Goalysis
2026-09-04

Football Analysis – 2026-09-04

Daily football match analysis for 2026-09-04 with signal scores and risk flags.

Introduction

Football match analysis for 2026-09-04 using Goalysis signals. Signal fit scores (0–100) indicate alignment between form, H2H patterns, and the selected analysis type. Higher scores suggest more consistent signals.

Top Matches Today (4)

VfB Stuttgart vs 1. FC Köln
Strong SignalGeneral Analysis
BL1·2026-09-04·High Alignment: 70/100
Recent form
VfB Stuttgart form (last 5): 1W-3D-1L. 1. FC Köln form (last 5): 1W-1D-3L.
Home goals (last 5): 1, 2, 3, 3, 1 · Away goals (last 5): 3, 1, 1, 2, 1
Head-to-head
In recent head-to-head meetings between VfB Stuttgart and 1. FC Köln, 3 of the last 5 meetings finished with 3+ goals, while 3 of the last 5 meetings included goals from both teams.
Goal trends
VfB Stuttgart have gone over 2.5 goals in 4 of their last 5 matches, and both teams scored in 5 of those games. 1. FC Köln show 5/5 over 2.5 matches with BTTS landing 5/5.
Why
Goal-heavy fixtures are common for both teams. The available signals align consistently, supporting a high alignment score. This confirms high confidence in the observed pattern.
Signal breakdown
Form signal → VfB Stuttgart stronger
H2H signal → aligned with high-scoring outcomes
Goal trends → support the signal
Multiple independent sources confirm the same direction.
Key insight
VfB Stuttgart's recent results and head-to-head history converge on the same reading
Ipswich Town FC vs Liverpool FC
Mixed SignalGeneral Analysis
PL·2026-09-04·Moderate Alignment: 57/100
Recent form
Ipswich Town FC form (last 5): 2W-2D-1L. Liverpool FC form (last 5): 0W-4D-1L.
Home goals (last 5): 2, 2, 3, 2, 0 · Away goals (last 5): 2, 2, 1, 2, 1
Head-to-head
In recent head-to-head meetings between Ipswich Town FC and Liverpool FC, 1 of the last 2 meetings finished with 3+ goals, while 1 of the last 2 meetings included goals from both teams.
Goal trends
Ipswich Town FC have gone over 2.5 goals in 4 of their last 5 matches, and both teams scored in 3 of those games. Liverpool FC show 3/5 over 2.5 matches with BTTS landing 5/5.
Why
Ipswich Town FC show stronger recent form than Liverpool FC. Data shows mixed alignment across indicators. This limits the reliability of any single interpretation.
Signal breakdown
Form signal → Ipswich Town FC stronger
H2H signal → mixed, no moderate pattern
Goal trends → support the signal
Some indicators agree while others diverge.
Key insight
Ipswich Town FC's form advantage coincides with elevated goal rates
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs AS Monaco FC
Mixed SignalGeneral Analysis
FL1·2026-09-04·Moderate Alignment: 57/100
Recent form
Paris Saint-Germain FC form (last 5): 2W-2D-1L. AS Monaco FC form (last 5): 3W-0D-2L.
Home goals (last 5): 2, 2, 5, 1, 2 · Away goals (last 5): 2, 1, 4, 0, 2
Head-to-head
In recent head-to-head meetings between Paris Saint-Germain FC and AS Monaco FC, 4 of the last 5 meetings finished with 3+ goals, while 4 of the last 5 meetings included goals from both teams.
Goal trends
Paris Saint-Germain FC have gone over 2.5 goals in 4 of their last 5 matches, and both teams scored in 4 of those games. AS Monaco FC show 2/5 over 2.5 matches with BTTS landing 2/5.
Why
Paris Saint-Germain FC's offensive output is more reliable. Paris Saint-Germain FC concede at a higher rate. Patterns align in some areas but remain uneven. This means the signal should be treated with moderate confidence.
Signal breakdown
Form signal → AS Monaco FC stronger
H2H signal → aligned with high-scoring outcomes
Goal trends → support the signal
Alignment is present but not uniform across all sources.
Key insight
AS Monaco FC's form advantage is reinforced by historical matchup patterns
Real Betis Balompié vs Real Madrid CF
Mixed SignalGeneral Analysis
PD·2026-09-04·Moderate Alignment: 50/100
Recent form
Real Betis Balompié form (last 5): 3W-0D-2L. Real Madrid CF form (last 5): 5W-0D-0L.
Home goals (last 5): 2, 1, 1, 2, 1 · Away goals (last 5): 4, 4, 2, 4, 1
Head-to-head
In recent head-to-head meetings between Real Betis Balompié and Real Madrid CF, 2 of the last 5 meetings finished with 3+ goals, while 3 of the last 5 meetings included goals from both teams.
Goal trends
Real Betis Balompié have gone over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 5 matches, and both teams scored in 3 of those games. Real Madrid CF show 4/5 over 2.5 matches with BTTS landing 3/5.
Why
Real Madrid CF show stronger recent form than Real Betis Balompié. Real Madrid CF generate stronger attacking returns. Real Betis Balompié's defensive record is less reliable. Signals partially align but with notable inconsistencies. This limits the reliability of any single interpretation.
Signal breakdown
Form signal → Real Madrid CF stronger
H2H signal → aligned with both-teams-scoring outcomes
Goal trends → support the signal
Some indicators agree while others diverge.
Key insight
Real Madrid CF's form advantage coincides with elevated goal rates
Low Signal Matches (2)Expand to view

These matches show low reliability signals. Treat with caution.

FC Porto vs Moreirense FC
Weak SignalGeneral Analysis
PPL·2026-09-04·Low Alignment: 20/100
Form: FC Porto: 5W-0D-0L | Moreirense FC: 1W-2D-2L
H2H: 4 of last 4 matches over 2.5 goals, 2 of 4 BTTS
Goals: FC Porto: 1/5 over 2.5 | Moreirense FC: 2/5 over 2.5
FC Porto hold a clear form advantage over Moreirense FC. FC Porto's offensive output is more unreliable. Moreirense FC concede at a higher rate. The low score reflects conflicting signals across data sources. This reduces reliability of the signal. Recent form favors FC Porto while head-to-head history suggests high-scoring outcomes; current goal rates are low despite high-scoring head-to-head history
FC Porto's form advantage is not reinforced by historical matchup patterns
Genoa CFC vs Como 1907
Weak SignalGeneral Analysis
SA·2026-09-04·Low Alignment: 11/100
Form: Genoa CFC: 0W-1D-4L | Como 1907: 4W-1D-0L
H2H: 0 of last 4 matches over 2.5 goals, 2 of 4 BTTS
Goals: Genoa CFC: 1/5 over 2.5 | Como 1907: 2/5 over 2.5
Como 1907 outperform Genoa CFC in recent results. Como 1907 produce more attacking output per match. Genoa CFC allow more goals per match on average. The available data does not produce a coherent pattern. This weakens confidence in the observed direction.
Only Como 1907's recent results provide a directional signal, with limited supporting evidence

How to interpret these signals

Signal fit scores (0–100) indicate alignment between form, H2H patterns, and the selected analysis type. Higher scores suggest more consistent signals.