Goalysis
2026-09-08

Football Analysis – 2026-09-08

Daily football match analysis for 2026-09-08 with signal scores and risk flags.

Introduction

Football match analysis for 2026-09-08 using Goalysis signals. Signal fit scores (0–100) indicate alignment between form, H2H patterns, and the selected analysis type. Higher scores suggest more consistent signals.

Top Matches Today (4)

NEC vs SBV Excelsior
Strong SignalGeneral Analysis
DED·2026-09-08·High Alignment: 93/100
Recent form
NEC form (last 5): 3W-0D-2L. SBV Excelsior form (last 5): 4W-0D-1L.
Home goals (last 5): 1, 3, 4, 1, 2 · Away goals (last 5): 3, 2, 1, 4, 3
Head-to-head
In recent head-to-head meetings between NEC and SBV Excelsior, 4 of the last 5 meetings finished with 3+ goals, while 1 of the last 5 meetings included goals from both teams.
Goal trends
NEC have gone over 2.5 goals in 5 of their last 5 matches, and both teams scored in 5 of those games. SBV Excelsior show 5/5 over 2.5 matches with BTTS landing 3/5.
Why
SBV Excelsior hold a clear form advantage over NEC. NEC concede at a higher rate. Both sides regularly produce matches above the goal threshold. Multiple independent indicators reinforce the same reading. This produces a reliable and consistent reading.
Signal breakdown
Form signal → SBV Excelsior stronger
H2H signal → aligned with over-threshold outcomes
Goal trends → support the signal
Signals align consistently, resulting in high alignment.
Key insight
SBV Excelsior's form advantage is reinforced by historical matchup patterns
FC Utrecht vs Go Ahead Eagles
Strong SignalGeneral Analysis
DED·2026-09-08·High Alignment: 77/100
Recent form
FC Utrecht form (last 5): 1W-1D-3L. Go Ahead Eagles form (last 5): 2W-1D-2L.
Home goals (last 5): 1, 3, 1, 1, 2 · Away goals (last 5): 2, 3, 2, 4, 1
Head-to-head
In recent head-to-head meetings between FC Utrecht and Go Ahead Eagles, 4 of the last 5 meetings finished with 3+ goals, while 4 of the last 5 meetings included goals from both teams.
Goal trends
FC Utrecht have gone over 2.5 goals in 4 of their last 5 matches, and both teams scored in 4 of those games. Go Ahead Eagles show 5/5 over 2.5 matches with BTTS landing 5/5.
Why
Go Ahead Eagles outperform FC Utrecht in recent results. Go Ahead Eagles produce more attacking output per match. FC Utrecht allow more goals per match on average. Goal-heavy fixtures are common for both teams. The available signals align consistently, supporting a high alignment score. This confirms high confidence in the observed pattern.
Signal breakdown
Form signal → Go Ahead Eagles stronger
H2H signal → aligned with high-scoring outcomes
Goal trends → support the signal
Multiple independent sources confirm the same direction.
Key insight
Go Ahead Eagles's recent results and head-to-head history converge on the same reading
Blackburn Rovers FC vs Sheffield United FC
Mixed SignalGeneral Analysis
ELC·2026-09-08·Moderate Alignment: 54/100
Recent form
Blackburn Rovers FC form (last 5): 1W-2D-2L. Sheffield United FC form (last 5): 1W-3D-1L.
Home goals (last 5): 1, 0, 1, 2, 2 · Away goals (last 5): 1, 3, 2, 0, 0
Head-to-head
In recent head-to-head meetings between Blackburn Rovers FC and Sheffield United FC, 2 of the last 4 meetings finished with 3+ goals, while 3 of the last 4 meetings included goals from both teams.
Goal trends
Blackburn Rovers FC have gone over 2.5 goals in 4 of their last 5 matches, and both teams scored in 4 of those games. Sheffield United FC show 3/5 over 2.5 matches with BTTS landing 3/5.
Why
Patterns align in some areas but remain uneven. This means the signal should be treated with moderate confidence.
Signal breakdown
Form signal → Sheffield United FC stronger
H2H signal → aligned with both-teams-scoring outcomes
Goal trends → support the signal
Alignment is present but not uniform across all sources.
Key insight
Sheffield United FC's consistency and high goal frequency reinforce each other
Southampton FC vs Swansea City AFC
Mixed SignalGeneral Analysis
ELC·2026-09-08·Moderate Alignment: 47/100
Recent form
Southampton FC form (last 5): 2W-2D-1L. Swansea City AFC form (last 5): 3W-2D-0L.
Home goals (last 5): 1, 1, 5, 3, 1 · Away goals (last 5): 0, 2, 3, 0, 2
Head-to-head
In recent head-to-head meetings between Southampton FC and Swansea City AFC, 3 of the last 4 meetings finished with 3+ goals, while 2 of the last 4 meetings included goals from both teams.
Goal trends
Southampton FC have gone over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 5 matches, and both teams scored in 5 of those games. Swansea City AFC show 2/5 over 2.5 matches with BTTS landing 1/5.
Why
Swansea City AFC outperform Southampton FC in recent results. Southampton FC produce more attacking output per match. Southampton FC allow more goals per match on average. Data shows mixed alignment across indicators. This creates only moderate alignment.
Signal breakdown
Form signal → Swansea City AFC stronger
H2H signal → aligned with over-threshold outcomes
Goal trends → are inconclusive
Signals partially align, with some inconsistency.
Key insight
Swansea City AFC's recent results and head-to-head history converge on the same reading
Low Signal Matches (4)Expand to view

These matches show low reliability signals. Treat with caution.

Club Brugge KV vs Aston Villa FC
Weak SignalGeneral Analysis
CL·2026-09-08·Low Alignment: 38/100
Form: Club Brugge KV: 0W-0D-0L | Aston Villa FC: 2W-1D-2L
H2H: 2 of last 3 matches over 2.5 goals, 1 of 3 BTTS
Goals: Aston Villa FC: 3/5 over 2.5
Limited recent form data restricts comparison between these teams. The low score reflects insufficient recent data. This means the signal carries limited interpretive weight.
Insufficient data across all signal sources prevents a meaningful interpretation
Watford FC vs Preston North End FC
Weak SignalGeneral Analysis
ELC·2026-09-08·Low Alignment: 33/100
Form: Watford FC: 1W-2D-2L | Preston North End FC: 1W-0D-4L
H2H: 3 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals, 3 of 5 BTTS
Goals: Watford FC: 1/5 over 2.5 | Preston North End FC: 4/5 over 2.5
Preston North End FC's defensive record is less unreliable. The low score reflects conflicting signals across data sources. This means the signal carries limited interpretive weight. Recent form favors Watford FC while head-to-head history suggests high-scoring outcomes
Form and head-to-head data pull in opposite directions for Watford FC
Real Madrid CF vs FC Internazionale Milano
Weak SignalGeneral Analysis
CL·2026-09-08·Low Alignment: 27/100
Form: Real Madrid CF: 4W-0D-1L | FC Internazionale Milano: 3W-2D-0L
H2H: 1 of last 4 matches over 2.5 goals, 1 of 4 BTTS
Goals: Real Madrid CF: 4/5 over 2.5 | FC Internazionale Milano: 3/5 over 2.5
The low score reflects conflicting signals across data sources. This weakens confidence in the observed direction. Current goal rates are high but head-to-head meetings do not reflect this
Weak form from Real Madrid CF pairs with above-average goal production
PAE AEK vs LASK Linz
Weak SignalGeneral Analysis
CL·2026-09-08·Low Alignment: 0/100
Form: PAE AEK: 0W-0D-0L | LASK Linz: 0W-0D-0L
Limited recent form data restricts comparison between these teams. The low score reflects limited sample size and insufficient recent data. This reduces reliability of the signal.
Insufficient data across all signal sources prevents a meaningful interpretation

How to interpret these signals

Signal fit scores (0–100) indicate alignment between form, H2H patterns, and the selected analysis type. Higher scores suggest more consistent signals.