Goalysis

Today Win/Draw/Lose (1X2) Analysis

Updated daily · Date: 2026-10-11

Introduction

Today's football analysis examines selected fixtures using statistical signals derived from recent form, head-to-head patterns, and goal-scoring trends. This analysis examines match outcome patterns, identifying fixtures where recent form and head-to-head data show directional bias toward specific results. Date: Sunday, 11 October 2026.

This page summarizes 1X2 alignment as signal scores based on recent form and head-to-head samples. It is informational and should be combined with team news.

Top Available Matches Today (4)

SS Lazio vs AC Monza
Mixed Signal1X2
SA·2026-10-11·Moderate Alignment: 67/100
1X2 score snapshot
Home win
67/100
Draw
27/100
Away win
7/100
Best aligned outcome: HOME_WIN
Recent form
SS Lazio form (last 5): 4W-1D-0L. AC Monza form (last 5): 1W-1D-3L.
Home goals (last 5): 2, 2, 2, 1, 1 · Away goals (last 5): 2, 2, 1, 2, 1
Head-to-head
In recent head-to-head meetings between SS Lazio and AC Monza, 2 of the last 5 meetings finished with 3+ goals, while 3 of the last 5 meetings included goals from both teams.
Goal trends
SS Lazio have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 5 matches, and both teams scored in 2 of those games. AC Monza show 4/5 over 2.5 matches with BTTS landing 5/5.
Why
SS Lazio show stronger recent form than AC Monza. AC Monza's defensive record is less reliable. Signals partially align but with notable inconsistencies. This limits the reliability of any single interpretation.
Signal breakdown
Form signal → SS Lazio stronger
H2H signal → aligned with both-teams-scoring outcomes
Goal trends → support the signal
Some indicators agree while others diverge.
Key insight
SS Lazio's form advantage coincides with elevated goal rates
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs Vitória SC
Mixed Signal1X2
PPL·2026-10-11·Moderate Alignment: 67/100
1X2 score snapshot
Home win
67/100
Draw
20/100
Away win
13/100
Best aligned outcome: HOME_WIN
Recent form
Sport Lisboa e Benfica form (last 5): 4W-0D-1L. Vitória SC form (last 5): 1W-2D-2L.
Home goals (last 5): 1, 3, 4, 3, 2 · Away goals (last 5): 1, 1, 0, 0, 1
Head-to-head
In recent head-to-head meetings between Sport Lisboa e Benfica and Vitória SC, 4 of the last 5 meetings finished with 3+ goals, while 1 of the last 5 meetings included goals from both teams.
Goal trends
Sport Lisboa e Benfica have gone over 2.5 goals in 5 of their last 5 matches, and both teams scored in 3 of those games. Vitória SC show 1/5 over 2.5 matches with BTTS landing 2/5.
Why
Sport Lisboa e Benfica hold a clear form advantage over Vitória SC. Sport Lisboa e Benfica's offensive output is more reliable. Signals show partial agreement with some inconsistencies. This means the signal should be treated with moderate confidence.
Signal breakdown
Form signal → Sport Lisboa e Benfica stronger
H2H signal → aligned with over-threshold outcomes
Goal trends → support the signal
Alignment is present but not uniform across all sources.
Key insight
Sport Lisboa e Benfica's form advantage is reinforced by historical matchup patterns
Real Betis Balompié vs CA Osasuna
Mixed Signal1X2
PD·2026-10-11·Moderate Alignment: 57/100
1X2 score snapshot
Home win
57/100
Draw
17/100
Away win
0/100
Best aligned outcome: HOME_WIN
Recent form
Real Betis Balompié form (last 5): 4W-1D-0L. CA Osasuna form (last 5): 1W-1D-3L.
Home goals (last 5): 1, 1, 2, 3, 1 · Away goals (last 5): 1, 0, 0, 2, 1
Head-to-head
In recent head-to-head meetings between Real Betis Balompié and CA Osasuna, 1 of the last 5 meetings finished with 3+ goals, while 3 of the last 5 meetings included goals from both teams.
Goal trends
Real Betis Balompié have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 5 matches, and both teams scored in 3 of those games. CA Osasuna show 2/5 over 2.5 matches with BTTS landing 2/5.
Why
Real Betis Balompié hold a clear form advantage over CA Osasuna. Real Betis Balompié's offensive output is more reliable. CA Osasuna concede at a higher rate. Patterns align in some areas but remain uneven. This means the signal should be treated with moderate confidence.
Signal breakdown
Form signal → Real Betis Balompié stronger
H2H signal → aligned with both-teams-scoring outcomes
Goal trends → are inconclusive
Alignment is present but not uniform across all sources.
Key insight
Real Betis Balompié stands out on form alone, but no other indicator confirms the edge
São Paulo FC vs EC Vitória
Mixed Signal1X2
BSA·2026-10-11·Moderate Alignment: 47/100
1X2 score snapshot
Home win
47/100
Draw
7/100
Away win
47/100
Best aligned outcome: HOME_WIN
Recent form
São Paulo FC form (last 5): 2W-0D-3L. EC Vitória form (last 5): 2W-1D-2L.
Home goals (last 5): 0, 1, 1, 0, 2 · Away goals (last 5): 4, 1, 2, 1, 1
Head-to-head
In recent head-to-head meetings between São Paulo FC and EC Vitória, 2 of the last 5 meetings finished with 3+ goals, while 2 of the last 5 meetings included goals from both teams.
Goal trends
São Paulo FC have gone over 2.5 goals in 1 of their last 5 matches, and both teams scored in 1 of those games. EC Vitória show 4/5 over 2.5 matches with BTTS landing 3/5.
Why
EC Vitória's offensive output is more reliable. Data shows mixed alignment across indicators. This means the signal should be treated with moderate confidence.
Signal breakdown
Form signal → EC Vitória stronger
H2H signal → mixed, no moderate pattern
Goal trends → are inconclusive
Alignment is present but not uniform across all sources.
Key insight
EC Vitória's consistency and high goal frequency reinforce each other

Moderate Signal Matches (4)

Como 1907 vs AS Roma
Mixed Signal1X2
SA·2026-10-11·Moderate Alignment: 43/100
1X2 score snapshot
Home win
23/100
Draw
14/100
Away win
43/100
Best aligned outcome: AWAY_WIN
Form: Como 1907: 4W-0D-1L | AS Roma: 3W-2D-0L
H2H: 2 of last 4 matches over 2.5 goals, 2 of 4 BTTS
Goals: Como 1907: 4/5 over 2.5 | AS Roma: 3/5 over 2.5
Patterns align in some areas but remain uneven. This creates only moderate alignment.
Strong form from Como 1907 pairs with above-average goal production
SC Freiburg vs FC Schalke 04
Mixed Signal1X2
BL1·2026-10-11·Moderate Alignment: 41/100
1X2 score snapshot
Home win
41/100
Draw
11/100
Away win
0/100
Best aligned outcome: HOME_WIN
Form: SC Freiburg: 4W-1D-0L | FC Schalke 04: 1W-2D-1L
H2H: 3 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals, 0 of 5 BTTS
Goals: SC Freiburg: 4/5 over 2.5 | FC Schalke 04: 2/4 over 2.5
SC Freiburg show stronger recent form than FC Schalke 04. SC Freiburg generate stronger attacking returns. Signals show partial agreement with some inconsistencies. This limits the reliability of any single interpretation. Recent form favors SC Freiburg while head-to-head history suggests high-scoring outcomes
Form and head-to-head data pull in opposite directions for SC Freiburg
Southampton FC vs Portsmouth FC
Mixed Signal1X2
ELC·2026-10-11·Moderate Alignment: 40/100
1X2 score snapshot
Home win
23/100
Draw
40/100
Away win
7/100
Best aligned outcome: DRAW
Form: Southampton FC: 2W-2D-1L | Portsmouth FC: 1W-2D-2L
H2H: 0 of last 2 matches over 2.5 goals, 1 of 2 BTTS
Goals: Southampton FC: 3/5 over 2.5 | Portsmouth FC: 2/5 over 2.5
Southampton FC show stronger recent form than Portsmouth FC. Southampton FC generate stronger attacking returns. Signals partially align but with notable inconsistencies. This limits the reliability of any single interpretation.
Southampton FC's form advantage coincides with elevated goal rates
Hull City AFC vs Everton FC
Mixed Signal1X2
PL·2026-10-11·Moderate Alignment: 40/100
1X2 score snapshot
Home win
10/100
Draw
40/100
Away win
20/100
Best aligned outcome: DRAW
Form: Hull City AFC: 2W-2D-1L | Everton FC: 2W-3D-0L
Goals: Hull City AFC: 2/5 over 2.5 | Everton FC: 1/5 over 2.5
Data shows mixed alignment across indicators. This means the signal should be treated with moderate confidence.
Everton FC stands out on form alone, but no other indicator confirms the edge
Low Signal Matches (12)Expand to view

These matches show low reliability signals. Treat with caution.

Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs AJ Auxerre
Weak Signal1X2
FL1·2026-10-11·Low Alignment: 37/100
1X2 score snapshot
Home win
37/100
Draw
10/100
Away win
23/100
Best aligned outcome: HOME_WIN
Form: Stade Rennais FC 1901: 3W-1D-1L | AJ Auxerre: 2W-0D-3L
H2H: 3 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals, 1 of 5 BTTS
Goals: Stade Rennais FC 1901: 4/5 over 2.5 | AJ Auxerre: 4/5 over 2.5
Stade Rennais FC 1901 hold a clear form advantage over AJ Auxerre. AJ Auxerre concede at a higher rate. Both sides regularly produce matches above the goal threshold. Signals do not align consistently, resulting in low alignment. This reduces reliability of the signal.
Stade Rennais FC 1901's form advantage is reinforced by historical matchup patterns
PEC Zwolle vs SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden
Weak Signal1X2
DED·2026-10-11·Low Alignment: 32/100
1X2 score snapshot
Home win
23/100
Draw
15/100
Away win
32/100
Best aligned outcome: AWAY_WIN
Form: PEC Zwolle: 1W-1D-3L | SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden: 1W-2D-2L
H2H: 2 of last 2 matches over 2.5 goals, 2 of 2 BTTS
Goals: PEC Zwolle: 4/5 over 2.5 | SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden: 4/5 over 2.5
SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden generate weaker attacking returns. PEC Zwolle's defensive record is less unreliable. Both teams frequently exceed the goal threshold. Indicators diverge, giving low overall alignment. This means the signal carries limited interpretive weight.
SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden's form advantage coincides with elevated goal rates
Telstar 1963 vs ADO Den Haag
Weak Signal1X2
DED·2026-10-11·Low Alignment: 30/100
1X2 score snapshot
Home win
20/100
Draw
30/100
Away win
20/100
Best aligned outcome: DRAW
Form: Telstar 1963: 0W-2D-3L | ADO Den Haag: 0W-2D-3L
Goals: Telstar 1963: 2/5 over 2.5 | ADO Den Haag: 3/5 over 2.5
ADO Den Haag's offensive output is more unreliable. ADO Den Haag concede at a higher rate. Signals do not align consistently, resulting in low alignment. This reduces reliability of the signal.
Form, head-to-head, and goal trends are too balanced to isolate a primary driver
US Lecce vs Bologna FC 1909
Weak Signal1X2
SA·2026-10-11·Low Alignment: 30/100
1X2 score snapshot
Home win
23/100
Draw
17/100
Away win
30/100
Best aligned outcome: AWAY_WIN
Form: US Lecce: 2W-0D-3L | Bologna FC 1909: 0W-2D-3L
H2H: 2 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals, 1 of 5 BTTS
Goals: US Lecce: 3/5 over 2.5 | Bologna FC 1909: 1/5 over 2.5
US Lecce hold a clear form advantage over Bologna FC 1909. US Lecce concede at a higher rate. Signals do not align consistently, resulting in low alignment. This reduces reliability of the signal.
US Lecce stands out on form alone, but no other indicator confirms the edge
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs RC Deportivo La Coruña
Weak Signal1X2
PD·2026-10-11·Low Alignment: 30/100
1X2 score snapshot
Home win
30/100
Draw
20/100
Away win
20/100
Best aligned outcome: HOME_WIN
Form: Real Sociedad de Fútbol: 3W-1D-1L | RC Deportivo La Coruña: 2W-2D-1L
Goals: Real Sociedad de Fútbol: 4/5 over 2.5 | RC Deportivo La Coruña: 2/5 over 2.5
Signals do not align consistently, resulting in low alignment. This reduces reliability of the signal.
Real Sociedad de Fútbol's consistency and high goal frequency reinforce each other
OGC Nice vs RC Strasbourg Alsace
Weak Signal1X2
FL1·2026-10-11·Low Alignment: 26/100
1X2 score snapshot
Home win
19/100
Draw
26/100
Away win
26/100
Best aligned outcome: DRAW
Form: OGC Nice: 1W-2D-2L | RC Strasbourg Alsace: 2W-1D-2L
H2H: 3 of last 4 matches over 2.5 goals, 4 of 4 BTTS
Goals: OGC Nice: 2/5 over 2.5 | RC Strasbourg Alsace: 4/5 over 2.5
RC Strasbourg Alsace's offensive output is more unreliable. RC Strasbourg Alsace concede at a higher rate. Signals do not align consistently, resulting in low alignment. This reduces reliability of the signal.
RC Strasbourg Alsace's form advantage is reinforced by historical matchup patterns
Liverpool FC vs Manchester City FC
Weak Signal1X2
PL·2026-10-11·Low Alignment: 26/100
1X2 score snapshot
Home win
26/100
Draw
4/100
Away win
20/100
Best aligned outcome: HOME_WIN
Form: Liverpool FC: 3W-2D-0L | Manchester City FC: 5W-0D-0L
H2H: 2 of last 4 matches over 2.5 goals, 1 of 4 BTTS
Goals: Liverpool FC: 2/5 over 2.5 | Manchester City FC: 2/5 over 2.5
Manchester City FC outperform Liverpool FC in recent results. Manchester City FC produce more attacking output per match. The available data does not produce a coherent pattern. This weakens confidence in the observed direction.
Only Manchester City FC's recent results provide a directional signal, with limited supporting evidence
FC Utrecht vs Willem II Tilburg
Weak Signal1X2
DED·2026-10-11·Low Alignment: 23/100
1X2 score snapshot
Home win
23/100
Draw
17/100
Away win
10/100
Best aligned outcome: HOME_WIN
Form: FC Utrecht: 1W-2D-2L | Willem II Tilburg: 0W-2D-3L
H2H: 5 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals, 4 of 5 BTTS
Goals: FC Utrecht: 5/5 over 2.5 | Willem II Tilburg: 3/5 over 2.5
FC Utrecht outperform Willem II Tilburg in recent results. FC Utrecht produce more attacking output per match. FC Utrecht allow more goals per match on average. The low score reflects conflicting signals across data sources. This weakens confidence in the observed direction. Recent form favors FC Utrecht while head-to-head history suggests high-scoring outcomes
FC Utrecht's recent results and head-to-head history diverge on the same reading
Elche CF vs RC Celta de Vigo
Weak Signal1X2
PD·2026-10-11·Low Alignment: 23/100
1X2 score snapshot
Home win
10/100
Draw
17/100
Away win
23/100
Best aligned outcome: AWAY_WIN
Form: Elche CF: 1W-1D-3L | RC Celta de Vigo: 1W-3D-1L
H2H: 2 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals, 2 of 5 BTTS
Goals: Elche CF: 4/5 over 2.5 | RC Celta de Vigo: 1/5 over 2.5
Elche CF generate weaker attacking returns. Elche CF's defensive record is less unreliable. The low score reflects conflicting signals across data sources. This means the signal carries limited interpretive weight. Form and historical data point in different directions
RC Celta de Vigo's form advantage coincides with elevated goal rates
Crystal Palace FC vs Nottingham Forest FC
Weak Signal1X2
PL·2026-10-11·Low Alignment: 23/100
1X2 score snapshot
Home win
10/100
Draw
17/100
Away win
23/100
Best aligned outcome: AWAY_WIN
Form: Crystal Palace FC: 1W-1D-3L | Nottingham Forest FC: 1W-2D-2L
H2H: 0 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals, 4 of 5 BTTS
Goals: Crystal Palace FC: 3/5 over 2.5 | Nottingham Forest FC: 2/5 over 2.5
Crystal Palace FC's defensive record is less unreliable. Indicators diverge, giving low overall alignment. This means the signal carries limited interpretive weight.
Nottingham Forest FC's form advantage coincides with elevated goal rates
1. FC Köln vs Borussia Mönchengladbach
Weak Signal1X2
BL1·2026-10-11·Low Alignment: 23/100
1X2 score snapshot
Home win
10/100
Draw
17/100
Away win
23/100
Best aligned outcome: AWAY_WIN
Form: 1. FC Köln: 1W-1D-3L | Borussia Mönchengladbach: 1W-0D-4L
H2H: 4 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals, 4 of 5 BTTS
Goals: 1. FC Köln: 4/5 over 2.5 | Borussia Mönchengladbach: 5/5 over 2.5
Borussia Mönchengladbach's offensive output is more unreliable. Both sides regularly produce matches above the goal threshold. Signals do not align consistently, resulting in low alignment. This reduces reliability of the signal.
1. FC Köln's form advantage is reinforced by historical matchup patterns
Rio Ave FC vs CD Nacional
Weak Signal1X2
PPL·2026-10-11·Low Alignment: 20/100
1X2 score snapshot
Home win
20/100
Draw
11/100
Away win
19/100
Best aligned outcome: HOME_WIN
Form: Rio Ave FC: 1W-1D-3L | CD Nacional: 0W-0D-5L
H2H: 3 of last 4 matches over 2.5 goals, 3 of 4 BTTS
Goals: Rio Ave FC: 3/5 over 2.5 | CD Nacional: 3/5 over 2.5
Rio Ave FC show weaker recent form than CD Nacional. The low score reflects conflicting signals across data sources. This means the signal carries limited interpretive weight. Recent form favors Rio Ave FC while head-to-head history suggests high-scoring outcomes
Form and head-to-head data pull in opposite directions for Rio Ave FC

Pattern insights

Across today's selected fixtures, the strongest patterns cluster around goal tempo and repeatable scoring sequences. 4 of the featured matches show patterns favoring one side in the 1X2 market, while 4 appear more balanced or unpredictable. When interpreting 1X2 signals, look for consistency across home form, away form, and head-to-head samples pointing in the same direction. Higher signal scores indicate stronger alignment toward a specific outcome. When reading the page, treat each signal as a description of what has happened most often in similar recent conditions. The most valuable insight comes from consistency: multiple independent samples (home form, away form, and head-to-head) pointing in the same direction. A practical next step is to open one match in the analysis tool and trace which sample (home form, away form, or head-to-head) is driving the strongest part of the signal score.

How to interpret these signals

The signals on this page summarize repeatable patterns that show up in recent match samples. Recent form captures how consistently a team has scored, conceded, and controlled outcomes over its last five completed games. Head-to-head summaries provide extra context on how styles have interacted in recent meetings, but older matchups should be weighted less if squads or managers have changed. Goal trends (such as over 2.5 goal frequency or both-teams-to-score rates) help describe match tempo and volatility. These signals are not guarantees. Football outcomes are affected by injuries, rotation, schedule congestion, match state, and tactical changes. The most responsible approach is to treat the signals as a starting point, then add context with team news and venue considerations. For a structured walkthrough, see the guides on how analysts study matches and how to interpret goal thresholds.

How to analyze football matches and Football form analysis provide deeper context.

Next step

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