Goalysis
2026-09-12

Football Analysis – 2026-09-12

Daily football match analysis for 2026-09-12 with signal scores and risk flags.

Introduction

Football match analysis for 2026-09-12 using Goalysis signals. Signal fit scores (0–100) indicate alignment between form, H2H patterns, and the selected analysis type. Higher scores suggest more consistent signals.

Top Matches Today (4)

FC Augsburg vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Strong SignalGeneral Analysis
BL1·2026-09-12·High Alignment: 73/100
Recent form
FC Augsburg form (last 5): 4W-0D-1L. Bayer 04 Leverkusen form (last 5): 2W-1D-2L.
Home goals (last 5): 4, 3, 0, 3, 3 · Away goals (last 5): 4, 2, 1, 1, 4
Head-to-head
In recent head-to-head meetings between FC Augsburg and Bayer 04 Leverkusen, 2 of the last 5 meetings finished with 3+ goals, while 2 of the last 5 meetings included goals from both teams.
Goal trends
FC Augsburg have gone over 2.5 goals in 5 of their last 5 matches, and both teams scored in 3 of those games. Bayer 04 Leverkusen show 4/5 over 2.5 matches with BTTS landing 4/5.
Why
FC Augsburg hold a clear form advantage over Bayer 04 Leverkusen. Both sides regularly produce matches above the goal threshold. Multiple independent indicators reinforce the same reading. This produces a reliable and consistent reading.
Signal breakdown
Form signal → FC Augsburg stronger
H2H signal → no dominant pattern, but overall alignment remains consistent
Goal trends → support the signal
Signals align consistently, resulting in high alignment.
Key insight
FC Augsburg's consistency and high goal frequency reinforce each other
FC Twente '65 vs ADO Den Haag
Mixed SignalGeneral Analysis
DED·2026-09-12·Moderate Alignment: 65/100
Recent form
FC Twente '65 form (last 5): 3W-1D-1L. ADO Den Haag form (last 5): 0W-1D-4L.
Home goals (last 5): 1, 2, 4, 3, 0 · Away goals (last 5): 2, 2, 1, 1, 0
Head-to-head
In recent head-to-head meetings between FC Twente '65 and ADO Den Haag, 2 of the last 2 meetings finished with 3+ goals, while 2 of the last 2 meetings included goals from both teams.
Goal trends
FC Twente '65 have gone over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 5 matches, and both teams scored in 3 of those games. ADO Den Haag show 4/5 over 2.5 matches with BTTS landing 4/5.
Why
FC Twente '65 show stronger recent form than ADO Den Haag. FC Twente '65 generate stronger attacking returns. ADO Den Haag's defensive record is less reliable. Data shows mixed alignment across indicators. This limits the reliability of any single interpretation.
Signal breakdown
Form signal → FC Twente '65 stronger
H2H signal → mixed, no moderate pattern
Goal trends → support the signal
Some indicators agree while others diverge.
Key insight
FC Twente '65's form advantage coincides with elevated goal rates
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs VfB Stuttgart
Mixed SignalGeneral Analysis
BL1·2026-09-12·Moderate Alignment: 63/100
Recent form
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim form (last 5): 1W-1D-3L. VfB Stuttgart form (last 5): 3W-1D-1L.
Home goals (last 5): 2, 2, 0, 1, 3 · Away goals (last 5): 3, 4, 1, 2, 3
Head-to-head
In recent head-to-head meetings between TSG 1899 Hoffenheim and VfB Stuttgart, 2 of the last 5 meetings finished with 3+ goals, while 3 of the last 5 meetings included goals from both teams.
Goal trends
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim have gone over 2.5 goals in 4 of their last 5 matches, and both teams scored in 3 of those games. VfB Stuttgart show 5/5 over 2.5 matches with BTTS landing 5/5.
Why
VfB Stuttgart outperform TSG 1899 Hoffenheim in recent results. VfB Stuttgart produce more attacking output per match. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim allow more goals per match on average. Goal-heavy fixtures are common for both teams. Data shows mixed alignment across indicators. This creates only moderate alignment.
Signal breakdown
Form signal → VfB Stuttgart stronger
H2H signal → aligned with both-teams-scoring outcomes
Goal trends → support the signal
Signals partially align, with some inconsistency.
Key insight
Strong form from VfB Stuttgart pairs with above-average goal production
Fortuna Sittard vs AFC Ajax
Mixed SignalGeneral Analysis
DED·2026-09-12·Moderate Alignment: 63/100
Recent form
Fortuna Sittard form (last 5): 3W-1D-1L. AFC Ajax form (last 5): 2W-2D-1L.
Home goals (last 5): 3, 3, 0, 3, 2 · Away goals (last 5): 1, 4, 2, 2, 0
Head-to-head
In recent head-to-head meetings between Fortuna Sittard and AFC Ajax, 4 of the last 5 meetings finished with 3+ goals, while 3 of the last 5 meetings included goals from both teams.
Goal trends
Fortuna Sittard have gone over 2.5 goals in 4 of their last 5 matches, and both teams scored in 4 of those games. AFC Ajax show 3/5 over 2.5 matches with BTTS landing 2/5.
Why
Fortuna Sittard concede at a higher rate. Signals show partial agreement with some inconsistencies. This means the signal should be treated with moderate confidence.
Signal breakdown
Form signal → Fortuna Sittard stronger
H2H signal → aligned with high-scoring outcomes
Goal trends → support the signal
Alignment is present but not uniform across all sources.
Key insight
Fortuna Sittard's form advantage is reinforced by historical matchup patterns

Moderate Signal Matches (5)

RC Strasbourg Alsace vs AS Monaco FC
Mixed SignalGeneral Analysis
FL1·2026-09-12·Moderate Alignment: 61/100
Form: RC Strasbourg Alsace: 4W-0D-1L | AS Monaco FC: 3W-0D-2L
H2H: 3 of last 4 matches over 2.5 goals, 3 of 4 BTTS
Goals: RC Strasbourg Alsace: 5/5 over 2.5 | AS Monaco FC: 2/5 over 2.5
RC Strasbourg Alsace show stronger recent form than AS Monaco FC. RC Strasbourg Alsace generate stronger attacking returns. RC Strasbourg Alsace's defensive record is less reliable. Signals partially align but with notable inconsistencies. This limits the reliability of any single interpretation.
Form and head-to-head data both support RC Strasbourg Alsace
Derby County FC vs Birmingham City FC
Mixed SignalGeneral Analysis
ELC·2026-09-12·Moderate Alignment: 60/100
Form: Derby County FC: 1W-1D-3L | Birmingham City FC: 1W-3D-1L
H2H: 2 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals, 3 of 5 BTTS
Goals: Derby County FC: 3/5 over 2.5 | Birmingham City FC: 4/5 over 2.5
Birmingham City FC generate stronger attacking returns. Signals partially align but with notable inconsistencies. This limits the reliability of any single interpretation.
Birmingham City FC's form advantage coincides with elevated goal rates
West Bromwich Albion FC vs Queens Park Rangers FC
Mixed SignalGeneral Analysis
ELC·2026-09-12·Moderate Alignment: 53/100
Form: West Bromwich Albion FC: 3W-1D-1L | Queens Park Rangers FC: 2W-2D-1L
H2H: 4 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals, 4 of 5 BTTS
Goals: West Bromwich Albion FC: 2/5 over 2.5 | Queens Park Rangers FC: 2/5 over 2.5
West Bromwich Albion FC's offensive output is more reliable. Signals partially align but with notable inconsistencies. This means the signal should be treated with moderate confidence.
West Bromwich Albion FC's form advantage is reinforced by historical matchup patterns
Go Ahead Eagles vs FC Groningen
Mixed SignalGeneral Analysis
DED·2026-09-12·Moderate Alignment: 53/100
Form: Go Ahead Eagles: 2W-2D-1L | FC Groningen: 2W-1D-2L
H2H: 1 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals, 3 of 5 BTTS
Goals: Go Ahead Eagles: 5/5 over 2.5 | FC Groningen: 5/5 over 2.5
Go Ahead Eagles produce more attacking output per match. Goal-heavy fixtures are common for both teams. Patterns align in some areas but remain uneven. This creates only moderate alignment. Recent form favors Go Ahead Eagles while head-to-head history suggests btts outcomes; current goal rates are high but head-to-head meetings do not reflect this
Strong form from Go Ahead Eagles pairs with above-average goal production
Bolton Wanderers FC vs Cardiff City FC
Mixed SignalGeneral Analysis
ELC·2026-09-12·Moderate Alignment: 50/100
Form: Bolton Wanderers FC: 0W-1D-4L | Cardiff City FC: 0W-3D-2L
Goals: Bolton Wanderers FC: 3/5 over 2.5 | Cardiff City FC: 3/5 over 2.5
Patterns align in some areas but remain uneven. This creates only moderate alignment.
Strong form from Cardiff City FC pairs with above-average goal production
Low Signal Matches (6)Expand to view

These matches show low reliability signals. Treat with caution.

Crystal Palace FC vs Ipswich Town FC
Weak SignalGeneral Analysis
PL·2026-09-12·Low Alignment: 37/100
Form: Crystal Palace FC: 1W-1D-3L | Ipswich Town FC: 2W-1D-2L
H2H: 0 of last 2 matches over 2.5 goals, 0 of 2 BTTS
Goals: Crystal Palace FC: 4/5 over 2.5 | Ipswich Town FC: 4/5 over 2.5
Ipswich Town FC show weaker recent form than Crystal Palace FC. Both teams frequently exceed the goal threshold. The low score reflects conflicting signals across data sources. This means the signal carries limited interpretive weight. Current goal rates are high but head-to-head meetings do not reflect this
Ipswich Town FC's form advantage coincides with elevated goal rates
CD Nacional vs FC Alverca
Weak SignalGeneral Analysis
PPL·2026-09-12·Low Alignment: 32/100
Form: CD Nacional: 1W-1D-3L | FC Alverca: 0W-2D-3L
H2H: 0 of last 2 matches over 2.5 goals, 0 of 2 BTTS
Goals: CD Nacional: 2/5 over 2.5 | FC Alverca: 3/5 over 2.5
The available data does not produce a coherent pattern. This weakens confidence in the observed direction.
Weak form from CD Nacional pairs with above-average goal production
CA Osasuna vs RCD Espanyol de Barcelona
Weak SignalGeneral Analysis
PD·2026-09-12·Low Alignment: 30/100
Form: CA Osasuna: 2W-1D-2L | RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: 1W-2D-2L
H2H: 1 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals, 2 of 5 BTTS
Goals: CA Osasuna: 2/5 over 2.5 | RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: 3/5 over 2.5
Indicators diverge, giving low overall alignment. This means the signal carries limited interpretive weight.
CA Osasuna's form advantage coincides with elevated goal rates
Casa Pia AC vs FC Porto
Weak SignalGeneral Analysis
PPL·2026-09-12·Low Alignment: 30/100
Form: Casa Pia AC: 0W-1D-4L | FC Porto: 4W-0D-1L
H2H: 3 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals, 2 of 5 BTTS
Goals: Casa Pia AC: 1/5 over 2.5 | FC Porto: 2/5 over 2.5
FC Porto show weaker recent form than Casa Pia AC. FC Porto generate weaker attacking returns. Casa Pia AC's defensive record is less unreliable. Indicators diverge, giving low overall alignment. This means the signal carries limited interpretive weight.
Form and head-to-head data both support FC Porto
Real Racing Club de Santander vs Deportivo Alavés
Weak SignalGeneral Analysis
PD·2026-09-12·Low Alignment: 22/100
Form: Real Racing Club de Santander: 1W-1D-2L | Deportivo Alavés: 3W-1D-1L
Goals: Real Racing Club de Santander: 3/4 over 2.5 | Deportivo Alavés: 3/5 over 2.5
Deportivo Alavés show weaker recent form than Real Racing Club de Santander. Real Racing Club de Santander's defensive record is less unreliable. The low score reflects conflicting signals across data sources. This means the signal carries limited interpretive weight. Current goal rates are high but head-to-head meetings do not reflect this
Deportivo Alavés's form advantage coincides with elevated goal rates
Borussia Dortmund vs SC Paderborn 07
Weak SignalGeneral Analysis
BL1·2026-09-12·Low Alignment: 15/100
Form: Borussia Dortmund: 5W-0D-0L | SC Paderborn 07: 0W-1D-1L
H2H: 1 of last 1 matches over 2.5 goals, 1 of 1 BTTS
Goals: Borussia Dortmund: 3/5 over 2.5 | SC Paderborn 07: 0/2 over 2.5
Borussia Dortmund show weaker recent form than SC Paderborn 07. Borussia Dortmund generate weaker attacking returns. Borussia Dortmund's defensive record is less unreliable. The low score reflects conflicting signals across data sources. This means the signal carries limited interpretive weight. Form and historical data point in different directions
The available sources disagree, making it difficult to establish a clear direction

How to interpret these signals

Signal fit scores (0–100) indicate alignment between form, H2H patterns, and the selected analysis type. Higher scores suggest more consistent signals.