2026-09-16

Football Analysis – 2026-09-16

Daily football match analysis for 2026-09-16 with signal scores and risk flags.

Introduction

Football match analysis for 2026-09-16 using Goalysis signals. Signal fit scores (0–100) indicate alignment between form, H2H patterns, and the selected analysis type. Higher scores suggest more consistent signals.

Top Matches Today (4)

RC Deportivo La Coruña vs Sevilla FC
Mixed SignalGeneral Analysis
PD·2026-09-16·Moderate Alignment: 50/100
Recent form
RC Deportivo La Coruña form (last 5): 2W-3D-0L. Sevilla FC form (last 5): 3W-1D-1L.
Home goals (last 5): 1, 3, 3, 1, 1 · Away goals (last 5): 1, 1, 1, 3, 2
Head-to-head
No recent finished head-to-head sample was available.
Goal trends
RC Deportivo La Coruña have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 5 matches, and both teams scored in 5 of those games. Sevilla FC show 3/5 over 2.5 matches with BTTS landing 4/5.
Why
Signals partially align but with notable inconsistencies. This limits the reliability of any single interpretation.
Signal breakdown
Form signal → Sevilla FC stronger
H2H signal → no historical data available
Goal trends → are inconclusive
Some indicators agree while others diverge.
Key insight
Sevilla FC's form advantage coincides with elevated goal rates
Club Atlético de Madrid vs CA Osasuna
Mixed SignalGeneral Analysis
PD·2026-09-16·Moderate Alignment: 50/100
Recent form
Club Atlético de Madrid form (last 5): 2W-1D-2L. CA Osasuna form (last 5): 2W-1D-2L.
Home goals (last 5): 3, 1, 0, 3, 2 · Away goals (last 5): 0, 2, 1, 2, 0
Head-to-head
In recent head-to-head meetings between Club Atlético de Madrid and CA Osasuna, 2 of the last 5 meetings finished with 3+ goals, while 2 of the last 5 meetings included goals from both teams.
Goal trends
Club Atlético de Madrid have gone over 2.5 goals in 5 of their last 5 matches, and both teams scored in 3 of those games. CA Osasuna show 2/5 over 2.5 matches with BTTS landing 2/5.
Why
Club Atlético de Madrid produce more attacking output per match. Signals show partial agreement with some inconsistencies. This creates only moderate alignment.
Signal breakdown
Form signal → balanced between teams
H2H signal → mixed, no moderate pattern
Goal trends → support the signal
Signals partially align, with some inconsistency.
Key insight
No single signal dominates; the available data does not produce a clear interpretive direction
Levante UD vs Athletic Club
Mixed SignalGeneral Analysis
PD·2026-09-16·Moderate Alignment: 40/100
Recent form
Levante UD form (last 5): 1W-2D-2L. Athletic Club form (last 5): 2W-1D-2L.
Home goals (last 5): 2, 0, 5, 0, 0 · Away goals (last 5): 1, 3, 2, 0, 1
Head-to-head
In recent head-to-head meetings between Levante UD and Athletic Club, 2 of the last 4 meetings finished with 3+ goals, while 2 of the last 4 meetings included goals from both teams.
Goal trends
Levante UD have gone over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 5 matches, and both teams scored in 2 of those games. Athletic Club show 2/5 over 2.5 matches with BTTS landing 2/5.
Why
Levante UD's defensive record is less reliable. Patterns align in some areas but remain uneven. This limits the reliability of any single interpretation.
Signal breakdown
Form signal → Athletic Club stronger
H2H signal → mixed, no moderate pattern
Goal trends → are inconclusive
Some indicators agree while others diverge.
Key insight
Athletic Club's form advantage coincides with elevated goal rates
SC Corinthians Paulista vs Estudiantes de La Plata
Weak SignalGeneral Analysis
CLI·2026-09-17·Low Alignment: 36/100Tomorrow
Recent form
SC Corinthians Paulista form (last 5): 0W-1D-4L. Estudiantes de La Plata form (last 5): 2W-2D-1L.
Home goals (last 5): 1, 1, 1, 0, 1 · Away goals (last 5): 1, 3, 1, 1, 0
Head-to-head
In recent head-to-head meetings between SC Corinthians Paulista and Estudiantes de La Plata, 0 of the last 1 meetings finished with 3+ goals, while 1 of the last 1 meetings included goals from both teams.
Goal trends
SC Corinthians Paulista have gone over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 5 matches, and both teams scored in 4 of those games. Estudiantes de La Plata show 1/5 over 2.5 matches with BTTS landing 2/5.
Why
Estudiantes de La Plata outperform SC Corinthians Paulista in recent results. SC Corinthians Paulista allow more goals per match on average. The available data does not produce a coherent pattern. This weakens confidence in the observed direction.
Signal breakdown
Form signal → Estudiantes de La Plata weaker
H2H signal → mixed, no unclear pattern
Goal trends → are inconclusive
Indicators point in different directions, reducing interpretive value.
Key insight
Only Estudiantes de La Plata's recent results provide a directional signal, with limited supporting evidence
Low Signal Matches (1)Expand to view

These matches show low reliability signals. Treat with caution.

LDU de Quito vs SE Palmeiras
Weak SignalGeneral Analysis
CLI·2026-09-16·Low Alignment: 28/100
Form: LDU de Quito: 3W-1D-1L | SE Palmeiras: 3W-2D-0L
H2H: 2 of last 3 matches over 2.5 goals, 0 of 3 BTTS
Goals: LDU de Quito: 2/5 over 2.5 | SE Palmeiras: 1/5 over 2.5
LDU de Quito generate weaker attacking returns. LDU de Quito's defensive record is less unreliable. Indicators diverge, giving low overall alignment. This means the signal carries limited interpretive weight.
SE Palmeiras's form advantage is the clearest signal but lacks corroboration from other sources

How to interpret these signals

Signal fit scores (0–100) indicate alignment between form, H2H patterns, and the selected analysis type. Higher scores suggest more consistent signals.