Goalysis
2026-08-22

Football Analysis – 2026-08-22

Daily football match analysis for 2026-08-22 with signal scores and risk flags.

Introduction

Football match analysis for 2026-08-22 using Goalysis signals. Signal fit scores (0–100) indicate alignment between form, H2H patterns, and the selected analysis type. Higher scores suggest more consistent signals.

Top Matches Today (4)

PSV vs FC Groningen
Strong SignalGeneral Analysis
DED·2026-08-23·High Alignment: 100/100Tomorrow
Recent form
PSV form (last 5): 3W-2D-0L. FC Groningen form (last 5): 4W-0D-1L.
Home goals (last 5): 2, 2, 5, 4, 2 · Away goals (last 5): 4, 2, 2, 2, 2
Head-to-head
In recent head-to-head meetings between PSV and FC Groningen, 5 of the last 5 meetings finished with 3+ goals, while 3 of the last 5 meetings included goals from both teams.
Goal trends
PSV have gone over 2.5 goals in 5 of their last 5 matches, and both teams scored in 5 of those games. FC Groningen show 5/5 over 2.5 matches with BTTS landing 5/5.
Why
PSV produce more attacking output per match. Goal-heavy fixtures are common for both teams. The available signals align consistently, supporting a high alignment score. This confirms high confidence in the observed pattern.
Signal breakdown
Form signal → FC Groningen stronger
H2H signal → aligned with high-scoring outcomes
Goal trends → support the signal
Multiple independent sources confirm the same direction.
Key insight
FC Groningen's recent results and head-to-head history converge on the same reading
NEC vs SBV Excelsior
Strong SignalGeneral Analysis
DED·2026-08-22·High Alignment: 80/100
Recent form
NEC form (last 5): 2W-1D-2L. SBV Excelsior form (last 5): 3W-1D-1L.
Home goals (last 5): 4, 1, 2, 1, 1 · Away goals (last 5): 1, 4, 3, 1, 3
Head-to-head
In recent head-to-head meetings between NEC and SBV Excelsior, 4 of the last 5 meetings finished with 3+ goals, while 1 of the last 5 meetings included goals from both teams.
Goal trends
NEC have gone over 2.5 goals in 4 of their last 5 matches, and both teams scored in 5 of those games. SBV Excelsior show 4/5 over 2.5 matches with BTTS landing 4/5.
Why
SBV Excelsior hold a clear form advantage over NEC. SBV Excelsior's offensive output is more reliable. Both sides regularly produce matches above the goal threshold. Multiple independent indicators reinforce the same reading. This produces a reliable and consistent reading.
Signal breakdown
Form signal → SBV Excelsior stronger
H2H signal → aligned with over-threshold outcomes
Goal trends → support the signal
Signals align consistently, resulting in high alignment.
Key insight
SBV Excelsior's form advantage is reinforced by historical matchup patterns
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs Stade Rennais FC 1901
Mixed SignalGeneral Analysis
FL1·2026-08-23·Moderate Alignment: 69/100Tomorrow
Recent form
Paris Saint-Germain FC form (last 5): 3W-1D-1L. Stade Rennais FC 1901 form (last 5): 3W-0D-2L.
Home goals (last 5): 5, 1, 2, 1, 1 · Away goals (last 5): 1, 2, 2, 2, 3
Head-to-head
In recent head-to-head meetings between Paris Saint-Germain FC and Stade Rennais FC 1901, 4 of the last 4 meetings finished with 3+ goals, while 3 of the last 4 meetings included goals from both teams.
Goal trends
Paris Saint-Germain FC have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 5 matches, and both teams scored in 3 of those games. Stade Rennais FC 1901 show 5/5 over 2.5 matches with BTTS landing 4/5.
Why
Patterns align in some areas but remain uneven. This creates only moderate alignment.
Signal breakdown
Form signal → Paris Saint-Germain FC stronger
H2H signal → aligned with high-scoring outcomes
Goal trends → support the signal
Signals partially align, with some inconsistency.
Key insight
Paris Saint-Germain FC's recent results and head-to-head history converge on the same reading
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs Aston Villa FC
Mixed SignalGeneral Analysis
PL·2026-08-23·Moderate Alignment: 63/100Tomorrow
Recent form
Brighton & Hove Albion FC form (last 5): 2W-0D-3L. Aston Villa FC form (last 5): 2W-1D-2L.
Home goals (last 5): 0, 0, 3, 1, 3 · Away goals (last 5): 2, 4, 2, 1, 0
Head-to-head
In recent head-to-head meetings between Brighton & Hove Albion FC and Aston Villa FC, 3 of the last 5 meetings finished with 3+ goals, while 2 of the last 5 meetings included goals from both teams.
Goal trends
Brighton & Hove Albion FC have gone over 2.5 goals in 4 of their last 5 matches, and both teams scored in 1 of those games. Aston Villa FC show 4/5 over 2.5 matches with BTTS landing 4/5.
Why
Both sides regularly produce matches above the goal threshold. Patterns align in some areas but remain uneven. This means the signal should be treated with moderate confidence.
Signal breakdown
Form signal → Aston Villa FC stronger
H2H signal → aligned with over-threshold outcomes
Goal trends → support the signal
Alignment is present but not uniform across all sources.
Key insight
Aston Villa FC's form advantage is reinforced by historical matchup patterns

Moderate Signal Matches (5)

Manchester City FC vs AFC Bournemouth
Mixed SignalGeneral Analysis
PL·2026-08-23·Moderate Alignment: 54/100Tomorrow
Form: Manchester City FC: 2W-2D-1L | AFC Bournemouth: 2W-3D-0L
H2H: 3 of last 4 matches over 2.5 goals, 4 of 4 BTTS
Goals: Manchester City FC: 4/5 over 2.5 | AFC Bournemouth: 2/5 over 2.5
Manchester City FC generate stronger attacking returns. Signals show partial agreement with some inconsistencies. This limits the reliability of any single interpretation.
Form and head-to-head data both support AFC Bournemouth
Go Ahead Eagles vs ADO Den Haag
Mixed SignalGeneral Analysis
DED·2026-08-23·Moderate Alignment: 51/100Tomorrow
Form: Go Ahead Eagles: 1W-2D-2L | ADO Den Haag: 0W-0D-2L
Goals: Go Ahead Eagles: 5/5 over 2.5 | ADO Den Haag: 1/2 over 2.5
Go Ahead Eagles hold a clear form advantage over ADO Den Haag. Go Ahead Eagles's offensive output is more reliable. ADO Den Haag concede at a higher rate. Signals show partial agreement with some inconsistencies. This means the signal should be treated with moderate confidence. Current goal rates are high but head-to-head meetings do not reflect this
Go Ahead Eagles's consistency and high goal frequency reinforce each other
West Bromwich Albion FC vs Burnley FC
Mixed SignalGeneral Analysis
ELC·2026-08-23·Moderate Alignment: 47/100Tomorrow
Form: West Bromwich Albion FC: 3W-1D-1L | Burnley FC: 0W-3D-2L
H2H: 1 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals, 3 of 5 BTTS
Goals: West Bromwich Albion FC: 3/5 over 2.5 | Burnley FC: 3/5 over 2.5
West Bromwich Albion FC hold a clear form advantage over Burnley FC. Burnley FC concede at a higher rate. Signals show partial agreement with some inconsistencies. This means the signal should be treated with moderate confidence.
West Bromwich Albion FC's consistency and high goal frequency reinforce each other
Newcastle United FC vs Liverpool FC
Mixed SignalGeneral Analysis
PL·2026-08-23·Moderate Alignment: 47/100Tomorrow
Form: Newcastle United FC: 2W-1D-2L | Liverpool FC: 1W-2D-2L
H2H: 3 of last 4 matches over 2.5 goals, 3 of 4 BTTS
Goals: Newcastle United FC: 2/5 over 2.5 | Liverpool FC: 3/5 over 2.5
Liverpool FC allow more goals per match on average. Data shows mixed alignment across indicators. This creates only moderate alignment.
Newcastle United FC's recent results and head-to-head history converge on the same reading
Club Atlético de Madrid vs Villarreal CF
Mixed SignalGeneral Analysis
PD·2026-08-23·Moderate Alignment: 43/100Tomorrow
Form: Club Atlético de Madrid: 3W-0D-2L | Villarreal CF: 1W-2D-2L
H2H: 3 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals, 4 of 5 BTTS
Goals: Club Atlético de Madrid: 2/5 over 2.5 | Villarreal CF: 3/5 over 2.5
Club Atlético de Madrid show stronger recent form than Villarreal CF. Villarreal CF generate stronger attacking returns. Data shows mixed alignment across indicators. This limits the reliability of any single interpretation.
Form and head-to-head data both support Club Atlético de Madrid
Low Signal Matches (9)Expand to view

These matches show low reliability signals. Treat with caution.

Cruzeiro EC vs CR Flamengo
Weak SignalGeneral Analysis
BSA·2026-08-22·Low Alignment: 37/100
Form: Cruzeiro EC: 3W-1D-1L | CR Flamengo: 3W-2D-0L
H2H: 2 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals, 3 of 5 BTTS
Goals: Cruzeiro EC: 3/5 over 2.5 | CR Flamengo: 2/5 over 2.5
CR Flamengo generate weaker attacking returns. Indicators diverge, giving low overall alignment. This means the signal carries limited interpretive weight.
CR Flamengo's form advantage coincides with elevated goal rates
Vitória SC vs CD Nacional
Weak SignalGeneral Analysis
PPL·2026-08-23·Low Alignment: 37/100Tomorrow
Form: Vitória SC: 0W-0D-5L | CD Nacional: 2W-1D-2L
H2H: 3 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals, 3 of 5 BTTS
Goals: Vitória SC: 2/5 over 2.5 | CD Nacional: 2/5 over 2.5
CD Nacional hold a clear form advantage over Vitória SC. CD Nacional's offensive output is more unreliable. Vitória SC concede at a higher rate. Signals do not align consistently, resulting in low alignment. This reduces reliability of the signal.
CD Nacional's form advantage is reinforced by historical matchup patterns
SE Palmeiras vs CR Vasco da Gama
Weak SignalGeneral Analysis
BSA·2026-08-23·Low Alignment: 23/100Tomorrow
Form: SE Palmeiras: 2W-2D-1L | CR Vasco da Gama: 0W-2D-3L
H2H: 2 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals, 1 of 5 BTTS
Goals: SE Palmeiras: 2/5 over 2.5 | CR Vasco da Gama: 1/5 over 2.5
SE Palmeiras show weaker recent form than CR Vasco da Gama. SE Palmeiras generate weaker attacking returns. Indicators diverge, giving low overall alignment. This means the signal carries limited interpretive weight.
SE Palmeiras's form advantage is the clearest signal but lacks corroboration from other sources
Le Havre AC vs AS Monaco FC
Weak SignalGeneral Analysis
FL1·2026-08-23·Low Alignment: 17/100Tomorrow
Form: Le Havre AC: 1W-3D-1L | AS Monaco FC: 1W-2D-2L
H2H: 2 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals, 4 of 5 BTTS
Goals: Le Havre AC: 1/5 over 2.5 | AS Monaco FC: 4/5 over 2.5
AS Monaco FC allow more goals per match on average. The low score reflects conflicting signals across data sources. This weakens confidence in the observed direction. Recent form favors Le Havre AC while head-to-head history suggests btts outcomes
Weak form from Le Havre AC pairs with above-average goal production
Angers SCO vs Lille OSC
Weak SignalGeneral Analysis
FL1·2026-08-23·Low Alignment: 13/100Tomorrow
Form: Angers SCO: 0W-3D-2L | Lille OSC: 2W-2D-1L
H2H: 0 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals, 0 of 5 BTTS
Goals: Angers SCO: 2/5 over 2.5 | Lille OSC: 0/5 over 2.5
Lille OSC show weaker recent form than Angers SCO. Angers SCO's defensive record is less unreliable. Indicators diverge, giving low overall alignment. This means the signal carries limited interpretive weight.
Lille OSC's form advantage is the clearest signal but lacks corroboration from other sources
RB Bragantino vs Grêmio FBPA
Weak SignalGeneral Analysis
BSA·2026-08-23·Low Alignment: 10/100Tomorrow
Form: RB Bragantino: 1W-3D-1L | Grêmio FBPA: 1W-1D-3L
H2H: 1 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals, 3 of 5 BTTS
Goals: RB Bragantino: 1/5 over 2.5 | Grêmio FBPA: 4/5 over 2.5
Grêmio FBPA's defensive record is less unreliable. The low score reflects conflicting signals across data sources. This means the signal carries limited interpretive weight. Recent form favors RB Bragantino while head-to-head history suggests btts outcomes
RB Bragantino's form advantage coincides with elevated goal rates
Getafe CF vs Real Racing Club de Santander
Weak SignalGeneral Analysis
PD·2026-08-23·Low Alignment: 5/100Tomorrow
Form: Getafe CF: 2W-1D-2L | Real Racing Club de Santander: 0W-1D-0L
Goals: Getafe CF: 2/5 over 2.5 | Real Racing Club de Santander: 1/1 over 2.5
Real Racing Club de Santander's offensive output is more unreliable. Real Racing Club de Santander concede at a higher rate. The low score reflects conflicting signals across data sources. This reduces reliability of the signal. Current goal rates are high but head-to-head meetings do not reflect this
Getafe CF's consistency and high goal frequency reinforce each other
Venezia FC vs US Lecce
Weak SignalGeneral Analysis
SA·2026-08-23·Low Alignment: 4/100Tomorrow
Form: Venezia FC: 0W-0D-0L | US Lecce: 3W-1D-1L
H2H: 0 of last 2 matches over 2.5 goals, 1 of 2 BTTS
Goals: US Lecce: 2/5 over 2.5
Limited recent form data restricts comparison between these teams. The low score reflects insufficient recent data. This means the signal carries limited interpretive weight.
Insufficient data across all signal sources prevents a meaningful interpretation
Frosinone Calcio vs Juventus FC
Weak SignalGeneral Analysis
SA·2026-08-23·Low Alignment: 0/100Tomorrow
Form: Frosinone Calcio: 0W-0D-0L | Juventus FC: 1W-3D-1L
H2H: 2 of last 2 matches over 2.5 goals, 2 of 2 BTTS
Goals: Juventus FC: 1/5 over 2.5
Limited recent form data restricts comparison between these teams. The low score reflects conflicting signals across data sources and insufficient recent data. This reduces reliability of the signal. Form and historical data point in different directions
Insufficient data across all signal sources prevents a meaningful interpretation

How to interpret these signals

Signal fit scores (0–100) indicate alignment between form, H2H patterns, and the selected analysis type. Higher scores suggest more consistent signals.