Goalysis
2026-09-13

Football Analysis – 2026-09-13

Daily football match analysis for 2026-09-13 with signal scores and risk flags.

Introduction

Football match analysis for 2026-09-13 using Goalysis signals. Signal fit scores (0–100) indicate alignment between form, H2H patterns, and the selected analysis type. Higher scores suggest more consistent signals.

Top Matches Today (4)

RB Leipzig vs Hamburger SV
Strong SignalGeneral Analysis
BL1·2026-09-13·High Alignment: 83/100
Recent form
RB Leipzig form (last 5): 2W-0D-3L. Hamburger SV form (last 5): 2W-1D-2L.
Home goals (last 5): 1, 1, 3, 1, 2 · Away goals (last 5): 0, 0, 1, 3, 2
Head-to-head
In recent head-to-head meetings between RB Leipzig and Hamburger SV, 2 of the last 2 meetings finished with 3+ goals, while 2 of the last 2 meetings included goals from both teams.
Goal trends
RB Leipzig have gone over 2.5 goals in 5 of their last 5 matches, and both teams scored in 4 of those games. Hamburger SV show 3/5 over 2.5 matches with BTTS landing 3/5.
Why
Multiple independent indicators reinforce the same reading. This produces a reliable and consistent reading.
Signal breakdown
Form signal → Hamburger SV stronger
H2H signal → no dominant pattern, but overall alignment remains consistent
Goal trends → support the signal
Signals align consistently, resulting in high alignment.
Key insight
Hamburger SV's consistency and high goal frequency reinforce each other
PEC Zwolle vs Feyenoord Rotterdam
Strong SignalGeneral Analysis
DED·2026-09-13·High Alignment: 80/100
Recent form
PEC Zwolle form (last 5): 1W-1D-3L. Feyenoord Rotterdam form (last 5): 2W-2D-1L.
Home goals (last 5): 2, 1, 2, 1, 0 · Away goals (last 5): 1, 3, 2, 5, 2
Head-to-head
In recent head-to-head meetings between PEC Zwolle and Feyenoord Rotterdam, 4 of the last 5 meetings finished with 3+ goals, while 2 of the last 5 meetings included goals from both teams.
Goal trends
PEC Zwolle have gone over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 5 matches, and both teams scored in 3 of those games. Feyenoord Rotterdam show 5/5 over 2.5 matches with BTTS landing 5/5.
Why
Feyenoord Rotterdam outperform PEC Zwolle in recent results. Feyenoord Rotterdam produce more attacking output per match. The available signals align consistently, supporting a high alignment score. This confirms high confidence in the observed pattern.
Signal breakdown
Form signal → Feyenoord Rotterdam stronger
H2H signal → aligned with over-threshold outcomes
Goal trends → support the signal
Multiple independent sources confirm the same direction.
Key insight
Feyenoord Rotterdam's recent results and head-to-head history converge on the same reading
SBV Excelsior vs FC Utrecht
Strong SignalGeneral Analysis
DED·2026-09-13·High Alignment: 77/100
Recent form
SBV Excelsior form (last 5): 3W-1D-1L. FC Utrecht form (last 5): 0W-2D-3L.
Home goals (last 5): 2, 3, 2, 1, 4 · Away goals (last 5): 3, 1, 3, 1, 1
Head-to-head
In recent head-to-head meetings between SBV Excelsior and FC Utrecht, 3 of the last 5 meetings finished with 3+ goals, while 3 of the last 5 meetings included goals from both teams.
Goal trends
SBV Excelsior have gone over 2.5 goals in 5 of their last 5 matches, and both teams scored in 3 of those games. FC Utrecht show 5/5 over 2.5 matches with BTTS landing 5/5.
Why
SBV Excelsior outperform FC Utrecht in recent results. SBV Excelsior produce more attacking output per match. FC Utrecht allow more goals per match on average. Goal-heavy fixtures are common for both teams. The available signals align consistently, supporting a high alignment score. This confirms high confidence in the observed pattern.
Signal breakdown
Form signal → SBV Excelsior stronger
H2H signal → aligned with high-scoring outcomes
Goal trends → support the signal
Multiple independent sources confirm the same direction.
Key insight
SBV Excelsior's recent results and head-to-head history converge on the same reading
Stade Brestois 29 vs Paris Saint-Germain FC
Strong SignalGeneral Analysis
FL1·2026-09-13·High Alignment: 77/100
Recent form
Stade Brestois 29 form (last 5): 1W-3D-1L. Paris Saint-Germain FC form (last 5): 2W-2D-1L.
Home goals (last 5): 2, 2, 2, 1, 1 · Away goals (last 5): 6, 1, 2, 2, 5
Head-to-head
In recent head-to-head meetings between Stade Brestois 29 and Paris Saint-Germain FC, 4 of the last 5 meetings finished with 3+ goals, while 1 of the last 5 meetings included goals from both teams.
Goal trends
Stade Brestois 29 have gone over 2.5 goals in 4 of their last 5 matches, and both teams scored in 5 of those games. Paris Saint-Germain FC show 5/5 over 2.5 matches with BTTS landing 5/5.
Why
Paris Saint-Germain FC's offensive output is more reliable. Paris Saint-Germain FC concede at a higher rate. Both sides regularly produce matches above the goal threshold. Multiple independent indicators reinforce the same reading. This produces a reliable and consistent reading.
Signal breakdown
Form signal → Paris Saint-Germain FC stronger
H2H signal → aligned with over-threshold outcomes
Goal trends → support the signal
Signals align consistently, resulting in high alignment.
Key insight
Paris Saint-Germain FC's form advantage is reinforced by historical matchup patterns

Moderate Signal Matches (5)

SC Heerenveen vs Telstar 1963
Mixed SignalGeneral Analysis
DED·2026-09-13·Moderate Alignment: 65/100
Form: SC Heerenveen: 1W-2D-2L | Telstar 1963: 1W-1D-3L
H2H: 2 of last 2 matches over 2.5 goals, 1 of 2 BTTS
Goals: SC Heerenveen: 3/5 over 2.5 | Telstar 1963: 4/5 over 2.5
Signals partially align but with notable inconsistencies. This limits the reliability of any single interpretation.
SC Heerenveen's form advantage coincides with elevated goal rates
Manchester United FC vs Manchester City FC
Mixed SignalGeneral Analysis
PL·2026-09-13·Moderate Alignment: 54/100
Form: Manchester United FC: 3W-1D-1L | Manchester City FC: 4W-0D-1L
H2H: 2 of last 4 matches over 2.5 goals, 1 of 4 BTTS
Goals: Manchester United FC: 4/5 over 2.5 | Manchester City FC: 3/5 over 2.5
Manchester United FC produce more attacking output per match. Signals show partial agreement with some inconsistencies. This creates only moderate alignment.
Strong form from Manchester City FC pairs with above-average goal production
Coventry City FC vs Brighton & Hove Albion FC
Mixed SignalGeneral Analysis
PL·2026-09-13·Moderate Alignment: 50/100
Form: Coventry City FC: 2W-0D-3L | Brighton & Hove Albion FC: 1W-1D-3L
Goals: Coventry City FC: 3/5 over 2.5 | Brighton & Hove Albion FC: 3/5 over 2.5
Brighton & Hove Albion FC's defensive record is less reliable. Data shows mixed alignment across indicators. This limits the reliability of any single interpretation.
Coventry City FC's form advantage coincides with elevated goal rates
Lille OSC vs ES Troyes AC
Mixed SignalGeneral Analysis
FL1·2026-09-13·Moderate Alignment: 48/100
Form: Lille OSC: 2W-1D-2L | ES Troyes AC: 1W-1D-1L
H2H: 3 of last 4 matches over 2.5 goals, 3 of 4 BTTS
Goals: Lille OSC: 2/5 over 2.5 | ES Troyes AC: 2/3 over 2.5
ES Troyes AC concede at a higher rate. Patterns align in some areas but remain uneven. This means the signal should be treated with moderate confidence.
Lille OSC's form advantage is reinforced by historical matchup patterns
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs Gil Vicente FC
Mixed SignalGeneral Analysis
PPL·2026-09-13·Moderate Alignment: 43/100
Form: Sport Lisboa e Benfica: 4W-1D-0L | Gil Vicente FC: 2W-1D-2L
H2H: 5 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals, 3 of 5 BTTS
Goals: Sport Lisboa e Benfica: 5/5 over 2.5 | Gil Vicente FC: 1/5 over 2.5
Sport Lisboa e Benfica show stronger recent form than Gil Vicente FC. Sport Lisboa e Benfica generate stronger attacking returns. Signals show partial agreement with some inconsistencies. This limits the reliability of any single interpretation. Recent form favors Sport Lisboa e Benfica while head-to-head history suggests high-scoring outcomes
Form and head-to-head data pull in opposite directions for Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Low Signal Matches (8)Expand to view

These matches show low reliability signals. Treat with caution.

Le Mans FC vs Racing Club de Lens
Weak SignalGeneral Analysis
FL1·2026-09-13·Low Alignment: 30/100
Form: Le Mans FC: 0W-2D-1L | Racing Club de Lens: 3W-0D-2L
Goals: Le Mans FC: 2/3 over 2.5 | Racing Club de Lens: 4/5 over 2.5
Racing Club de Lens outperform Le Mans FC in recent results. Racing Club de Lens produce more attacking output per match. Le Mans FC allow more goals per match on average. Goal-heavy fixtures are common for both teams. The low score reflects conflicting signals across data sources. This weakens confidence in the observed direction. Current goal rates are high but head-to-head meetings do not reflect this
Weak form from Racing Club de Lens pairs with above-average goal production
SSC Napoli vs Bologna FC 1909
Weak SignalGeneral Analysis
SA·2026-09-13·Low Alignment: 30/100
Form: SSC Napoli: 2W-0D-3L | Bologna FC 1909: 1W-2D-2L
H2H: 2 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals, 2 of 5 BTTS
Goals: SSC Napoli: 2/5 over 2.5 | Bologna FC 1909: 2/5 over 2.5
Signals do not align consistently, resulting in low alignment. This reduces reliability of the signal.
SSC Napoli stands out on form alone, but no other indicator confirms the edge
US Lecce vs AC Monza
Weak SignalGeneral Analysis
SA·2026-09-13·Low Alignment: 28/100
Form: US Lecce: 3W-0D-2L | AC Monza: 0W-1D-2L
H2H: 1 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals, 3 of 5 BTTS
Goals: US Lecce: 2/5 over 2.5 | AC Monza: 2/3 over 2.5
US Lecce hold a clear form advantage over AC Monza. AC Monza concede at a higher rate. Signals do not align consistently, resulting in low alignment. This reduces reliability of the signal.
US Lecce's consistency and high goal frequency reinforce each other
SV 07 Elversberg vs FC Bayern München
Weak SignalGeneral Analysis
BL1·2026-09-13·Low Alignment: 26/100
Form: SV 07 Elversberg: 2W-0D-0L | FC Bayern München: 4W-1D-0L
Goals: SV 07 Elversberg: 2/2 over 2.5 | FC Bayern München: 3/5 over 2.5
SV 07 Elversberg allow more goals per match on average. The low score reflects conflicting signals across data sources. This weakens confidence in the observed direction. Current goal rates are high but head-to-head meetings do not reflect this
Weak form from SV 07 Elversberg pairs with above-average goal production
FC Arouca vs CD Santa Clara
Weak SignalGeneral Analysis
PPL·2026-09-13·Low Alignment: 23/100
Form: FC Arouca: 3W-1D-1L | CD Santa Clara: 3W-2D-0L
H2H: 1 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals, 1 of 5 BTTS
Goals: FC Arouca: 2/5 over 2.5 | CD Santa Clara: 2/5 over 2.5
Indicators diverge, giving low overall alignment. This means the signal carries limited interpretive weight.
CD Santa Clara's form advantage is the clearest signal but lacks corroboration from other sources
US Sassuolo Calcio vs Juventus FC
Weak SignalGeneral Analysis
SA·2026-09-13·Low Alignment: 23/100
Form: US Sassuolo Calcio: 1W-1D-3L | Juventus FC: 2W-2D-1L
H2H: 3 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals, 2 of 5 BTTS
Goals: US Sassuolo Calcio: 4/5 over 2.5 | Juventus FC: 1/5 over 2.5
Juventus FC hold a clear form advantage over US Sassuolo Calcio. US Sassuolo Calcio concede at a higher rate. The low score reflects conflicting signals across data sources. This reduces reliability of the signal. Recent form favors Juventus FC while head-to-head history suggests high-scoring outcomes
Juventus FC's form advantage is not reinforced by historical matchup patterns
Getafe CF vs RC Deportivo La Coruña
Weak SignalGeneral Analysis
PD·2026-09-13·Low Alignment: 18/100
Form: Getafe CF: 2W-1D-2L | RC Deportivo La Coruña: 2W-2D-0L
Goals: Getafe CF: 1/5 over 2.5 | RC Deportivo La Coruña: 2/4 over 2.5
RC Deportivo La Coruña hold a clear form advantage over Getafe CF. RC Deportivo La Coruña's offensive output is more unreliable. Signals do not align consistently, resulting in low alignment. This reduces reliability of the signal.
RC Deportivo La Coruña stands out on form alone, but no other indicator confirms the edge
RC Celta de Vigo vs Málaga CF
Weak SignalGeneral Analysis
PD·2026-09-13·Low Alignment: 0/100
Form: RC Celta de Vigo: 0W-3D-2L | Málaga CF: 0W-2D-2L
Goals: RC Celta de Vigo: 1/5 over 2.5 | Málaga CF: 1/4 over 2.5
Málaga CF allow more goals per match on average. Neither team inconsistently reaches the goal threshold. The available data does not produce a coherent pattern. This weakens confidence in the observed direction.
Only RC Celta de Vigo's recent results provide a directional signal, with limited supporting evidence

How to interpret these signals

Signal fit scores (0–100) indicate alignment between form, H2H patterns, and the selected analysis type. Higher scores suggest more consistent signals.