment between form, H2H patterns, and the selected analysis type. Higher scores suggest more consistent signals.

Top Matches Today (4)

SBV Excelsior vs PSV
Strong SignalGeneral Analysis
DED·2026-08-15·High Alignment: 86/100
Recent form
SBV Excelsior form (last 5): 4W-1D-0L. PSV form (last 5): 3W-2D-0L.
Home goals (last 5): 4, 3, 1, 3, 5 · Away goals (last 5): 2, 5, 4, 2, 6
Head-to-head
In recent head-to-head meetings between SBV Excelsior and PSV, 3 of the last 4 meetings finished with 3+ goals, while 3 of the last 4 meetings included goals from both teams.
Goal trends
SBV Excelsior have gone over 2.5 goals in 4 of their last 5 matches, and both teams scored in 3 of those games. PSV show 5/5 over 2.5 matches with BTTS landing 5/5.
Why
PSV generate stronger attacking returns. Both teams frequently exceed the goal threshold. Data points converge clearly across all measured sources. This creates strong alignment across the available data.
Signal breakdown
Form signal → SBV Excelsior stronger
H2H signal → aligned with high-scoring outcomes
Goal trends → support the signal
Form, head-to-head, and goal trends converge on a consistent reading.
Key insight
Form and head-to-head data both support SBV Excelsior
Bolton Wanderers FC vs Preston North End FC
Mixed SignalGeneral Analysis
ELC·2026-08-15·Moderate Alignment: 45/100
Recent form
Bolton Wanderers FC form (last 0): 0W-0D-0L. Preston North End FC form (last 5): 2W-0D-3L.
Home goals (last 5): — · Away goals (last 5): 1, 3, 1, 0, 2
Head-to-head
No recent finished head-to-head sample was available.
Goal trends
Bolton Wanderers FC have gone over 2.5 goals in 0 of their last 0 matches, and both teams scored in 0 of those games. Preston North End FC show 4/5 over 2.5 matches with BTTS landing 4/5.
Why
Limited recent form data restricts comparison between these teams. Data shows mixed alignment across indicators. This creates only moderate alignment. Form and historical data point in different directions
Signal breakdown
Form signal → insufficient data
H2H signal → no historical data available
Goal trends → are inconclusive
Signals partially align, with some inconsistency.
Key insight
Insufficient data across all signal sources prevents a meaningful interpretation
FC Utrecht vs AZ
Mixed SignalGeneral Analysis
DED·2026-08-15·Moderate Alignment: 43/100
Recent form
FC Utrecht form (last 5): 3W-0D-2L. AZ form (last 5): 1W-4D-0L.
Home goals (last 5): 1, 2, 2, 2, 0 · Away goals (last 5): 2, 3, 1, 2, 0
Head-to-head
In recent head-to-head meetings between FC Utrecht and AZ, 3 of the last 5 meetings finished with 3+ goals, while 3 of the last 5 meetings included goals from both teams.
Goal trends
FC Utrecht have gone over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 5 matches, and both teams scored in 2 of those games. AZ show 2/5 over 2.5 matches with BTTS landing 3/5.
Why
Patterns align in some areas but remain uneven. This creates only moderate alignment.
Signal breakdown
Form signal → FC Utrecht stronger
H2H signal → aligned with high-scoring outcomes
Goal trends → are inconclusive
Signals partially align, with some inconsistency.
Key insight
FC Utrecht's recent results and head-to-head history converge on the same reading
Norwich City FC vs West Bromwich Albion FC
Mixed SignalGeneral Analysis
ELC·2026-08-15·Moderate Alignment: 40/100
Recent form
Norwich City FC form (last 5): 2W-1D-2L. West Bromwich Albion FC form (last 5): 2W-2D-1L.
Home goals (last 5): 1, 1, 2, 4, 0 · Away goals (last 5): 1, 0, 3, 2, 0
Head-to-head
In recent head-to-head meetings between Norwich City FC and West Bromwich Albion FC, 2 of the last 4 meetings finished with 3+ goals, while 1 of the last 4 meetings included goals from both teams.
Goal trends
Norwich City FC have gone over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 5 matches, and both teams scored in 4 of those games. West Bromwich Albion FC show 2/5 over 2.5 matches with BTTS landing 1/5.
Why
Norwich City FC's defensive record is less reliable. Signals partially align but with notable inconsistencies. This limits the reliability of any single interpretation.
Signal breakdown
Form signal → West Bromwich Albion FC stronger
H2H signal → mixed, no moderate pattern
Goal trends → are inconclusive
Some indicators agree while others diverge.
Key insight
West Bromwich Albion FC's form advantage coincides with elevated goal rates
Low Signal Matches (9)Expand to view

These matches show low reliability signals. Treat with caution.

Académico de Viseu FC vs CD Santa Clara
Weak SignalGeneral Analysis
PPL·2026-08-15·Low Alignment: 32/100
Form: Académico de Viseu FC: 0W-1D-0L | CD Santa Clara: 2W-2D-1L
Goals: Académico de Viseu FC: 1/1 over 2.5 | CD Santa Clara: 3/5 over 2.5
CD Santa Clara outperform Académico de Viseu FC in recent results. Académico de Viseu FC allow more goals per match on average. The low score reflects conflicting signals across data sources. This weakens confidence in the observed direction. Current goal rates are high but head-to-head meetings do not reflect this
Weak form from CD Santa Clara pairs with above-average goal production
Bristol City FC vs Millwall FC
Weak SignalGeneral Analysis
ELC·2026-08-15·Low Alignment: 30/100
Form: Bristol City FC: 1W-2D-2L | Millwall FC: 2W-2D-1L
H2H: 2 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals, 2 of 5 BTTS
Goals: Bristol City FC: 3/5 over 2.5 | Millwall FC: 1/5 over 2.5
Millwall FC hold a clear form advantage over Bristol City FC. Bristol City FC concede at a higher rate. Signals do not align consistently, resulting in low alignment. This reduces reliability of the signal.
Millwall FC stands out on form alone, but no other indicator confirms the edge
Willem II Tilburg vs NEC
Weak SignalGeneral Analysis
DED·2026-08-15·Low Alignment: 30/100
Form: Willem II Tilburg: 0W-0D-1L | NEC: 1W-2D-2L
H2H: 1 of last 4 matches over 2.5 goals, 2 of 4 BTTS
Goals: Willem II Tilburg: 1/1 over 2.5 | NEC: 3/5 over 2.5
NEC hold a clear form advantage over Willem II Tilburg. Willem II Tilburg concede at a higher rate. The low score reflects conflicting signals across data sources. This reduces reliability of the signal. Current goal rates are high but head-to-head meetings do not reflect this
NEC's consistency and high goal frequency reinforce each other
Fluminense FC vs SE Palmeiras
Weak SignalGeneral Analysis
BSA·2026-08-15·Low Alignment: 23/100
Form: Fluminense FC: 0W-5D-0L | SE Palmeiras: 2W-2D-1L
H2H: 2 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals, 2 of 5 BTTS
Goals: Fluminense FC: 0/5 over 2.5 | SE Palmeiras: 3/5 over 2.5
SE Palmeiras outperform Fluminense FC in recent results. SE Palmeiras produce more attacking output per match. The available data does not produce a coherent pattern. This weakens confidence in the observed direction.
Only SE Palmeiras's recent results provide a directional signal, with limited supporting evidence
Rio Ave FC vs FC Porto
Weak SignalGeneral Analysis
PPL·2026-08-15·Low Alignment: 23/100
Form: Rio Ave FC: 0W-2D-3L | FC Porto: 4W-0D-1L
H2H: 2 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals, 1 of 5 BTTS
Goals: Rio Ave FC: 1/5 over 2.5 | FC Porto: 2/5 over 2.5
FC Porto show weaker recent form than Rio Ave FC. FC Porto generate weaker attacking returns. Rio Ave FC's defensive record is less unreliable. Indicators diverge, giving low overall alignment. This means the signal carries limited interpretive weight.
FC Porto's form advantage is the clearest signal but lacks corroboration from other sources
CA Paranaense vs RB Bragantino
Weak SignalGeneral Analysis
BSA·2026-08-15·Low Alignment: 21/100
Form: CA Paranaense: 4W-1D-0L | RB Bragantino: 2W-2D-1L
H2H: 1 of last 3 matches over 2.5 goals, 2 of 3 BTTS
Goals: CA Paranaense: 1/5 over 2.5 | RB Bragantino: 2/5 over 2.5
CA Paranaense hold a clear form advantage over RB Bragantino. RB Bragantino concede at a higher rate. Signals do not align consistently, resulting in low alignment. This reduces reliability of the signal.
CA Paranaense stands out on form alone, but no other indicator confirms the edge
FC Alverca vs CF Estrela da Amadora
Weak SignalGeneral Analysis
PPL·2026-08-15·Low Alignment: 20/100
Form: FC Alverca: 1W-1D-3L | CF Estrela da Amadora: 0W-3D-2L
H2H: 1 of last 2 matches over 2.5 goals, 2 of 2 BTTS
Goals: FC Alverca: 1/5 over 2.5 | CF Estrela da Amadora: 4/5 over 2.5
CF Estrela da Amadora's offensive output is more unreliable. CF Estrela da Amadora concede at a higher rate. The low score reflects conflicting signals across data sources. This reduces reliability of the signal. Form and historical data point in different directions
FC Alverca's consistency and high goal frequency reinforce each other
Sevilla FC vs Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Weak SignalGeneral Analysis
PD·2026-08-15·Low Alignment: 17/100
Form: Sevilla FC: 3W-0D-2L | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: 3W-2D-0L
H2H: 1 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals, 3 of 5 BTTS
Goals: Sevilla FC: 2/5 over 2.5 | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: 1/5 over 2.5
The available data does not produce a coherent pattern. This weakens confidence in the observed direction.
Only Rayo Vallecano de Madrid's recent results provide a directional signal, with limited supporting evidence
Deportivo Alavés vs Getafe CF
Weak SignalGeneral Analysis
PD·2026-08-15·Low Alignment: 10/100
Form: Deportivo Alavés: 2W-1D-2L | Getafe CF: 2W-1D-2L
H2H: 0 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals, 1 of 5 BTTS
Goals: Deportivo Alavés: 2/5 over 2.5 | Getafe CF: 1/5 over 2.5
Deportivo Alavés's defensive record is less unreliable. Indicators diverge, giving low overall alignment. This means the signal carries limited interpretive weight.
All indicators remain neutral, offering no distinct interpretive advantage

How to interpret these signals

Signal fit scores (0–100) indicate alignment between form, H2H patterns, and the selected analysis type. Higher scores suggest more consistent signals.