Goalysis
2026-08-18

Football Analysis – 2026-08-18

Daily football match analysis for 2026-08-18 with signal scores and risk flags.

Introduction

Football match analysis for 2026-08-18 using Goalysis signals. Signal fit scores (0–100) indicate alignment between form, H2H patterns, and the selected analysis type. Higher scores suggest more consistent signals.

Top Matches Today (4)

CAR Independiente del Valle vs CD Tolima
Mixed SignalGeneral Analysis
CLI·2026-08-19·Moderate Alignment: 57/100Tomorrow
Recent form
CAR Independiente del Valle form (last 5): 4W-0D-1L. CD Tolima form (last 5): 2W-1D-2L.
Home goals (last 5): 1, 4, 0, 3, 3 · Away goals (last 5): 0, 0, 3, 3, 1
Head-to-head
In recent head-to-head meetings between CAR Independiente del Valle and CD Tolima, 1 of the last 2 meetings finished with 3+ goals, while 1 of the last 2 meetings included goals from both teams.
Goal trends
CAR Independiente del Valle have gone over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 5 matches, and both teams scored in 3 of those games. CD Tolima show 4/5 over 2.5 matches with BTTS landing 1/5.
Why
CAR Independiente del Valle hold a clear form advantage over CD Tolima. CAR Independiente del Valle's offensive output is more reliable. Signals show partial agreement with some inconsistencies. This means the signal should be treated with moderate confidence.
Signal breakdown
Form signal → CAR Independiente del Valle stronger
H2H signal → mixed, no moderate pattern
Goal trends → support the signal
Alignment is present but not uniform across all sources.
Key insight
CAR Independiente del Valle's consistency and high goal frequency reinforce each other
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Deportivo Alavés
Weak SignalGeneral Analysis
PD·2026-08-20·Low Alignment: 36/100Upcoming
Recent form
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid form (last 5): 2W-2D-1L. Deportivo Alavés form (last 5): 3W-1D-1L.
Home goals (last 5): 1, 2, 2, 1, 1 · Away goals (last 5): 3, 1, 1, 1, 1
Head-to-head
In recent head-to-head meetings between Rayo Vallecano de Madrid and Deportivo Alavés, 1 of the last 4 meetings finished with 3+ goals, while 1 of the last 4 meetings included goals from both teams.
Goal trends
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 5 matches, and both teams scored in 4 of those games. Deportivo Alavés show 2/5 over 2.5 matches with BTTS landing 2/5.
Why
Signals do not align consistently, resulting in low alignment. This reduces reliability of the signal.
Signal breakdown
Form signal → Deportivo Alavés weaker
H2H signal → mixed, no unclear pattern
Goal trends → are inconclusive
No coherent pattern emerges from the available data.
Key insight
Deportivo Alavés stands out on form alone, but no other indicator confirms the edge
CS Independiente Rivadavia vs Fluminense FC
Weak SignalGeneral Analysis
CLI·2026-08-18·Low Alignment: 28/100
Recent form
CS Independiente Rivadavia form (last 5): 3W-2D-0L. Fluminense FC form (last 5): 1W-4D-0L.
Home goals (last 5): 0, 3, 4, 1, 4 · Away goals (last 5): 3, 0, 1, 0, 1
Head-to-head
In recent head-to-head meetings between CS Independiente Rivadavia and Fluminense FC, 1 of the last 3 meetings finished with 3+ goals, while 2 of the last 3 meetings included goals from both teams.
Goal trends
CS Independiente Rivadavia have gone over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 5 matches, and both teams scored in 4 of those games. Fluminense FC show 1/5 over 2.5 matches with BTTS landing 3/5.
Why
CS Independiente Rivadavia show weaker recent form than Fluminense FC. CS Independiente Rivadavia generate weaker attacking returns. Indicators diverge, giving low overall alignment. This means the signal carries limited interpretive weight.
Signal breakdown
Form signal → CS Independiente Rivadavia weaker
H2H signal → mixed, no unclear pattern
Goal trends → are inconclusive
Signals do not align inconsistently, resulting in low alignment.
Key insight
CS Independiente Rivadavia's form advantage is the clearest signal but lacks corroboration from other sources
Club Atlético de Madrid vs Málaga CF
Weak SignalGeneral Analysis
PD·2026-08-19·Low Alignment: 15/100Tomorrow
Recent form
Club Atlético de Madrid form (last 5): 2W-0D-3L. Málaga CF form (last 0): 0W-0D-0L.
Home goals (last 5): 1, 1, 2, 0, 0 · Away goals (last 5): —
Head-to-head
No recent finished head-to-head sample was available.
Goal trends
Club Atlético de Madrid have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 5 matches, and both teams scored in 2 of those games. Málaga CF show 0/0 over 2.5 matches with BTTS landing 0/0.
Why
Limited recent form data restricts comparison between these teams. The low score reflects insufficient recent data. This means the signal carries limited interpretive weight.
Signal breakdown
Form signal → insufficient data
H2H signal → no historical data available
Goal trends → conflict with the signal
Signals do not align inconsistently, resulting in low alignment.
Key insight
Insufficient data across all signal sources prevents a meaningful interpretation
Low Signal Matches (1)Expand to view

These matches show low reliability signals. Treat with caution.

CD Universidad Católica vs Estudiantes de La Plata
Weak SignalGeneral Analysis
CLI·2026-08-19·Low Alignment: 9/100Tomorrow
Form: CD Universidad Católica: 3W-2D-0L | Estudiantes de La Plata: 1W-3D-1L
H2H: 0 of last 1 matches over 2.5 goals, 1 of 1 BTTS
Goals: CD Universidad Católica: 1/5 over 2.5 | Estudiantes de La Plata: 0/5 over 2.5
CD Universidad Católica outperform Estudiantes de La Plata in recent results. Neither team inconsistently reaches the goal threshold. The available data does not produce a coherent pattern. This weakens confidence in the observed direction.
Only CD Universidad Católica's recent results provide a directional signal, with limited supporting evidence

How to interpret these signals

Signal fit scores (0–100) indicate alignment between form, H2H patterns, and the selected analysis type. Higher scores suggest more consistent signals.